Nutritious-Caterpillar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

Trades

136

lifetime

Volume

$10.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$80

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-27

last 10-26 11:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Tech

67% 75% -$1

Other

32% 33% +$4

Politics

1% 0% $0

Crypto

0% 0% $0

Sports

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+4	$3	76¢	$3	$0	10-26 11:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	55	$5.1K	2,687	2,687	+0	Yes	-$4	06-17 11:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	24	$2.0K	992	992	+0	Yes	+$0	06-16 18:39
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	5	$1.4K	695	695	+0	Yes	+$1	06-04 14:43
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	6	$1.2K	656	656	+0	No	+$4	06-12 16:31
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	3	$675	350	350	+0	Yes	+$1	06-01 12:21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	5	$206	112	112	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 09:37
will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	7	$197	251	251	+0	open	—	07-12 07:47
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	05-31 08:21
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	Yes	$0	05-31 07:53
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?	2	$18	19	19	+0	No	$0	07-17 15:35
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$17	25	25	+0	open	—	06-10 04:42
Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	2	$14	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	07-12 00:50
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	4	$13	8	8	-0	No	$0	07-27 04:49
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	10-03 04:25
Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	09-05 06:36
Ohio State vs. Indiana	2	$8	7	7	+0	Ohio State	$0	10-16 13:15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$7	7	7	+0	Baltimore Orioles	$0	05-31 08:08
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	$0	06-10 04:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	10-03 04:53
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	09-05 05:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	10-26 11:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 11:38:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xedb33b…
10-16 13:15:57	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Ohio State	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x7652e9…
10-16 12:30:18	Ohio State vs. Indiana	Ohio State	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0c364a…
10-03 04:53:11	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x4aabaf…
10-03 04:38:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x215a70…
10-03 04:25:42	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x6f3a86…
10-03 03:45:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x01ea72…
09-05 06:36:15	Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x36feed…
09-05 05:31:30	Will Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x91fe89…
09-05 05:22:52	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xf5f772…
09-05 05:10:22	Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x6d1a39…
07-27 04:49:45	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x3e995d…
07-27 04:39:30	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xf74fbd…
07-27 04:28:18	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xff738f…
07-27 04:02:07	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$4	0x466862…
07-17 15:35:13	Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?	No	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xc3ead7…
07-17 13:53:00	Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x004010…
07-12 07:47:10	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	SELL	63	23¢	$15	0x78645a…
07-12 05:01:26	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x2cd73a…
07-12 05:00:46	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	SELL	31	5¢	$2	0x2b0907…
07-12 05:00:07	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	SELL	58	32¢	$19	0xa39d5e…
07-12 04:59:07	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	SELL	30	36¢	$11	0xa74a95…
07-12 04:56:38	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0x1d878e…
07-12 04:53:56	will the ornn b200 index hit 4pt50 low by december 31 2026 20260709171530833	No	BUY	251	50¢	$126	0x384533…
07-12 00:50:23	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xcec12b…
07-12 00:45:52	Will ONSIDE GAMING Win Challengers 2026: Korea WDG Split 2	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xad3c4e…
06-17 11:49:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	376	96¢	$360	0x60db8e…
06-17 10:26:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	279	96¢	$266	0x702420…
06-17 09:37:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x4d4741…
06-17 09:31:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	97	96¢	$93	0xc23d2d…
06-17 08:42:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	232	96¢	$222	0xeec823…
06-17 08:29:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x2b6509…
06-17 08:25:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x9b7f23…
06-17 08:14:14	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xc63197…
06-17 08:10:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xf7b35a…
06-17 06:58:55	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0xdfd709…
06-17 06:55:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$11	0x57109b…
06-17 06:48:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b36f9…
06-17 06:48:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x3be17d…
06-17 06:46:59	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xd61bdd…
06-17 05:38:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	290	94¢	$273	0xe2b11a…
06-16 20:50:17	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	147	95¢	$139	0xdbf844…
06-16 20:48:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x94cda7…
06-16 20:43:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	118	95¢	$111	0xab47f2…
06-16 20:11:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	315	95¢	$298	0x2a6d45…
06-16 19:24:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	287	94¢	$271	0x310477…
06-16 18:51:35	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	28	93¢	$26	0x59c27d…
06-16 18:39:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	306	100¢	$305	0x627315…
06-16 18:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb1e484…
06-16 18:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xab727d…
06-16 18:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6feb5e…
06-16 18:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x27d590…
06-16 18:36:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0ecfda…
06-16 18:36:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x187d9b…
06-16 18:36:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0x6c6d97…
06-16 18:00:31	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x00bc35…
06-16 17:44:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x3e2f9c…
06-16 17:07:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	345	100¢	$344	0x855732…
06-13 17:17:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	345	100¢	$343	0x690366…
06-13 08:53:25	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	18	95¢	$17	0x97895a…
06-13 08:49:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x56ef7f…
06-13 08:44:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	13	95¢	$12	0xbc51f4…
06-13 08:43:13	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xe4f8a5…
06-13 08:41:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	23	95¢	$21	0x53a44a…
06-12 17:00:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	94¢	$282	0x1ea630…
06-12 16:52:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xfb7b84…
06-12 16:46:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xb0c743…
06-12 16:31:18	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0x06413b…
06-12 04:05:37	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x297580…
06-10 09:50:13	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	260	99¢	$257	0xbf5155…
06-10 09:32:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	92¢	$64	0xbf8a9e…
06-10 05:38:51	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x4a03cc…
06-10 04:49:58	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xf915c2…
06-10 04:47:49	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x490979…
06-10 04:42:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	17	34¢	$6	0x4d6db6…
06-10 04:39:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xeb524a…
06-05 15:22:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xd19302…
06-05 15:21:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0xb3afc2…
06-05 15:21:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	286	91¢	$261	0xe94ecf…
06-04 20:24:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	165	95¢	$156	0x51592c…
06-04 19:58:58	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	214	95¢	$203	0xe23928…
06-04 18:23:07	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	SELL	391	94¢	$367	0xee5a12…
06-04 15:21:36	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	391	93¢	$363	0x4a99d4…
06-04 14:43:30	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	99¢	$323	0x147615…
06-04 14:32:51	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xc4b8d1…
06-04 13:17:10	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	341	99¢	$338	0x1458e1…
06-04 13:00:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$33	0xafd5d2…
06-04 11:28:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	307	98¢	$303	0x423b12…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$18	0xf5567e…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xec0a1e…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0xe15355…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcc13f1…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x94abdd…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x8fa1fb…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x42df03…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x20464c…
06-03 14:25:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x11245f…
06-03 14:25:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa64d1d…
06-03 14:25:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x69e8e8…
06-03 14:25:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x06586c…