Experienced-Diction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.76K

Unrealized P&L

+$26

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

675

Trades

3,774

lifetime

Volume

$103.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$103

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 10-26 23:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

98% 20% -$3,989

Crypto

1% 28% -$350

Politics

0% 0% -$406

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+89	$46	57¢	$51	+$5	10-26 23:38
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+124	$20	39¢	$48	+$28	10-26 13:45
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+105	$9	2¢	$2	-$7	10-26 18:14
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$2	0¢	$2	$0	10-26 23:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	20	$2.6K	1,995	1,995	+0	Yes	+$284	06-29 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	43	$1.9K	1,651	1,651	+0	Yes	+$621	08-03 15:32
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	21	$1.8K	1,301	1,301	+0	Yes	+$782	07-25 17:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?	13	$1.7K	1,567	1,058	+509	No	-$304	08-18 22:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?	14	$1.5K	1,304	1,304	+0	Yes	+$486	07-01 16:09
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	9	$1.3K	1,020	1,020	+0	Yes	+$339	06-09 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	27	$1.3K	1,176	1,176	+0	Yes	+$302	08-21 17:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	11	$1.3K	1,290	1,290	+0	Yes	+$378	06-02 16:00
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	14	$1.3K	1,122	1,122	+0	Yes	+$789	07-24 16:12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?	12	$1.3K	1,033	958	+75	Yes	+$175	06-08 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	20	$1.2K	1,040	1,040	+0	Yes	+$174	07-21 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	12	$1.2K	1,007	1,007	+0	Yes	+$811	07-29 15:13
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	9	$1.1K	730	730	+0	Yes	+$234	07-31 16:04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	15	$1.1K	855	855	+0	Yes	+$406	06-30 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	19	$1.1K	1,321	1,321	+0	Yes	+$282	07-22 16:22
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	7	$1.0K	844	844	+0	Yes	+$40	07-28 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	13	$1.0K	716	716	+0	Yes	+$220	07-27 16:06
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	5	$998	639	639	+0	Yes	+$246	06-22 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	8	$967	729	729	+0	Yes	+$489	06-15 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	7	$964	766	766	+0	Yes	+$150	07-17 15:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	5	$960	891	891	+0	Yes	+$140	09-30 05:03
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	10	$932	1,181	748	+433	No	+$302	05-22 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$904	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	+$198	05-22 14:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	11	$863	1,071	1,071	+0	Yes	+$351	07-10 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	22	$838	1,228	1,228	+0	No	+$212	07-28 14:50
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	7	$838	668	668	+0	Yes	+$98	08-18 16:02
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	13	$838	702	702	+0	Yes	+$564	10-07 15:55
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	12	$830	727	727	+0	Yes	+$142	09-25 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	7	$825	722	722	+0	Yes	+$127	06-26 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	12	$823	1,207	983	+224	No	-$13	06-09 15:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:38:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5e9668…
10-26 23:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	51¢	$45	0x0a5d23…
10-26 23:22:12	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x80975d…
10-26 23:22:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd7143f…
10-26 23:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x5ec4a7…
10-26 18:14:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x16684a…
10-26 18:14:26	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	8¢	$7	0xf17ceb…
10-26 18:14:06	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd9284c…
10-26 18:14:00	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	9¢	$8	0x725ecf…
10-26 13:45:41	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	16¢	$20	0xdbae04…
10-26 13:32:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	161	1¢	$1	0xafe8ef…
10-26 13:28:23	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x9dbc0c…
10-26 13:18:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	58¢	$19	0xf07959…
10-26 13:17:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	56¢	$70	0xc5f59c…
10-26 13:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	62¢	$50	0x0a712c…
10-26 13:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x5413d5…
10-25 11:15:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	6¢	$10	0x24bb8b…
10-25 10:36:02	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x752de7…
10-25 10:35:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0xd1ec93…
10-25 10:29:20	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x575786…
10-25 10:28:54	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x804aea…
10-25 10:26:17	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	9¢	$9	0xeedfee…
10-25 02:06:12	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0xf186ab…
10-25 02:05:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xa2f8cb…
10-25 02:04:51	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc6ead7…
10-25 02:04:45	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0xf11761…
10-25 02:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	26¢	$50	0x04568d…
