Expensive-Storm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$27.3K

Hit rate

69.4%

Resolved

181

Trades

497

lifetime

Volume

$3.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$6.20K

Open exposure

$86.4K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-24 13:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Other

93% 68% -$165,066

Sports

7% 33% +$156,434

Politics

0% 14% -$3,880

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes		+120,873	$59,140	72¢	$86.4K	+$27,284	09-15 19:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	3	$90.8K	143,897	23,023	+120,873	open	—	09-15 19:26
atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12	2	$85.0K	124,374	0	+124,374	Brandon Nakashima	-$85,000	08-12 13:37
atp jodar cobolli 2026 08 19	2	$85.0K	98,987	0	+98,987	Flavio Cobolli	-$85,000	08-19 16:53
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$83.4K	247,787	99,000	+148,787	Yes	+$182,197	07-18 16:14
atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	8	$71.8K	92,755	37,300	+55,455	Aziz Dougaz	+$2,788	08-14 10:49
wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	2	$55.0K	68,798	0	+68,798	Leylah Fernandez	-$55,000	08-07 17:40
wta kasatki rybakin 2026 08 06	2	$55.0K	62,308	0	+62,308	Elena Rybakina	+$7,308	08-05 17:15
Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Dominic Stephan Stricker	4	$52.7K	38,275	19,520	+18,755	Arthur Fery	+$5,075	05-14 10:45
wta kostyuk swiatek 2026 08 09	1	$50.0K	53,705	0	+53,705	Iga Swiatek	+$3,705	08-08 18:23
atp shelton nakashi 2026 08 13	1	$49.8K	72,109	0	+72,109	Ben Shelton	+$22,271	08-13 13:25
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	1	$48.0K	53,738	0	+53,738	Diana Shnaider	-$48,000	06-03 10:53
Roland Garros ATP: Ignacio Buse vs Andrey Rublev	3	$46.0K	56,406	0	+56,406	Andrey Rublev	+$10,406	05-25 16:58
wta rapolu knutson 2026 09 18	3	$43.5K	58,635	22,611	+36,024	Gabriela Knutson	+$13,564	09-18 15:03
atp su pankin 2026 08 12	2	$41.2K	64,799	0	+64,799	Fajing Sun	+$23,588	08-12 09:53
wta samsono rybakin 2026 08 09	2	$40.0K	52,974	0	+52,974	Elena Rybakina	+$12,974	08-09 13:06
atp nedic taberne 2026 08 13	1	$40.0K	46,115	0	+46,115	Carlos Taberner	-$40,000	08-13 12:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff	2	$40.0K	43,722	0	+43,722	Coco Gauff	+$3,722	05-14 14:28
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya	1	$40.0K	47,535	0	+47,535	Anna Kalinskaya	-$40,000	06-01 11:36
wta lee falkows 2026 08 06	3	$39.2K	42,232	8,000	+34,232	Carol Young Suh Lee	+$3,392	08-06 12:46
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka	2	$39.0K	48,035	0	+48,035	Aryna Sabalenka	+$9,035	06-01 12:08
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	3	$38.1K	67,064	0	+67,064	Rafael Jodar	+$28,985	05-31 13:05
atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	3	$37.0K	65,654	0	+65,654	Rafael Jodar	+$28,654	08-11 15:39
wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	4	$35.2K	47,943	20,000	+27,943	Elina Svitolina	+$1,867	08-04 17:12
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$35.0K	39,976	0	+39,976	Thunder	+$4,976	05-23 02:45
wta klimovi yaneva 2026 08 03	6	$31.4K	43,178	4,769	+38,409	Elizara Yaneva	+$10,086	08-04 13:06
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$31.3K	0	31,451	-31,451	Yes	-$159	05-10 14:49
atp jodar moutet 2026 08 06	1	$30.0K	45,736	0	+45,736	Rafael Jodar	+$15,736	08-05 20:52
wta kawa mikulsk 2026 08 05	2	$30.0K	42,652	0	+42,652	Justina Mikulskyte	-$30,000	08-05 10:09
atp jover lazarov 2026 08 07	1	$30.0K	36,769	0	+36,769	Carlos Sanchez Jover	+$6,769	08-07 12:29
