Probable-Boss — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

Trades

144

lifetime

Volume

$225

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-14 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 76% +$6

Sports

18% 33% -$9

Other

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-14).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	2	$15	13	13	+0	Over	+$1	04-29 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	04-28 03:10
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Pistons vs. Magic	4	$9	9	9	+0	Pistons	-$1	04-28 02:26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	3	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	04-28 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$8	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 11:30
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	1	$8	17	0	+17	Over	-$8	04-29 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$7	6	3	+3	Up	+$0	04-29 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$7	8	0	+8	Down	+$1	04-28 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$6	6	4	+2	Up	-$2	04-28 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	04-29 11:45
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$5	3	3	+0	Magic	+$1	04-28 02:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	04-28 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-28 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	3	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-28 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	04-28 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	04-29 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$3	4	0	+4	Down	+$1	04-28 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	04-28 04:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-28 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	04-29 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-29 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-29 10:38
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-27 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	04-29 09:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$2	2	1	+0	Down	+$1	04-27 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	04-27 10:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 11:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xe2cb62…
05-14 10:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0e7c99…
05-07 01:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xb071dc…
05-07 01:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x318059…
05-07 01:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf4c033…
05-07 01:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8bbeeb…
05-02 04:34:30	Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xb66be2…
04-30 06:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbce494…
04-29 12:58:40	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x0a9370…
04-29 12:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe69bf4…
04-29 12:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x627998…
04-29 12:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0xa18f0f…
04-29 12:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8c594b…
04-29 12:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x64c125…
04-29 11:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0d9a6b…
04-29 11:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x2d2e56…
04-29 11:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x7b5625…
04-29 11:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4aba17…
04-29 11:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9480c1…
04-29 11:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x218d6e…
04-29 11:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x1eb888…
04-29 11:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ba238…
04-29 11:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xea98c3…
04-29 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x7b21b0…
04-29 11:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1ca6cb…
04-29 11:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd95c49…
04-29 11:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x9795a9…
04-29 11:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbf4415…
04-29 11:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd98368…
04-29 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9fb96d…
04-29 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x467b7e…
04-29 11:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2bf97a…
04-29 11:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x42d043…
04-29 10:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x4bc37d…
04-29 10:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc5fe0f…
04-29 10:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb9f9a0…
04-29 10:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x6b2f66…
04-29 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x21cf9c…
04-29 10:42:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf6a450…
04-29 10:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7c5498…
04-29 10:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x20ec8f…
04-29 10:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x10a2ae…
04-29 10:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe850dc…
04-29 10:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbaea5a…
04-29 10:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0773d9…
04-29 10:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5829f8…
04-29 10:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x51f55c…
04-29 10:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x548a78…
04-29 10:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x25844f…
04-29 10:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	0	42¢	$0	0xd7abf8…
04-29 10:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x9d929e…
04-29 10:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x63c170…
04-29 10:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8196ce…
04-29 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x0621cf…
04-29 09:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0x234f9a…
04-29 09:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x066843…
04-29 02:30:46	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x50350b…
04-29 02:28:44	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	Over	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0xbcd756…
04-28 14:07:08	Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xbd2838…
04-28 13:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xeee8f0…
04-28 13:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2c99cb…
04-28 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9e96d1…
04-28 13:28:18	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2e553e…
04-28 13:24:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x879970…
04-28 13:24:20	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ca453…
04-28 13:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3aab60…
04-28 13:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa8737b…
04-28 13:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xec3b19…
04-28 13:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xef83c2…
04-28 13:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7bfcd2…
04-28 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x829dea…
04-28 13:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x14c6b4…
04-28 13:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbc1c62…
04-28 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x954814…
04-28 10:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdf4fe4…
04-28 10:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5a3702…
04-28 10:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2ecb3b…
04-28 10:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x285579…
04-28 09:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x63bed2…
04-28 09:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x31359a…
04-28 09:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x6b7d3b…
04-28 09:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xde9a7c…
04-28 09:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x25855e…
04-28 09:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x0657b7…
04-28 09:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb19906…
04-28 08:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4c9aed…
04-28 08:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5fbb3a…
04-28 08:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdc2754…
04-28 08:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x75a30e…
04-28 08:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xac506d…
04-28 08:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0b95c8…
04-28 04:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0xa6e836…
04-28 04:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x323db3…
04-28 04:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x0635ed…
04-28 04:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4fdb06…
04-28 04:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf1c69f…
04-28 04:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0cc8dd…
04-28 04:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x368198…
04-28 04:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x31a56b…
04-28 04:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xf996dd…