Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$890

Unrealized P&L

-$180

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$271

Open exposure

$1.05K

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-18 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

45% 86% +$356

Politics

40% 80% +$150

Tech

15% 100% +$364

Crypto

0% 100% +$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+575	$500	94¢	$537	+$37	07-31 09:11
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	+500	$435	71¢	$355	-$80	08-10 08:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+500	$300	32¢	$162	-$138	10-18 12:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$167	04-04 09:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$720	400	400	+0	Yes	+$72	04-13 06:44
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	2	$639	535	139	+396	No	+$35	03-14 06:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$511	700	0	+700	No	+$189	04-04 10:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	1	$500	704	0	+704	No	+$204	06-02 16:07
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$500	575	0	+575	open	—	07-31 09:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	1	$500	556	0	+556	No	+$56	06-02 16:08
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	1	$435	500	0	+500	open	—	08-10 08:18
Iran leadership change by May 31?	1	$400	471	0	+471	No	+$71	04-25 12:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	1	$400	513	0	+513	Yes	+$113	03-03 06:33
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$386	200	200	+0	No	+$14	10-05 19:09
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	1	$364	400	0	+400	No	+$36	04-13 06:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$331	180	180	+0	No	+$29	10-05 19:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	1	$300	500	0	+500	open	—	10-18 12:30
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	4	$237	300	0	+300	No	-$237	08-19 21:57
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$172	200	0	+200	Argentina	+$28	07-07 15:34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	1	$100	196	0	+196	No	+$96	06-02 16:23
Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	1	$100	108	0	+108	Yes	+$8	05-28 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Up	+$20	06-02 09:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$10	16	0	+16	No	-$10	08-09 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 12:30:20	Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x8c124f…
10-05 19:09:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$180	0x1cacb4…
10-05 19:09:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x06801e…
08-19 21:57:55	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	167	79¢	$132	0xe18187…
08-19 14:28:09	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xa8c592…
08-10 13:56:58	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x14ffe9…
08-10 08:18:13	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x763a3b…
08-10 08:17:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xeb83da…
08-10 08:16:45	Will the Moderate Party (M) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x48bf04…
08-10 08:13:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	180	84¢	$151	0xd93e85…
08-09 09:47:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf695a0…
07-31 09:11:53	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	575	87¢	$500	0x1c61cc…
07-07 15:34:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xb2e726…
06-02 16:23:32	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc93302…
06-02 16:08:11	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	No	BUY	556	90¢	$500	0x91c9c7…
06-02 16:07:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?	No	BUY	704	71¢	$500	0x026cc9…
06-02 09:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x911510…
05-28 12:52:08	Claude 4.8 released by June 15?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x99293d…
04-25 12:34:18	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0x090a7c…
04-13 06:52:33	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	No	BUY	400	91¢	$364	0xdd2948…
04-13 06:44:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x9a46ba…
04-12 07:20:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	400	81¢	$324	0xa18d64…
04-04 10:14:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	695	73¢	$507	0x1bbe27…
04-04 09:43:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x34808b…
04-04 09:13:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0xbe107d…
03-21 09:49:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	700	76¢	$532	0x00cfaf…
03-14 06:51:47	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	SELL	139	100¢	$139	0xd1a1c2…
03-12 08:50:21	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by march 13 793 685 412	No	BUY	535	93¢	$500	0x577f36…
03-03 06:33:07	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	Yes	BUY	513	78¢	$400	0xa02451…