atp alexand papoe 2026 08 07	1	$30.0K	33,250	0	+33,250	Radu Mihai Papoe	+$3,250	08-07 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 13:21:06	Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Alexandra Eala	Alexandra Eala	BUY	20,316	74¢	$15,000	0x80e704…
09-24 08:37:15	Chengdu Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov	Tallon Griekspoor	SELL	32,776	11¢	$3,463	0x709a6e…
09-24 08:32:57	Chengdu Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Denis Shapovalov	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	32,776	30¢	$9,996	0x726478…
09-23 12:37:04	atp royer walton 2026 09 22	Adam Walton	BUY	72,316	14¢	$10,000	0x3d929d…
09-23 12:21:17	atp glinka blanche 2026 09 23	Daniil Glinka	SELL	673	100¢	$672	0x44ce7a…
09-23 12:21:07	wta dodin malygin 2026 09 23	Elena Malygina	SELL	10,638	100¢	$10,628	0xed907b…
09-23 11:59:56	wta dodin malygin 2026 09 23	Elena Malygina	BUY	10,638	94¢	$10,000	0x2c0499…
09-23 11:54:40	atp compagn tiffon 2026 09 23	Pol Martin Tiffon	BUY	21,562	93¢	$20,000	0x34bb5d…
09-23 11:45:47	atp glinka blanche 2026 09 23	Daniil Glinka	BUY	673	86¢	$576	0x2c2f8b…
09-23 08:01:44	atp mochizu kotov 2026 09 23	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	21,652	92¢	$20,000	0xf17fa0…
09-22 10:30:27	Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova	Matthew Dellavedova	BUY	214	35¢	$75	0x96294f…
09-22 10:26:27	Hangzhou Open, Qualification: Fajing Sun vs Matthew Dellavedova	Matthew Dellavedova	BUY	19,917	50¢	$10,000	0xa068ea…
09-22 10:20:45	Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	11,628	86¢	$10,000	0x7c5519…
09-22 10:18:10	Chengdu Open, Qualification: Luca Castelnuovo vs Pavel Kotov	Pavel Kotov	BUY	144	55¢	$79	0x1f0236…
09-21 09:45:51	wta astakho linette 2026 09 21	Magda Linette	BUY	12,472	80¢	$10,000	0x2f580b…
09-21 08:27:09	Korea Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Polina Kudermetova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	1,584	58¢	$923	0x350bf1…
09-20 13:23:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	15,957	63¢	$10,000	0xf51692…
09-19 15:44:18	atp canas clarke 2026 09 19	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	5,814	86¢	$5,000	0x462d2b…
09-18 15:03:04	wta rapolu knutson 2026 09 18	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	36,024	69¢	$25,000	0x2266d4…
09-18 14:51:19	wta rapolu knutson 2026 09 18	Gabriela Knutson	SELL	22,611	47¢	$10,540	0xc08d0b…
09-18 14:32:30	wta rapolu knutson 2026 09 18	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	22,611	35¢	$8,000	0x34cbdc…
09-18 14:15:12	atp kotov noguchi 2026 09 18	Pavel Kotov	BUY	5,548	90¢	$5,000	0x0b92c1…
09-18 13:55:54	Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh	Harold Mayot	BUY	14,276	70¢	$10,000	0xdcacd2…
09-17 15:56:07	wta marista ribera 2026 09 16	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	862	73¢	$626	0x90f661…
09-17 15:51:15	wta marista ribera 2026 09 16	Guiomar Maristany	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x0176e3…
09-17 10:55:06	atp matusev schoolk 2026 09 17	Tristan Schoolkate	BUY	3,300	87¢	$2,869	0x67b362…
09-16 20:41:25	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	4,192	24¢	$1,010	0x9276f3…
09-16 14:43:48	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7,248	69¢	$5,000	0x680dcf…
09-16 14:43:33	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7,280	69¢	$5,000	0xd1127e…
09-16 14:43:13	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	8,385	60¢	$5,000	0xd463e4…
09-15 19:28:16	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?	Yes	BUY	19,512	82¢	$16,000	0x582858…
09-15 19:26:48	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	23,023	69¢	$15,826	0xc33c43…
