Simplistic-Vinegar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$142

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

53.6%

Resolved

473

Trades

2,904

lifetime

Volume

$53.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-11

last 07-28 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 53% +$198

Other

1% 57% -$56

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+10	$7	72¢	$7	+$0	07-09 19:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$573	798	400	+398	Up	-$205	05-11 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	46	$509	900	150	+750	Down	+$218	05-22 02:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	22	$468	600	300	+300	Down	-$150	05-23 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	23	$376	700	0	+700	Down	-$76	05-23 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	17	$366	857	0	+857	Up	-$366	05-21 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	26	$359	300	300	+0	Up	-$79	05-22 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	38	$294	600	142	+457	Up	+$303	05-21 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	7	$293	400	100	+300	Up	+$201	05-20 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	15	$280	300	150	+150	Up	+$142	05-21 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$274	800	0	+800	Down	-$274	05-20 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	5	$253	442	0	+442	Up	+$189	05-23 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	20	$252	400	0	+400	Up	-$252	05-20 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	4	$251	400	0	+400	Up	-$251	05-20 17:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$248	400	0	+400	Up	+$152	05-22 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	14	$248	500	0	+500	Down	-$248	05-21 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	1	$240	300	0	+300	Down	+$60	05-23 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	8	$238	400	0	+400	Down	+$162	05-22 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$237	400	0	+400	Down	+$163	05-22 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	8	$236	400	0	+400	Down	+$164	05-23 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	21	$234	499	0	+499	Up	+$265	05-21 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	6	$231	300	0	+300	Down	+$69	05-22 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	16	$229	600	150	+450	Down	-$158	05-20 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	13	$228	400	0	+400	Up	+$172	05-21 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	5	$218	369	0	+369	Down	+$151	05-20 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$212	400	0	+400	Up	+$188	05-22 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$212	400	0	+400	Down	-$212	05-23 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	11	$211	400	0	+400	Up	-$211	05-23 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	26	$210	392	0	+392	Up	+$181	05-22 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$208	400	0	+400	Down	+$192	05-22 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	10	$208	400	0	+400	Down	-$208	05-20 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 15:00:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x6b0a39…
07-28 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x27f162…
07-28 15:00:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1097d6…
07-28 14:55:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	165	51¢	$84	0x6dc529…
07-09 19:54:43	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x5d8901…
06-16 15:47:28	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	240	65¢	$156	0xe10d1a…
06-15 15:28:46	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0xb8e1c7…
06-15 15:05:33	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	110	64¢	$70	0x4607bd…
06-14 22:22:13	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x772759…
06-13 01:05:15	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe85eec…
06-12 19:50:57	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x85476f…
06-12 19:50:42	Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x7ee02d…
05-23 17:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	42	51¢	$21	0xcbbb14…
05-23 17:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	258	51¢	$131	0x342e48…
05-23 17:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x204cd0…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xf16d10…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xdff9bc…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd394b6…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xd12cef…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xd126d6…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x8b29bb…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x823a31…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	69¢	$31	0x6656d8…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x54ff5a…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x4722d7…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x3c5a7d…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x3639da…
05-23 17:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x2f1287…
05-23 17:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x6d6b26…
05-23 17:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x07c46b…
05-23 17:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xcfce11…
05-23 16:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xdc8ebb…
05-23 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0x89fdd1…
05-23 16:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	60¢	$48	0x592873…
05-23 16:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x6bacf5…
05-23 16:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	200	47¢	$94	0x2c455c…
05-23 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xe85cad…
05-23 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf0f732…
05-23 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x7164e5…
05-23 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x265d0f…
05-23 16:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	265	51¢	$135	0x1f5d75…
05-23 16:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0xe9bb3f…
05-23 15:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	300	54¢	$162	0x39180f…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xf19adc…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0xc7ac1c…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc78386…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbb1a8c…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0xa15cb3…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9e5ed8…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x99459f…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9641df…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x95a262…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x945127…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x8fd254…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x8e9d7a…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x7ed5b3…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x61748c…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x517f6c…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x500094…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x43c34a…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x417910…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x40609f…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x366619…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x26308d…
05-23 15:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x1e4ef5…
05-23 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf8938c…
05-23 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0xd88efb…
05-23 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x9b3e92…
05-23 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	88	66¢	$58	0x7f27ce…
05-23 15:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x02ec89…
05-23 15:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	300	50¢	$149	0xfa0c06…
05-23 15:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0xc69563…
05-23 15:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	19¢	$37	0x8cd21c…
05-23 15:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x1a14f0…
05-23 15:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0xd05a34…
05-23 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	28¢	$8	0xf57253…
05-23 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x8eada8…
05-23 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x86cfb6…
05-23 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x020b8d…
05-23 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe41a1a…
05-23 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x66ee7f…
05-23 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xb02d71…
05-23 15:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	300	42¢	$127	0xb40ffd…
05-23 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x09692a…
05-23 14:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0xad4a14…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf91d45…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd4474a…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	28¢	$6	0xbe2559…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xa36ae8…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x9e6816…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6c78ad…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x4280ee…
05-23 14:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x322c28…
05-23 14:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	300	32¢	$95	0xece88e…
05-23 14:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb738c1…
05-23 14:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x710ec0…
05-23 14:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa5981f…
05-23 14:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x9de933…
05-23 14:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xe45639…
05-23 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	69	50¢	$34	0x3ae9e4…