Realized P&L
+$5.21K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
9,944
lifetime
Volume
$1.79M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$180
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 02-21 07:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67%
100%
+$5,206
Other
31%
—
—
Crypto
1%
—
—
Tech
1%
—
—
Sports
0%
—
—
Activity
No trades on file.
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 242 | $391.2K | 193,022 | 209,373 | -16,351 | open | — | 02-17 13:52 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 326 | $127.2K | 132,486 | 76,173 | +56,313 | open | — | 01-31 13:40 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 225 | $109.3K | 143,521 | 61,416 | +82,105 | open | — | 02-19 09:09 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 273 | $90.4K | 85,292 | 82,906 | +2,387 | open | — | 01-31 13:17 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | 44 | $81.5K | 95,175 | 6,695 | +88,480 | open | — | 02-17 13:58 |
| si above 80 jan 2026 | 92 | $62.8K | 64,269 | 0 | +64,269 | open | — | 01-31 01:03 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 461 | $60.8K | 125,605 | 33,301 | +92,304 | open | — | 02-19 14:27 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 107 | $60.7K | 33,794 | 36,670 | -2,876 | open | — | 02-11 13:59 |
| us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511 | 87 | $55.5K | 48,599 | 23,627 | +24,973 | open | — | 01-26 21:28 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 397 | $50.0K | 74,738 | 76,935 | -2,197 | open | — | 01-24 15:52 |
| will the next dutch government be vvd cda d66 | 153 | $42.2K | 36,679 | 6,432 | +30,247 | open | — | 02-19 18:46 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | 125 | $41.8K | 41,567 | 1,027 | +40,540 | open | — | 02-19 14:40 |
| us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476 | 76 | $33.4K | 15,580 | 19,161 | -3,581 | open | — | 01-30 20:35 |
| si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842 | 32 | $29.4K | 14,078 | 17,815 | -3,737 | open | — | 01-30 21:17 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 125 | $28.1K | 84,487 | 70,748 | +13,740 | open | — | 01-30 09:24 |
| iran strike on israel by january 31 | 37 | $24.2K | 29,126 | 1,750 | +27,376 | open | — | 01-30 23:13 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 775 | $20.4K | 185,241 | 85,000 | +100,241 | open | — | 02-18 22:33 |
| us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294 | 51 | $18.4K | 12,159 | 9,853 | +2,306 | open | — | 02-07 00:54 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | 333 | $16.7K | 19,073 | 0 | +19,073 | open | — | 02-19 01:08 |
| new stranger things episode released by wednesday | 45 | $15.5K | 14,880 | 900 | +13,980 | open | — | 01-06 19:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 1 2026 | 29 | $15.1K | 10,800 | 5,400 | +5,400 | open | — | 02-01 22:14 |
| will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31 | 427 | $15.1K | 16,658 | 17,031 | -374 | open | — | 01-06 21:34 |
| will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 111 | $12.7K | 6,492 | 6,492 | +0 | open | — | 01-30 20:06 |
| will khamenei leave iran by friday | 41 | $12.3K | 13,259 | 0 | +13,259 | open | — | 01-09 00:40 |
| jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am | 221 | $11.8K | 37,213 | 22,831 | +14,382 | open | — | 02-17 01:15 |
| nicols maduro seen in public by january 5 | 47 | $11.1K | 7,612 | 4,818 | +2,794 | open | — | 01-03 22:20 |
| us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449 | 28 | $10.9K | 11,479 | 0 | +11,479 | open | — | 01-25 22:16 |
| gc settle 4725 4850 jan 2026 | 40 | $10.7K | 11,032 | 0 | +11,032 | open | — | 01-31 00:39 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31 | 32 | $10.3K | 8,592 | 2,780 | +5,812 | open | — | 01-30 21:21 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | 4 | $10.0K | 5,000 | 5,000 | +0 | open | — | 01-29 20:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | 230 | $16.7M | 28,728 | 05-06 07:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2 | 210 | $207.0K | 17,834 | 03-28 06:05 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | 210 | $34.6K | 7,487 | 04-25 14:47 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | 205 | $437.2K | 37,545 | 04-20 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | 188 | $15.1K | 8,843 | 05-09 05:58 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | 182 | $953.6K | 19,635 | 05-07 22:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | 167 | $71.6K | 27,793 | 04-16 08:54 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | 160 | $185.9K | 1,427 | 04-21 21:02 |