09-04 13:17:21	atp marcos canas 2026 09 04	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	2,667	75¢	$2,000	0x510821…
08-19 16:53:40	atp jodar cobolli 2026 08 19	Rafael Jodar	BUY	41,260	85¢	$35,000	0x90e334…
08-19 16:50:07	atp jodar cobolli 2026 08 19	Rafael Jodar	BUY	57,727	87¢	$50,000	0xe438fe…
08-18 23:15:00	atp faria walton 2026 08 18	Jaime Faria	BUY	17,654	57¢	$10,000	0x3b23bb…
08-14 10:49:21	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Aziz Dougaz	BUY	30,266	66¢	$20,000	0x79b759…
08-14 10:47:30	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Aziz Dougaz	BUY	25,097	66¢	$16,541	0x3e4298…
08-14 10:42:33	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Jie Cui	SELL	12,300	32¢	$3,936	0xaebdad…
08-14 10:34:18	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Jie Cui	SELL	10,000	28¢	$2,760	0xcba9f8…
08-14 10:21:42	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Jie Cui	SELL	15,000	19¢	$2,922	0x389f88…
08-14 10:01:04	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Jie Cui	BUY	27,884	72¢	$20,000	0xf587f8…
08-14 09:59:39	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Jie Cui	BUY	7,469	67¢	$5,000	0x835af3…
08-14 09:44:45	atp cui dougaz 2026 08 14	Jie Cui	BUY	2,039	32¢	$652	0x5a91b8…
08-13 13:25:16	atp shelton nakashi 2026 08 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	72,109	69¢	$49,838	0x8ec3c6…
08-13 12:20:01	atp nedic taberne 2026 08 13	Andrej Nedic	BUY	46,115	87¢	$40,000	0x73a176…
08-12 13:37:42	atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12	Rafael Jodar	BUY	53,916	68¢	$36,522	0x933cd7…
08-12 13:37:42	atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12	Rafael Jodar	BUY	70,458	69¢	$48,478	0x403559…
08-12 09:53:54	atp su pankin 2026 08 12	Fajing Sun	BUY	48,067	62¢	$30,000	0xb18f4d…
08-12 08:33:43	atp su pankin 2026 08 12	Fajing Sun	BUY	16,733	67¢	$11,211	0xa20179…
08-11 15:39:27	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Rafael Jodar	BUY	34,538	58¢	$20,000	0xe986c3…
08-10 20:25:34	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Rafael Jodar	BUY	27,273	55¢	$15,000	0x65c735…
08-10 10:32:13	atp ratti sach 2026 08 10	Lucio Ratti	BUY	15,083	66¢	$10,000	0xb08c20…
08-10 10:07:10	atp matsuda matsuok 2026 08 10	Hayato Matsuoka	BUY	27,864	90¢	$25,000	0x251e7d…
08-09 19:39:46	wta korneev gauff 2026 08 09	Alina Korneeva	BUY	21,739	23¢	$5,000	0x9e1136…
08-09 13:06:30	wta samsono rybakin 2026 08 09	Elena Rybakina	BUY	52,250	76¢	$39,450	0x0b59f2…
08-09 13:06:28	wta samsono rybakin 2026 08 09	Elena Rybakina	BUY	723	76¢	$550	0xd7568b…
08-09 07:48:48	itf ahouda artnak 2026 08 09	Bor Artnak	BUY	5,870	86¢	$5,044	0x8b5adf…
08-09 07:46:30	atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	Rafael Jodar	BUY	3,843	52¢	$2,000	0x53e290…
08-08 18:23:43	wta kostyuk swiatek 2026 08 09	Iga Swiatek	BUY	53,705	93¢	$50,000	0x048f5a…
08-07 17:40:31	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	50,000	80¢	$40,000	0x04ac3b…
08-07 17:32:55	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	6,543	92¢	$6,000	0x3e972a…
08-07 15:18:39	atp alexand papoe 2026 08 07	Radu Mihai Papoe	BUY	33,250	90¢	$30,000	0x91fd01…
08-07 15:17:30	atp matsuda brouwer 2026 08 07	Koki Matsuda	BUY	27,178	74¢	$20,000	0xd0c775…
08-07 14:28:13	atp schwaer ivashka 2026 08 07	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	25,317	79¢	$20,000	0x8102c1…
08-07 12:53:43	wta andreev fernand 2026 08 08	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	18,798	80¢	$15,000	0xbf0aad…
08-07 12:29:00	atp jover lazarov 2026 08 07	Carlos Sanchez Jover	BUY	36,769	82¢	$30,000	0xc455e5…
08-07 12:22:58	atp simakin bax 2026 08 07	Ilia Simakin	BUY	23,188	86¢	$20,000	0x67d04e…
