Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

140

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$242

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

9 positions

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-06 06:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

78% 63% -$2

Politics

14% 47% -$6

Sports

7% 62% +$1

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	11-05 16:35
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	+1	$1	98¢	$1	+$0	11-04 04:33
Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	No	+1	$1	89¢	$1	$0	11-05 08:31
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 6?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	11-06 06:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	$0	11-06 06:33
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	+2	$1	35¢	$1	$0	11-05 04:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	+2	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	11-04 18:26
Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	+2	$1	4¢	$0	-$1	11-02 10:30
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	+10	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-02 04:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	11-01 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	11-02 07:50
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on October 23?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-22 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 24?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-23 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	11-02 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 24?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-23 10:32
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	1	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	10-23 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	10-31 08:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	10-31 08:32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	11-04 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	11-02 03:48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	10-31 08:32
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$0	11-02 00:54
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 24?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	10-23 16:30
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	1	$3	6	0	+6	Cavaliers	-$3	10-31 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	-$3	10-23 06:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	11-04 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	2	$3	1	1	+0	No	+$0	11-02 06:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	10-23 06:38
Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	10-31 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 22?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	10-22 10:30
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	10-31 12:28
Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	1	$2	4	0	+4	Yes	+$2	10-22 16:29
Will Tesla say "SI" / "Super Intelligence" during earnings call?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-21 21:55
Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	10-21 20:55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	10-31 20:36
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	1	$2	4	0	+4	76ers	-$2	10-22 18:28
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	-$2	11-01 04:34
Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	11-04 01:55
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	11-05 07:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 06:33:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf395ea…
11-06 06:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xfcc1d6…
11-06 02:32:52	Heat vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x556190…
11-05 16:35:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on November 6?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe65dc6…
11-05 08:31:21	Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfc29a4…
11-05 07:55:30	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x6f8f0c…
11-05 04:31:13	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x196134…
11-05 02:34:03	Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x575f45…
11-05 00:35:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5eb986…
11-05 00:35:24	Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)	Pacers	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x040a3b…
11-04 22:35:57	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb42ff5…
11-04 18:26:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of November 2 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x184ceb…
11-04 16:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6a1548…
11-04 12:31:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x4bfaa6…
11-04 06:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xf86416…
11-04 04:33:03	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe39481…
11-04 04:32:45	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x98066c…
11-04 04:32:12	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Minnesota in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6093a…
11-04 01:55:39	Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x181333…
11-04 01:55:36	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x8bdb27…
11-03 10:31:48	Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeb4599…
11-03 10:31:24	Will Democrats win the Texas and Kansas Senate seats, and an independent win Nebraska?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x48f659…
11-02 10:30:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x601b19…
11-02 10:30:28	Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbfdbc9…
11-02 10:30:04	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xbded84…
11-02 08:29:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Oklahoma Senate election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x8a054d…
11-02 08:29:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-03 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xa3c648…
11-02 08:29:30	Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0xb98b86…
11-02 08:29:21	Will Abdul El-Sayed run 3 to 6 points behind Jocelyn Benson?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xfec690…
11-02 07:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3d73aa…
11-02 06:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdcc6b1…
11-02 06:48:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfa298a…
11-02 04:29:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf65d6a…
11-02 04:29:39	Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0929fb…
11-02 04:29:30	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xfd1297…
11-02 04:29:21	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2504ac…
11-02 03:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9dcd22…
11-02 02:33:54	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1f640d…
11-02 02:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4c8bf7…
11-02 02:33:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xf5697c…
11-02 02:33:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x134ab9…
11-02 00:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfd66a6…
11-02 00:32:19	Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x32cf99…
11-02 00:32:09	Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x6319cf…
11-02 00:32:00	Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xd67caf…
11-02 00:31:40	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0a5af9…
11-01 18:27:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x20e6a2…
11-01 18:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on November 2?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x401f9d…
11-01 18:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4f767f…
11-01 16:26:25	Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x548e5c…
11-01 12:30:25	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	No	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x78d734…
11-01 10:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf77a37…
11-01 07:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x21566d…
11-01 06:26:55	Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x6f1d65…
11-01 06:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xbc884a…
11-01 04:34:52	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7a0ae3…
11-01 00:31:03	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x6fb11f…
11-01 00:30:40	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x66a8c6…
10-31 22:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3d705f…
10-31 20:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x94d4d0…
10-31 14:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on November 1?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x76b7fb…
10-31 12:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd0fb9e…
10-31 12:28:33	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x161e0d…
10-31 10:35:51	Will OpenRouter process between 195T and 205T tokens the week of October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x642904…
10-31 10:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x4a7f36…
10-31 08:33:00	Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)	Bucks	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x482524…
10-31 08:32:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xd59409…
10-31 08:32:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xb6c134…
10-31 08:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x4a0ffc…
10-23 20:30:08	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe3f5f0…
10-23 16:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 24?	No	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd193e8…
10-23 12:37:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 24?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xdb2258…
10-23 10:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x99e863…
10-23 06:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 24?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcfb318…
10-23 06:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x05dc2c…
10-23 06:38:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 23?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xc6a57a…
10-23 02:37:12	Will "Street Fighter" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $8M and $11M?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x83d281…
10-23 00:28:53	Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xd13d2d…
10-22 18:28:26	Spread: 76ers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9dab31…
10-22 16:29:36	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2c355c…
10-22 12:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or higher on October 23?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$6	0xe9f144…
10-22 10:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x32a6ce…
10-21 22:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x025570…
10-21 22:35:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6687e8…
10-21 22:34:54	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x60d97c…
10-21 21:55:11	Will Tesla say "SI" / "Super Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b8a6b…
10-21 20:55:33	Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa2dbfd…
10-21 08:34:36	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x70f1ce…
10-21 08:34:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0f5bb0…
10-21 06:28:41	Will Tesla say "SI" / "Super Intelligence" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x15c269…
10-21 06:28:30	Will Meta say "Advertising" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x7ac48f…
10-21 06:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4ed24e…
10-21 04:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xca4862…
10-21 00:33:18	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x7e11e0…
10-21 00:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x0daf99…
10-21 00:32:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x96d321…
10-20 22:29:32	Will Trump say "Two Percent" or "2%" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x37da2f…
10-20 20:30:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x933ab4…
10-20 20:29:38	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdd35e9…
10-20 18:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x694c79…