Flimsy-Theology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$720

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

123

Trades

312

lifetime

Volume

$8.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-25

last 10-26 06:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Other

100% 28% -$720

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 18?	4	$436	373	373	+0	Yes	+$143	07-18 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 2?	2	$297	171	171	+0	Yes	+$44	09-02 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 6?	3	$290	167	167	+0	Yes	+$42	09-06 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 17?	3	$265	205	205	+0	Yes	+$143	07-17 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	6	$242	202	202	+0	Yes	-$61	09-05 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	4	$204	192	192	+0	Yes	+$50	08-27 17:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	4	$195	300	97	+203	No	-$111	09-07 14:01
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	2	$195	160	160	+0	No	+$32	06-18 16:22
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?	10	$184	156	156	+0	Yes	+$128	06-24 20:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 12?	5	$179	121	121	+0	Yes	+$62	07-12 18:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	2	$179	111	111	+0	Yes	+$43	08-24 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 23?	2	$175	100	100	+0	Yes	+$25	08-23 20:51
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 7?	2	$163	100	100	+0	Yes	+$35	09-07 07:02
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 21?	2	$161	202	202	+0	Yes	+$3	07-20 07:37
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 15?	2	$160	115	115	+0	Yes	+$70	07-15 18:38
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?	2	$143	100	100	+0	Yes	+$17	06-19 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	2	$140	100	100	+0	Yes	+$60	08-25 18:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 11?	2	$139	100	100	+0	Yes	+$61	07-11 17:27
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 13?	2	$138	93	93	+0	Yes	+$48	07-13 18:02
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$136	126	126	+0	Yes	+$78	06-15 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 25?	32	$132	500	0	+500	No	-$132	06-24 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	3	$124	100	100	+0	Yes	+$74	08-28 12:54
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	2	$113	100	100	+0	Yes	-$19	06-16 20:07
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	2	$102	80	80	+0	Yes	+$56	06-14 21:55
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on August 16?	3	$100	104	104	+0	No	+$8	08-16 13:19
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	2	$99	161	0	+161	No	-$99	09-10 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	3	$97	96	96	+0	Yes	-$3	09-03 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on July 19?	3	$91	388	0	+388	No	-$91	07-19 06:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 20?	2	$84	209	209	+0	No	-$71	07-20 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 10?	3	$83	54	54	+0	Yes	+$25	07-10 17:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 06:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	47	89¢	$42	0xaf8521…
09-10 14:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	72	9¢	$7	0xf3abca…
09-10 14:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	23	17¢	$4	0x619ca7…
09-10 09:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	95	71¢	$67	0x08e79a…
09-10 04:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0xee98b6…
09-09 21:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	99	58¢	$57	0x062ff1…
09-08 21:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xbb4b3c…
09-08 21:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xfbc3a5…
09-07 21:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x8b1cbf…
09-07 14:01:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x20de45…
09-07 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	94	53¢	$50	0xb50047…
09-07 11:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x47680e…
09-07 10:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xc35f1d…
09-07 10:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xaf7f7d…
09-07 10:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x20f890…
09-07 10:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x68a3f4…
09-07 10:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	97	44¢	$42	0x1eea38…
09-07 10:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xdc8eb3…
09-07 07:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xaaa6b5…
09-06 16:59:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 7?	Yes	SELL	57	40¢	$23	0xbff803…
09-06 16:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 6?	Yes	SELL	167	100¢	$166	0x840493…
09-06 14:18:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	57	58¢	$33	0x57628f…
09-06 14:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xc88707…
09-06 12:35:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	125	76¢	$95	0x86505e…
09-06 12:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	42	70¢	$29	0x3d6d87…
09-05 15:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	18	29¢	$5	0x88d92d…
09-05 15:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	86	30¢	$26	0x9f2c85…
09-05 12:55:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	105	78¢	$81	0x365f7e…
09-05 12:53:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xae896a…
09-05 12:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	194	17¢	$33	0x8186f1…
09-05 11:53:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	97	61¢	$60	0x8ba6f4…
09-05 11:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	92	73¢	$67	0x40f33d…
09-05 09:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0xf3a1e5…
09-05 09:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x57c06b…
09-05 09:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x138005…
09-05 08:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x22e612…
09-05 08:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x36bc23…
09-05 08:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x639000…
09-05 08:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x100564…
09-05 08:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xbcb5b8…
09-05 08:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf47524…
09-05 08:04:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x00eeab…
09-05 07:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x7371f8…
09-05 07:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$6	0x231606…
09-05 07:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9febcc…
09-05 07:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x0affda…
09-03 20:59:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	86	5¢	$4	0x4dd085…
09-03 20:59:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xed3dc1…
09-03 10:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	16	46¢	$7	0x4cd24e…
09-03 10:43:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0xafcbe9…
09-03 07:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	77	20¢	$15	0x4cd5cd…
09-02 21:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xba6234…
09-02 17:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0x6b4f94…
09-02 13:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	171	74¢	$127	0x943e15…
09-02 05:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x1007ae…
09-02 05:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x73d66e…
09-02 05:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x2f6d4d…
08-31 05:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xd2a36a…
08-30 14:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x642bf7…
08-30 11:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 30?	Yes	SELL	101	3¢	$3	0x48e1b4…
08-30 11:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x3a737d…
08-30 10:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 30?	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xb5f472…
08-29 13:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xea4335…
08-29 13:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x56c5ea…
08-29 13:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x451caf…
08-29 12:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xa8cdeb…
08-29 11:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x2cfa48…
08-29 11:49:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xe865f9…
08-29 11:47:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	15	58¢	$9	0xf55214…
08-29 06:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x70dbe7…
08-29 06:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	47	50¢	$23	0xc6b8da…
08-28 19:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x93befb…
08-28 12:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xf1e385…
08-28 10:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xcc7964…
08-27 21:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x0960a3…
08-27 20:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	40	28¢	$11	0x8d0d55…
08-27 20:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7e0254…
08-27 20:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x6c0d92…
08-27 20:05:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x4505d9…
08-27 19:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xd3e64b…
08-27 17:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x50571b…
08-27 17:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	65	25¢	$16	0xd93f3c…
08-27 12:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x9ff643…
08-27 12:18:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	115	7¢	$8	0xa4ab33…
08-26 16:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	SELL	92	29¢	$27	0xaf39ce…
08-26 15:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	92	40¢	$37	0xebb250…
08-26 11:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x92bedc…
08-26 11:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	136	29¢	$40	0xa76ccd…
08-25 18:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8433c3…
08-25 11:43:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x66223c…
08-25 11:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on August 25?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xffddb2…
08-24 18:33:09	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x741bf9…
08-24 12:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	99	19¢	$19	0xf0ecac…
08-24 06:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	111	61¢	$68	0x42a4d0…
08-23 20:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xc9baec…
08-23 12:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x3b5ee2…
08-17 09:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x958638…
08-17 09:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x4b9189…
08-17 09:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0x5559b1…
08-17 09:08:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x3a91e6…