08-06 16:20:00	wta gibson alexand 2026 08 05	Ekaterina Alexandrova	BUY	23,748	63¢	$15,000	0x311c53…
08-06 16:17:44	Will Rodri join Barcelona?	Yes	BUY	3,034	82¢	$2,500	0x27c3ce…
08-06 15:13:24	atp schwaer dougaz 2026 08 06	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	1,884	47¢	$886	0xa9a74e…
08-06 15:07:26	Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	BUY	134,103	52¢	$69,966	0x91cb86…
08-06 13:32:06	atp kym houkes 2026 08 05	Jerome Kym	BUY	20,581	97¢	$20,000	0x191548…
08-06 12:46:09	wta lee falkows 2026 08 06	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	23,482	85¢	$20,000	0x9bebea…
08-06 12:43:41	wta barthel yaneva 2026 08 06	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	25,151	79¢	$19,981	0xd1b813…
08-06 12:37:08	wta barthel yaneva 2026 08 06	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	39	65¢	$25	0xf3cfca…
08-06 11:09:33	wta lee falkows 2026 08 06	Carol Young Suh Lee	SELL	8,000	52¢	$4,160	0xf72df3…
08-06 10:48:50	wta lee falkows 2026 08 06	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	18,750	80¢	$15,000	0x6e9472…
08-05 20:52:26	atp jodar moutet 2026 08 06	Rafael Jodar	BUY	45,736	66¢	$30,000	0x5ff797…
08-05 19:53:32	atp kecmano rinderk 2026 08 06	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	13,699	73¢	$10,000	0x637b4a…
08-05 17:15:54	wta kasatki rybakin 2026 08 06	Elena Rybakina	BUY	27,425	91¢	$25,000	0xe0f9a5…
08-05 17:06:05	atp vachero navone 2026 08 06	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	2,845	15¢	$427	0xa6dabb…
08-05 17:04:06	atp vachero navone 2026 08 06	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	10,000	25¢	$2,474	0xafd1c9…
08-05 16:41:26	atp vachero navone 2026 08 06	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	21,127	71¢	$15,000	0x74a8cf…
08-05 15:20:27	wta kasatki rybakin 2026 08 06	Elena Rybakina	BUY	34,884	86¢	$30,000	0x96c1c2…
08-05 15:19:45	atp tsitsip fonseca 2026 08 05	Joao Fonseca	BUY	32,895	76¢	$25,000	0x8b5411…
08-05 13:28:06	wta yaneva yuan 2026 08 05	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	36,005	56¢	$20,000	0x1ffaab…
08-05 12:12:02	atp durasov guerrie 2026 08 05	Andrea Guerrieri	BUY	24,873	60¢	$15,000	0x91a4b3…
08-05 11:54:06	wta knutson seidel 2026 08 05	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	29,300	85¢	$25,000	0x41c170…
08-05 10:09:45	wta kawa mikulsk 2026 08 05	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	25,000	60¢	$15,000	0xf8b7a2…
08-05 09:31:03	atp canas donski 2026 08 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	8,525	68¢	$5,805	0x0006e1…
08-05 09:28:29	wta kawa mikulsk 2026 08 05	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	17,652	85¢	$15,000	0x9aadd9…
08-04 17:12:42	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Elina Svitolina	BUY	26,667	75¢	$20,000	0x7763d6…
08-04 17:12:21	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	SELL	10,000	24¢	$2,400	0x00f14a…
08-04 17:11:30	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	SELL	10,000	28¢	$2,800	0xc09320…
08-04 17:09:30	wta svitoli maneiro 2026 08 04	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	21,277	47¢	$10,000	0xb8a494…
08-04 16:57:54	atp chan tirante 2026 08 03	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	14,499	69¢	$10,000	0x485243…
08-04 16:43:12	atp chan tirante 2026 08 03	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	35	35¢	$12	0xc7f8b7…
08-04 13:45:11	wta knutson costoul 2026 08 03	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	13,251	75¢	$10,000	0xe80ecd…
08-04 13:06:14	wta klimovi yaneva 2026 08 03	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	4,562	88¢	$4,000	0x5dca2e…