Horrible-Cowbell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$413

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

587

Trades

2,762

lifetime

Volume

$2.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-06

last 10-21 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

73% 35% +$520

Sports

12% 53% -$53

Crypto

12% 33% -$57

Politics

3% 54% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	66	$74	177	135	+42	Yes	+$17	02-13 15:21
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	61	$73	166	127	+39	No	-$11	02-13 15:21
nba min gsw 2026 03 13	62	$63	179	0	+179	Timberwolves	-$63	03-14 02:00
bitcoin above 68k on february 13	46	$50	75	60	+15	Yes	-$4	02-13 16:28
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 400 419	52	$46	169	108	+61	No	-$11	02-13 14:55
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	10	$46	716	101	+615	Yes	+$645	02-10 16:12
val ns1 pr1 2026 03 15	20	$45	38	38	+0	Nongshim RedForce	+$2	03-15 20:32
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	30	$45	87	86	+0	Yes	+$27	03-17 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	21	$44	50	50	+0	Yes	+$20	03-10 16:11
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 220 239	43	$44	174	165	+9	No	$0	02-16 21:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	16	$42	93	93	+0	Yes	+$36	05-04 18:55
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	22	$39	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	02-20 13:37
wta alexand ostapen 2026 02 10	9	$32	24	24	+0	Ostapenko	+$16	02-10 13:35
bitcoin above 66k on february 13	33	$32	44	39	+5	Yes	-$8	02-13 15:49
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	9	$31	49	24	+24	Yes	+$36	03-13 17:42
ethereum above 2000 on february 13	29	$28	37	33	+4	Yes	$0	02-13 16:07
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	23	$28	75	73	+2	No	+$2	02-16 16:19
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 90 114	36	$28	148	100	+48	No	-$4	02-16 16:18
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	17	$26	187	187	+0	No	$0	02-24 12:48
bitcoin above 70k on february 13	19	$26	63	44	+20	No	$0	02-13 16:32
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 280 299	28	$23	140	121	+19	No	-$1	02-17 14:35
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 320 339	16	$22	91	90	+0	No	+$6	02-10 13:34
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 440 459	30	$22	668	140	+528	No	-$9	02-13 13:45
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	24	$21	119	71	+47	No	-$4	02-14 10:03
lol g2 tsw 2026 03 16 game3	9	$20	13	12	+0	G2 Esports	+$5	03-16 19:51
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 300 319	29	$20	552	198	+354	No	-$4	02-17 14:29
nba lal det 2026 03 23	2	$20	23	23	+0	Pistons	$0	03-22 05:01
nba min gsw 2026 03 13 spread away 5pt5	19	$19	37	0	+37	Timberwolves	-$19	03-14 02:00
mls sje sea 2026 03 15 sje	19	$19	40	0	+40	No	-$19	03-15 23:00
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	11	$19	43	32	+11	No	-$5	03-17 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 20:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x682132…
10-15 17:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x8582f2…
10-15 16:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x5a0495…
10-15 16:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x851174…
10-15 14:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x02f3dc…
10-15 07:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x0c2772…
10-07 02:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0x769161…
10-07 01:31:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x86936d…
10-06 22:49:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7c645a…
10-05 07:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0xfb2089…
10-05 06:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x74a528…
10-03 08:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9be4a9…
10-02 03:39:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xbfa7e9…
10-02 02:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc3950b…
10-01 16:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x9eab79…
10-01 13:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xd2ae5a…
09-26 16:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27?	Yes	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0xa97672…
09-26 03:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6d1828…
09-22 03:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8f9cde…
09-22 03:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5ffb68…
09-22 03:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x31a88d…
09-22 03:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on September 22?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7c33b6…
09-22 03:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$2	0x2ccf0f…
09-22 02:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3e852f…
09-21 11:54:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xa67dde…
09-21 04:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa294eb…
09-16 19:08:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0xdab7a7…
09-16 19:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc93383…
09-16 19:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb26f58…
09-16 19:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on September 17?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x949961…
09-14 12:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 14?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x07d93e…
09-14 06:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on September 14?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xab1f47…
09-13 13:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 13?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xdb1591…
09-13 09:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8a13e0…
09-12 17:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x83ff4a…
09-12 17:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xa2bd22…
09-12 15:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x4192d8…
09-12 15:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x57ed74…
09-12 15:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1d2637…
09-12 12:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdb7f33…
09-10 00:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?	Yes	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0xf7b4d2…
09-09 08:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd0c2ce…
08-16 03:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe6c128…
08-13 03:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf14f15…
07-30 16:02:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x173ce0…
07-25 12:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x25b232…
07-25 06:44:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 25?	Yes	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x58f117…
07-24 20:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5c35ad…
07-24 20:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x31da76…
07-24 20:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa54dab…
07-24 13:55:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 24?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x80f0db…
07-23 20:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x966df3…
07-23 20:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x726a0c…
07-23 20:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xfa6047…
07-22 20:35:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x636372…
07-22 20:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x09ade4…
07-22 09:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd79eef…
07-22 08:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xb83934…
07-21 20:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x774cc5…
07-21 20:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3bdd36…
07-21 20:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa1bb02…
07-21 16:32:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc605c2…
07-21 13:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc457c3…
07-21 13:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc2dbbc…
07-21 10:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xddc1c9…
07-21 10:55:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x0f5d30…
07-21 10:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x9ccd39…
07-21 09:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x4e1ff0…
07-21 06:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe6d7c0…
07-20 20:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5da012…
07-20 14:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2a1e76…
07-20 12:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x6f2226…
07-20 11:45:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x6bd702…
07-20 04:41:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc69175…
07-19 17:50:46	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcf8ec9…
07-19 17:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x462045…
07-18 19:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xce494e…
07-18 19:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9dc99a…
07-18 19:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd7dbda…
07-18 10:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xf41488…
07-17 21:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa38caa…
07-17 20:37:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4e8c85…
07-17 20:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf1ed4c…
07-17 06:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x5dbb2f…
07-17 04:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x43891e…
07-16 14:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbc623b…
07-16 08:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x6226eb…
07-16 06:47:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5e9fbf…
07-16 06:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4204ab…
07-15 14:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x4f57ac…
07-15 12:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfac6ee…
07-15 12:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x448218…
07-15 07:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x525f36…
07-15 07:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x469942…
07-15 07:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x469011…
07-15 07:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0xae9c3e…
07-14 20:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xc77591…
07-14 20:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc2e13b…
07-14 16:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x174f3c…
07-14 11:34:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x3b4848…