10-25 01:58:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	1¢	$1	0xc8a037…
10-24 22:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x50244c…
10-24 22:47:23	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	204	3¢	$6	0xf1c0e2…
10-24 15:23:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	0¢	$0	0x9613a1…
10-24 14:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	128	98¢	$125	0x5c9acd…
10-24 14:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$2	0xb84944…
10-24 14:40:57	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xc35f55…
10-24 14:32:29	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xe97ac0…
10-24 14:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0x43d291…
10-24 06:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xd1f655…
10-24 05:11:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x34eabd…
10-24 04:46:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x09bf84…
10-24 04:46:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0x1408e0…
10-24 04:45:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5221a9…
10-24 04:45:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0x8f6ae6…
10-24 04:44:14	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x212d7b…
10-23 23:46:35	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x1524fb…
10-23 22:20:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x17cbb6…
10-23 22:20:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xaf3b59…
10-23 22:19:11	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xb36498…
10-23 22:18:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xa1ce72…
10-23 22:14:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x7aab8c…
10-23 16:35:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4b176d…
10-23 15:13:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	1¢	$5	0x272fea…
10-23 15:12:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	32¢	$31	0x1a9bfc…
10-23 15:04:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	32¢	$35	0x0e455e…
10-23 15:01:35	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$6	0x55433c…
10-23 14:58:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	224	71¢	$160	0x05d1fb…
10-23 14:51:41	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x75b07b…
10-23 14:13:18	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	64¢	$110	0xb1f686…
10-23 11:35:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0xbe2ca8…
10-23 10:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xf58abc…
10-22 21:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x396674…
10-22 16:59:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x1b41ad…
10-22 16:40:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	1¢	$1	0x2fbb01…
10-22 15:27:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	327	3¢	$11	0xf97c3f…
10-22 15:27:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd2459d…
10-22 15:27:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	33¢	$32	0x36acf5…
10-22 14:04:20	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	12¢	$12	0xfefdec…
10-22 13:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	409	11¢	$45	0x21d940…
10-22 13:42:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	30¢	$52	0xf828c1…
10-22 13:26:11	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	443	10¢	$46	0x618f85…
10-22 12:21:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0xcbc835…
10-22 06:13:17	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x72c73f…
10-22 06:13:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	10¢	$9	0xc68456…
10-22 06:12:29	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	4¢	$5	0xb60121…
10-22 06:09:50	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xdb4a03…
10-22 06:09:32	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe7d11c…
10-22 06:09:25	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xfc00a9…
10-22 06:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4c1f20…
10-22 06:07:32	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	99	10¢	$10	0xcc9f34…
10-22 05:52:52	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	11¢	$11	0x9da876…
10-22 05:52:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	11¢	$11	0x57b50c…
10-22 05:46:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$2	0xa9f56e…
10-22 05:16:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	28¢	$27	0x80d963…
10-21 22:55:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xfb2aea…
10-21 22:55:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x72da47…
10-21 22:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0xab56b9…
10-21 18:00:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9ea945…
10-21 18:00:15	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xb904ea…
10-21 18:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xea5892…
10-21 16:58:21	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0x615d0b…
10-21 16:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc2de5b…
10-21 16:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	21¢	$11	0xd1aa5f…
10-21 16:31:20	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x9a8f0f…
10-21 16:29:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	7¢	$6	0xeea861…
10-21 16:26:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x8040da…
10-21 16:25:02	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0x9d1a31…
10-21 16:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	19¢	$21	0xefe6b4…
10-21 16:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xa8883d…
10-21 16:15:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	256	2¢	$4	0x20b636…
10-21 16:13:21	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	16¢	$50	0x53b9de…
10-21 14:56:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x1cd56d…