Granular-Succotash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$2.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

$326

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-22 00:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

41% — —

Other

37% — —

Sports

22% 0% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No		+210	$165	88¢	$185	+$20	06-12 17:44
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No		-150	$-138	94¢	$-141	$-3	06-22 00:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$203	105	105	+0	open	—	01-22 17:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$193	120	130	-10	open	—	02-28 14:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$191	200	0	+200	open	—	03-16 20:21
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	3	$165	210	0	+210	open	—	06-12 17:44
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	06-12 17:44
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	1	$138	0	150	-150	open	—	06-22 00:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$128	115	115	+0	open	—	04-07 22:49
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	5	$119	87	87	+0	open	—	01-15 00:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	5	$110	50	100	-50	open	—	03-02 17:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$109	145	145	+0	open	—	01-12 13:46
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$106	80	80	+0	open	—	03-07 00:26
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	4	$106	60	60	+0	open	—	04-07 22:42
fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	5	$104	111	11	+100	open	—	03-26 22:05
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	6	$98	0	100	-100	open	—	06-02 19:01
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	5	$74	90	0	+90	open	—	02-09 03:38
will bad bunny say fuck ice at the super bowl	2	$61	70	0	+70	open	—	02-09 01:26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$59	50	50	+0	open	—	01-17 22:06
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$58	90	140	-50	open	—	01-20 21:47
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$57	50	50	+0	open	—	03-26 18:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	4	$54	40	40	+0	open	—	03-11 22:50
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	3	$50	35	35	+0	open	—	03-09 12:55
will diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes 863	1	$50	62	0	+62	open	—	01-20 21:31
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$49	0	50	-50	open	—	06-12 21:27
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$48	50	50	+0	open	—	03-08 22:58
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	03-25 21:44
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$45	43	43	+0	open	—	01-15 13:12
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$42	20	40	-20	open	—	04-08 21:50
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	2	$42	111	0	+111	open	—	06-02 20:55
will the houston texans win super bowl 2026	2	$33	123	80	+43	open	—	01-18 02:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-03 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 00:18:04	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0xbba6f4…
06-15 04:52:54	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x85968f…
06-15 03:51:54	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0acf85…
06-15 03:50:58	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7d368e…
06-12 21:27:27	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0xf8f071…
06-12 17:44:55	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	80	77¢	$62	0xf51d0a…
06-12 17:44:31	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x942bd6…
06-12 17:43:36	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	60	77¢	$46	0xfa85f3…
06-09 19:40:42	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x3a8425…
06-04 21:34:15	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf6f22d…
06-02 20:55:53	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x2a67a1…
06-02 19:01:44	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x8041fd…
06-02 18:59:17	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xeb4526…
06-02 17:05:49	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	95	34¢	$32	0x2a8768…
06-02 16:47:13	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x3837e0…
06-02 16:31:56	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f8128…
06-02 15:14:21	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x149aa8…
06-02 13:56:47	Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x94bd45…
05-31 16:28:01	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	No	BUY	70	82¢	$57	0xb2aec3…
05-13 12:39:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0xf7cacd…
04-28 20:54:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x42eabe…
04-28 20:54:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x89e0c8…
04-27 14:35:02	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x01a8e9…
04-27 14:34:32	Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xfb3626…
04-25 15:17:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4f5f13…
04-25 15:15:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x5f5533…
04-25 15:13:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x632a63…
04-25 15:07:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x1417c0…
04-23 20:14:46	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa49c49…
04-19 02:32:32	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xe8e3f5…
04-19 02:25:00	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x940662…
04-17 15:20:18	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Ben Shelton	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x08452a…
04-17 15:00:42	atp fonseca shelton 2026 04 17	Ben Shelton	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xf282a2…
04-16 15:40:44	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	70	12¢	$8	0x32e101…
04-15 15:32:54	will david bailey be the second pick in the 2026 nfl draft	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcd996c…
04-12 01:13:49	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xacf5a3…
04-08 21:50:11	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	70¢	$28	0x85af12…
04-07 22:49:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	6	63¢	$4	0xd518ee…
04-07 22:49:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	94	63¢	$59	0x816880…
04-07 22:42:05	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x8dd602…
04-07 22:35:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xc62338…
04-07 22:35:03	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xadcb4a…
04-07 21:09:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x0a0173…
04-07 20:22:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x22002a…
04-07 19:53:17	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x8db8b5…
04-07 18:20:27	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x4ad4a1…
03-28 19:19:22	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x0cd96a…
03-28 01:10:57	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xe1cbe0…
03-27 18:18:41	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Joe Pyfer	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x40bf9c…
03-26 22:05:11	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb3792f…
03-26 22:02:23	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	44	87¢	$38	0xc89d33…
03-26 22:02:23	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x48bd85…
03-26 21:49:49	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x6d5a8b…
03-26 19:25:55	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 fra	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbe8754…
03-26 18:59:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0xd42385…
03-25 21:44:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb0aa7b…
03-25 21:28:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x6c25b4…
03-18 23:47:21	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x393534…
03-16 20:21:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	113	95¢	$108	0x8c96dd…
03-16 20:21:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	87	95¢	$83	0x855e1d…
03-15 22:17:09	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa31abe…
03-15 22:17:09	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x2870ee…
03-15 21:56:05	atp medvede sinner 2026 03 15	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x7390e3…
03-11 22:50:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x4e0ae3…
03-11 14:35:41	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x25b4c2…
03-09 12:55:25	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	35	69¢	$24	0xb2fd0d…
03-09 06:09:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x1b8493…
03-08 22:58:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xe42a74…
03-08 19:25:53	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0xff1692…
03-08 03:31:21	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x7bf8fd…
03-07 15:25:43	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x6b4b5c…
03-07 15:13:19	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3f0137…
03-07 15:13:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x573f05…
03-07 00:26:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xb1c356…
03-06 11:23:57	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	30	78¢	$23	0xf55ea1…
03-06 02:15:17	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x04b56b…
03-06 02:12:37	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xd4b404…
03-05 19:45:51	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x6cf238…
03-05 18:46:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x289eec…
03-04 18:15:49	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xeeadd4…
03-04 13:57:31	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	17	30¢	$5	0x60d44d…
03-03 18:28:37	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xe3c2c3…
03-03 18:27:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0x548954…
03-03 00:16:39	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	60	60¢	$36	0x7fbf71…
03-02 21:10:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x420393…
03-02 20:39:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xe3e9d2…
03-02 20:34:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x84491b…
03-02 20:33:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2307ca…
03-02 20:33:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$9	0xecfef3…
03-02 20:16:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x68a464…
03-02 17:55:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	60	80¢	$48	0xe5375f…
03-02 09:07:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xeb12c8…
03-01 23:31:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x9f1f95…
03-01 21:49:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0xac78ab…
03-01 21:48:55	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x9264aa…
02-28 14:24:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	30	62¢	$19	0xb92660…
02-28 13:50:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x102429…
02-28 13:44:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x9e4eca…
02-28 13:00:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	29	94¢	$27	0xb5658d…
02-28 13:00:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0x096739…