Realized P&L
+$53.2K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
58.6%
Resolved
301
Trades
9,945
lifetime
Volume
$1.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 05-10 18:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 57 days
Categories
Politics
67%
71%
+$31,067
Other
31%
81%
+$15,934
Crypto
1%
100%
+$1,233
Tech
1%
100%
+$5,040
Sports
0%
0%
-$90
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-10).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 242 | $391.2K | 193,022 | 209,373 | -16,351 | No | -$1,763 | 02-17 13:52 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 326 | $127.2K | 132,486 | 76,173 | +56,313 | No | +$26,186 | 01-31 13:40 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 225 | $109.3K | 143,521 | 61,416 | +82,105 | Yes | -$32,313 | 02-19 09:09 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 273 | $90.4K | 85,292 | 82,906 | +2,387 | Yes | +$500 | 01-31 13:17 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 44 | $81.5K | 95,175 | 6,695 | +88,480 | No | +$19,951 | 02-17 13:58 |
| si above 80 jan 2026 | 92 | $62.8K | 64,269 | 0 | +64,269 | No | +$1,443 | 01-31 01:03 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 461 | $60.8K | 125,605 | 33,301 | +92,304 | Yes | -$23,568 | 02-19 14:27 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 107 | $60.7K | 33,794 | 36,670 | -2,876 | Yes | -$1,329 | 02-11 13:59 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 87 | $55.5K | 48,599 | 23,627 | +24,973 | No | +$2,554 | 01-26 21:28 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 397 | $50.0K | 74,738 | 76,935 | -2,197 | No | +$40,757 | 01-24 15:52 |
| will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66 | 153 | $42.2K | 36,679 | 6,432 | +30,247 | Yes | +$851 | 02-19 18:46 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | 125 | $41.8K | 41,567 | 1,027 | +40,540 | Yes | +$815 | 02-19 14:40 |
| us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476 | 76 | $33.4K | 15,580 | 19,161 | -3,581 | No | +$583 | 01-30 20:35 |
| si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842 | 32 | $29.4K | 14,078 | 17,815 | -3,737 | No | +$403 | 01-30 21:17 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 125 | $28.1K | 84,487 | 70,748 | +13,740 | No | -$502 | 01-30 09:24 |
| iran strike on israel by january 31 | 37 | $24.2K | 29,126 | 1,750 | +27,376 | No | +$2,822 | 01-30 23:13 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 775 | $20.4K | 185,241 | 85,000 | +100,241 | No | -$8,730 | 02-18 22:33 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 51 | $18.4K | 12,159 | 9,853 | +2,306 | No | +$1,758 | 02-07 00:54 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | 333 | $16.7K | 19,073 | 0 | +19,073 | Yes | +$2,355 | 02-19 01:08 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 45 | $15.5K | 14,880 | 900 | +13,980 | No | +$210 | 01-06 19:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 1 2026 | 29 | $15.1K | 10,800 | 5,400 | +5,400 | No | +$1,050 | 02-01 22:14 |
| will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31 | 427 | $15.1K | 16,658 | 17,031 | -374 | No | -$10,128 | 01-06 21:34 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 111 | $12.7K | 6,492 | 6,492 | +0 | Yes | +$38 | 01-30 20:06 |
| will khamenei leave iran by friday | 41 | $12.3K | 13,259 | 0 | +13,259 | No | +$387 | 01-09 00:40 |
| jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am | 221 | $11.8K | 37,213 | 22,831 | +14,382 | No | -$2,747 | 02-17 01:15 |
| nicols maduro seen in public by january 5 | 47 | $11.1K | 7,612 | 4,818 | +2,794 | Yes | +$285 | 01-03 22:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449 | 28 | $10.9K | 11,479 | 0 | +11,479 | No | +$581 | 01-25 22:16 |
| gc settle 4725 4850 jan 2026 | 40 | $10.7K | 11,032 | 0 | +11,032 | Yes | +$307 | 01-31 00:39 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31 | 32 | $10.3K | 8,592 | 2,780 | +5,812 | No | +$368 | 01-30 21:21 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | 4 | $10.0K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | No | +$15 | 01-29 20:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||