Direct-Normalisation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

38.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$530

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$26

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-26 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Sports

42% 56% $0

Other

42% 27% $0

Politics

16% 67% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+11	$11	100¢	$11	$0	10-25 04:09
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-5	-$5	100¢	$-5	$0	05-01 14:05
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	+5	$5	100¢	$5	$0	10-15 21:42
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+5	$4	100¢	$4	$0	10-26 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$30	15	15	+0	No	$0	10-19 15:20
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$26	13	13	+0	No	$0	08-07 10:37
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	07-01 17:13
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-11 11:38
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	$0	08-11 16:55
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-11 18:30
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	09-29 14:51
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	10-24 03:39
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-10 17:13
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-08 22:38
Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	10-05 01:17
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	09-07 16:54
Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	10-17 09:57
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$16	8	8	+0	No	$0	05-11 18:31
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	07-16 18:53
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 08:44
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	$0	05-21 08:45
Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	05-24 06:12
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-07 16:55
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	04-19 15:59
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	$0	05-11 18:31
will wicked for good win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-21 22:12
Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	10-25 04:09
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	09-09 20:14
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$11	5	5	+0	No	$0	05-21 08:46
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$9	0	9	-9	No	$0	01-09 19:18
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	$0	10-05 01:18
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$7	0	7	-7	No	$0	01-09 19:23
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	10-08 22:39
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$7	4	4	+0	No	+$0	03-05 16:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:59:00	Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0xf4a172…
10-25 04:09:32	Will Brentford win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6a1741…
10-24 03:39:41	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x750f56…
10-19 16:07:24	Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4afdea…
10-19 15:20:32	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$8	0x256a9e…
10-17 09:57:14	Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x8988ee…
10-15 21:42:20	Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x747c14…
10-12 01:21:33	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x9d272d…
10-09 13:57:37	Will Leeds United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6f5c1…
10-08 22:39:47	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x13e55f…
10-08 22:38:53	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9472ce…
10-05 18:56:29	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb691ab…
10-05 01:18:19	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb74c65…
10-05 01:17:26	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01a8ec…
10-02 18:46:21	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x377560…
09-30 08:09:56	Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41aa19…
09-29 14:52:21	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfdf079…
09-29 14:51:32	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe766f4…
09-27 21:26:24	Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x4e8381…
09-21 19:16:46	Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x013526…
09-18 15:24:01	Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc47c7…
09-13 20:28:13	Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2831b2…
09-09 20:15:49	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x92e762…
09-09 20:14:36	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xa7ebf3…
09-07 16:55:57	Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7a7654…
09-07 16:54:42	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x666b74…
09-05 08:47:09	Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0a8eef…
08-30 01:40:33	Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2a6df5…
08-25 19:34:58	Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfcf684…
08-11 16:55:00	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8c48dd…
08-08 15:44:28	Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xedf42c…
08-07 10:37:40	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x92513e…
07-28 22:00:52	Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xae59c6…
07-24 11:20:52	Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe08097…
07-16 18:53:10	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb947b3…
07-01 17:13:25	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xddad60…
06-27 12:21:41	Will Alexei Popyrin be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x63b3ad…
06-23 08:54:29	Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa38e24…
06-22 15:13:26	Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x8b9e51…
05-24 06:12:00	Will Sonay Kartal be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2a89fc…
05-21 08:46:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x67cecb…
05-21 08:46:08	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc13b8a…
05-21 08:45:22	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9190b8…
05-21 08:44:38	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa0b6ef…
05-21 03:34:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2c69db…
05-19 05:50:39	Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x22c4db…
05-17 21:58:21	Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecfa35…
05-14 17:25:00	Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d0e47…
05-11 18:32:30	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd6575…
05-11 18:31:46	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf24890…
05-11 18:31:03	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x57728a…
05-11 18:30:22	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x437b15…
05-09 08:39:59	Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x04b42b…
05-07 16:27:42	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x13b78a…
05-05 08:07:20	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x377151…
05-02 12:31:48	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4dcfea…
05-02 00:19:18	Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa6ab68…
05-01 14:05:42	Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xec6938…
05-01 14:05:10	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb50f0e…
04-19 15:59:22	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8c077c…
04-13 21:50:55	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe4b939…
04-10 17:13:57	Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd5a10c…
03-19 11:36:01	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22cd5b…
03-14 18:44:17	Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x563fc6…
03-11 11:40:21	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3847c7…
03-11 11:38:31	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x56e0c2…
03-07 16:43:43	Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbcc538…
03-05 16:54:57	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7eb5e2…
03-05 16:52:11	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x030878…
02-23 23:03:42	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb6aa5…
02-20 02:25:54	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfad463…
02-12 20:29:13	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x25ef33…
01-31 08:46:46	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x303357…
01-21 22:12:34	will wicked for good win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x539d73…
01-09 19:23:06	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x45c2b9…
01-09 19:18:26	Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x287e13…