Essential-Rally — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

525

lifetime

Volume

$772

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-21 01:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

56% — —

Sports

28% 65% +$0

Other

15% 73% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 126 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Daria Kasatkina vs Liudmila Samsonova	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 10:43
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners	4	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	18	$21	30	26	+4	open	—	05-21 00:39
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox	5	$21	23	22	+1	open	—	05-17 21:20
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$20	14	13	+1	open	—	05-20 21:25
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	05-17 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$20	17	10	+7	open	—	05-20 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	8	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	05-20 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	13	$14	14	14	+0	open	—	05-21 00:45
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	05-17 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	11	$11	27	9	+18	open	—	05-21 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	7	$10	12	7	+5	open	—	05-20 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$9	9	4	+5	open	—	05-20 17:40
Magic vs. Pistons	3	$9	7	4	+3	open	—	05-03 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	8	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	05-21 00:14
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins	1	$9	9	0	+9	Miami Marlins	+$0	05-09 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	8	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	8	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	11	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	05-21 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	9	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-19 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	8	$8	23	23	+0	open	—	05-18 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 23:54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-18 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	8	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	7	$8	7	6	+1	open	—	05-18 21:49
Chicago Sky vs. Minnesota Lynx	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 01:09
Toronto Tempo vs. Los Angeles Sparks	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 01:12
Lakers vs. Thunder	2	$7	8	0	+8	Thunder	+$1	05-08 02:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 01:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9ca9d2…
05-21 01:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x2f2461…
05-21 01:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x05b2a1…
05-21 01:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x293823…
05-21 01:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x812d3d…
05-21 00:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7b5e16…
05-21 00:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xe29bd4…
05-21 00:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3fc84a…
05-21 00:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0x2c2ba5…
05-21 00:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa860aa…
05-21 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3ba12c…
05-21 00:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7d56f1…
05-21 00:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x355627…
05-21 00:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x64571e…
05-21 00:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb2093e…
05-21 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x639260…
05-21 00:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0xd67f97…
05-21 00:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfdf418…
05-21 00:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe35373…
05-21 00:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe12aba…
05-21 00:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x7c6fda…
05-21 00:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb45bbc…
05-21 00:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x14ba18…
05-21 00:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x9edeca…
05-21 00:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe9b5bc…
05-21 00:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1e6bc7…
05-21 00:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7814de…
05-21 00:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x238342…
05-21 00:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6ea868…
05-21 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x2ff9f0…
05-21 00:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x654da9…
05-21 00:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xbf1c35…
05-21 00:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x77e5be…
05-21 00:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x38b49b…
05-21 00:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xae4729…
05-21 00:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x6d85c5…
05-21 00:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5e1ddc…
05-21 00:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0xe0b31e…
05-21 00:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x193636…
05-21 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x0ef7dd…
05-21 00:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9d2e21…
05-21 00:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xffa0d0…
05-21 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xb4f311…
05-21 00:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd3cba3…
05-21 00:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x53b72b…
05-21 00:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0xdf96a5…
05-21 00:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x95560b…
05-21 00:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x78e02f…
05-21 00:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x9df6cb…
05-21 00:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x20dbba…
05-21 00:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x143aa0…
05-21 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xd3fcef…
05-21 00:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbc5824…
05-21 00:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3d9d8b…
05-21 00:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb7b259…
05-21 00:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x860653…
05-21 00:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8888e7…
05-21 00:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x493d67…
05-21 00:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea59c5…
05-21 00:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x30b16b…
05-21 00:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x526e2f…
05-21 00:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x3b364b…
05-21 00:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4534ef…
05-21 00:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcdd488…
05-21 00:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x358657…
05-21 00:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x7006ad…
05-21 00:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd0fb09…
05-21 00:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0x4f96ed…
05-21 00:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x576a36…
05-21 00:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x18e10e…
05-21 00:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x746a39…
05-21 00:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x192b61…
05-21 00:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x797304…
05-21 00:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x465021…
05-21 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc14b19…
05-21 00:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x4fc8ed…
05-21 00:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x604ac5…
05-21 00:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xdfe173…
05-21 00:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc8a562…
05-21 00:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x532ea0…
05-21 00:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1188fb…
05-21 00:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xe1cea8…
05-21 00:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xd7ccec…
05-21 00:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x3a3f3a…
05-21 00:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x9d043c…
05-21 00:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xebdb63…
05-21 00:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8640a5…
05-21 00:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6933be…
05-21 00:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0x1cecef…
05-21 00:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd3e8b4…
05-21 00:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xed58e9…
05-21 00:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1616c8…
05-21 00:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x42a963…
05-21 00:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xe05ea7…
05-21 00:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x599345…
05-21 00:09:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x2fa987…
05-21 00:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x9a9b32…
05-21 00:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x142797…
05-21 00:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x3f56b8…
05-21 00:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0x5b51a0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	153	$67.8K	5,646	05-21 01:03
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	152	$248.1K	2,272	05-21 01:02
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	128	$70.9K	2,969	05-21 01:04
(anonymous) 0x5635…c508	124	$878	634	05-21 01:03
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	122	$51.6K	4,204	05-21 01:03
Sympathetic-Back 0x0d2d…7ff5	103	$252.1K	11,537	05-20 17:45
Alive-Fritter 0xd37a…2358	102	$5.30K	877	05-20 01:20
Trivial-Player 0xbfd7…f0bf	100	$102.6K	2,103	05-20 04:02