Close-Dependency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

295

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% +$5

Politics

2% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-15 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-14 07:32
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:45
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 11:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:29
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 01:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:16
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-08 10:12
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:51
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-06 09:35
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xba50a4…
11-03 17:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x9ad5e6…
11-02 06:48:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x947830…
10-31 15:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2f4376…
10-30 14:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x998ac9…
10-29 17:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3c0be2…
10-29 09:31:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf80fb8…
10-28 08:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2e212…
10-27 10:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7a609…
10-26 09:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0fb32…
10-24 11:51:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8200d…
10-22 10:45:51	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa41849…
10-20 08:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x040e69…
10-19 09:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa7f7e0…
10-18 10:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb8b291…
10-17 15:46:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf846a2…
10-16 10:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07e019…
10-15 14:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe85fca…
10-14 10:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x20711a…
10-13 10:31:22	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4436a…
10-12 10:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ceee3…
10-11 09:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cc2cd…
10-08 12:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d715e…
10-07 15:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08a738…
10-06 15:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbc9a3…
10-05 06:28:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cfbd3…
10-03 09:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8a3e1…
10-02 13:55:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25997c…
10-01 09:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x826292…
09-30 14:22:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3388b0…
09-30 03:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc947fc…
09-28 10:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fa8aa…
09-27 09:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeed7a8…
09-25 16:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1d588…
09-24 09:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a4446…
09-23 10:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9493f2…
09-22 08:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0e911…
09-21 09:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97149f…
09-20 05:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b02f8…
09-19 09:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e1a88…
09-18 07:52:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46f904…
09-17 04:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14a4f7…
09-16 08:58:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d64d0…
09-15 10:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2c28a…
09-14 09:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7f4cf…
09-13 03:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdca990…
09-11 09:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe580b2…
09-10 08:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5df5b7…
09-09 02:41:57	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bb062…
09-08 06:20:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x501805…
09-07 08:48:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc75148…
09-06 11:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x164bf3…
09-05 05:21:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b1713…
09-04 01:03:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f09ed…
09-02 07:58:18	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaffa8e…
08-30 14:11:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe62344…
08-29 09:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc22003…
08-28 09:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc1634…
08-27 09:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fcc21…
08-26 08:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeabaa9…
08-25 09:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb923…
08-24 14:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x1954c4…
08-23 15:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b858a…
08-22 09:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e1603…
08-21 08:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf39a32…
08-20 09:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x435db8…
08-18 08:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbafee3…
08-17 08:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bdff3…
08-16 14:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0698c…
08-15 16:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9061a3…
08-14 07:00:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x682687…
08-13 09:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c1789…
08-12 09:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58b815…
08-11 07:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2a91d…
08-10 08:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x569ed6…
08-09 06:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5dcf14…
08-08 07:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fed33…
08-07 08:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bcb54…
08-06 08:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa14d0e…
08-05 08:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e6789…
08-04 08:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63494c…
08-03 07:47:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x584433…
08-02 06:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1d515…
08-01 07:18:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf41b5…
07-31 14:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb165e3…
07-30 07:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee22d8…
07-29 07:17:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87feeb…
07-28 07:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50b51a…
07-27 09:40:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb03b15…
07-26 08:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe55e…
07-25 09:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e0a4a…
07-24 13:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2dfbbe…
07-23 08:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x404b7a…
07-22 02:13:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa991bf…
07-21 09:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x163135…
07-21 00:26:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e155…
07-20 08:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x307abd…
07-18 23:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa87fd1…
07-18 07:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xddca87…
07-17 07:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61a25c…