Several-Dinosaur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

495

Trades

4,698

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 11-02 14:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

79% 83% +$24

Crypto

21% 37% -$61

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 576 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	11-02 14:30
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	11-02 16:32
Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	92¢	$5	+$0	11-02 00:07
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+5	$5	88¢	$5	$0	11-02 00:59
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	-5	-$4	4¢	$-0	+$3	06-02 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 14?	61	$561	540	39	+501	No	+$15	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	57	$549	520	31	+489	No	+$1	07-14 01:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	58	$531	524	23	+501	No	+$14	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	60	$456	544	37	+506	No	+$106	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 14?	44	$423	416	8	+408	No	+$1	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?	61	$396	547	40	+508	No	+$169	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?	63	$370	565	56	+509	Yes	-$305	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?	26	$242	209	48	+161	No	+$8	07-14 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 14?	24	$206	185	23	+162	No	+$1	07-14 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?	26	$179	191	30	+161	Yes	-$133	07-14 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?	28	$168	222	58	+164	No	+$66	07-14 04:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?	38	$160	182	6	+176	No	+$27	07-13 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 14?	18	$159	162	0	+162	No	+$3	07-14 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?	26	$157	207	44	+163	No	+$58	07-14 04:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	36	$153	176	1	+175	No	+$25	07-13 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 14?	20	$147	198	14	+184	Yes	-$123	07-14 03:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 13?	43	$145	189	19	+169	Yes	-$122	07-13 20:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 13?	28	$139	140	0	+140	No	+$1	07-13 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	58	$136	142	125	+17	Down	-$1	09-08 19:33
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	42	$136	193	17	+176	No	+$70	07-13 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	60	$134	140	134	+5	Up	+$1	09-08 19:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 11?	29	$128	140	5	+135	Yes	-$119	07-10 23:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 11?	29	$128	140	5	+135	No	+$16	07-10 23:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 14?	16	$126	125	2	+123	No	+$0	07-14 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?	19	$115	164	14	+150	No	+$54	07-14 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	45	$108	112	98	+14	Up	$0	09-08 19:58
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 13?	24	$107	106	16	+90	No	+$14	07-13 20:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 11?	22	$103	105	25	+80	No	+$3	07-10 21:39
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 14?	14	$101	136	14	+122	No	+$39	07-13 23:23
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on July 13?	22	$100	100	10	+90	No	+$6	07-13 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 16:32:28	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc1701a…
11-02 14:30:03	Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9468cf…
11-02 00:59:22	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x7e1eb6…
11-02 00:07:04	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xcf09c0…
11-01 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x954e94…
11-01 19:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x49dd1e…
11-01 19:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8b8079…
11-01 19:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xd9c080…
11-01 19:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbb56d0…
11-01 17:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xe8a44b…
11-01 17:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x41ce78…
11-01 17:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xbff7b7…
11-01 16:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xabd272…
11-01 16:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4c90fa…
11-01 16:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9ea34f…
11-01 16:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xee0f2f…
11-01 16:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2dc622…
11-01 16:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x48cdec…
11-01 16:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28af22…
11-01 16:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xd4529a…
11-01 16:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x418a43…
11-01 16:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb047ac…
10-12 11:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0xdf48e8…
10-12 11:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x57c3b2…
10-12 07:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xe1bcd7…
10-12 07:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4282ae…
10-12 07:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x652755…
10-12 07:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc4564a…
10-12 03:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x2f1ab3…
10-12 03:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xaf1b2c…
10-12 03:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb3568c…
10-12 03:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdfc3db…
10-12 00:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x47193c…
10-12 00:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xbf9e71…
10-11 23:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x370e49…
10-11 23:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xfc70a6…
10-11 21:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x65d97f…
10-11 21:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x2cb3e7…
10-11 21:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x325c53…
10-11 21:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdc25b0…
10-11 20:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x266ed8…
10-11 20:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x814a99…
10-11 19:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xe1178c…
10-11 19:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x182c26…
10-11 18:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xc77b9f…
10-11 18:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xaf0527…
10-11 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xa4d9aa…
10-11 15:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x4ddde3…
10-11 14:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:55 UTC	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xc220f3…
10-11 14:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x360a6c…
10-11 13:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xc35aab…
10-11 13:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x5d4a76…
10-11 12:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xe02496…
10-11 12:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1f8a22…
10-11 12:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x58de97…
10-11 12:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xece520…
10-11 09:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x0cc3d4…
10-11 09:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd9d1e9…
10-11 09:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xf5e0b4…
10-11 09:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8523e2…
10-06 16:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x8e69ed…
10-06 16:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x390ec4…
10-06 16:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0x2d55db…
10-06 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xdd0d9b…
10-06 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xbdd499…
10-06 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xae78a5…
10-06 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x1c1340…
10-06 16:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x0fb16a…
09-10 05:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf186fd…
09-10 05:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$1	0xec0aa5…
09-10 05:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe54356…
09-10 05:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1383fe…
09-10 05:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x054995…
09-10 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xc357bb…
09-10 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x5f73ee…
09-10 05:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x791204…
09-10 05:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x296291…
09-10 05:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6abc78…
09-10 05:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x33dc73…
09-10 05:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xf7c3ca…
09-10 05:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8e4c8c…
09-10 05:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x52820a…
09-10 05:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x652824…
09-10 05:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x789e87…
09-10 05:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x43cd57…
09-10 05:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xd08bba…
09-10 05:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x3f94ee…
09-10 05:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf551d4…
09-10 05:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x61523d…
09-10 05:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x39507c…
09-10 05:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5c7eb4…
09-10 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4a314a…
09-10 05:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd69187…
09-10 05:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x94707f…
09-10 05:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x878e20…
09-10 05:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6ea562…
09-10 05:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x84da9c…
09-10 05:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd93886…
09-10 05:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4bc267…
09-10 05:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xbc394d…