Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$62

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

65.7%

Resolved

180

Trades

353

lifetime

Volume

$2.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$59

4 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 11-13 06:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 45% +$92

Other

26% 8% -$150

Sports

7% 60% +$11

Tech

3% 100% +$10

Politics

3% 50% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	+42	$28	66¢	$28	+$0	11-10 18:05
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	+22	$11	50¢	$11	$0	11-13 06:55
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	+125	$15	8¢	$11	-$4	11-07 22:31
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	+14	$9	62¢	$9	$0	11-12 11:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$111	63	63	+0	Up	+$11	11-04 07:24
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$82	89	44	+45	Down	+$2	11-04 07:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?	2	$77	57	57	+0	Yes	+$31	10-30 00:18
Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?	2	$76	58	58	+0	Yes	+$10	10-25 16:12
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$63	40	40	+0	Up	+$3	11-04 06:04
Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	2	$62	168	168	+0	open	—	11-12 01:05
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$57	53	53	+0	Yes	+$17	11-06 21:27
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in October?	2	$55	50	50	+0	Yes	+$17	10-18 17:03
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	3	$52	44	44	+0	open	—	11-04 20:54
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$50	26	26	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 07:49
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	2	$50	27	27	+0	Up	+$0	11-04 08:03
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$43	30	30	+0	Down	-$7	11-04 08:29
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	2	$42	32	32	+0	open	—	11-05 21:06
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	2	$41	182	57	+126	MOUZ	-$21	11-12 07:40
Spread: Heat (-8.5)	2	$41	31	31	+0	Jazz	+$11	11-11 03:54
Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?	2	$40	33	33	+0	open	—	10-29 17:26
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	2	$40	40	40	+0	open	—	11-12 01:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$38	61	61	+0	open	—	11-10 17:05
Another critical PHP security flaw in 2026?	2	$36	42	42	+0	open	—	10-26 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$35	36	36	+0	Up	+$25	11-04 07:19
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?	2	$32	31	31	+0	Yes	+$12	11-10 17:05
Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Raul Brancaccio	2	$31	18	18	+0	Adrian Andreev	+$5	11-12 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$29	25	25	+0	Down	+$19	11-04 09:54
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	2	$28	42	0	+42	open	—	11-10 18:05
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	1	$27	54	0	+54	No	-$27	10-25 16:46
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 34M tonnes at end of October 2026?	2	$25	29	29	+0	open	—	10-28 20:00
Will Together be in the next Israeli government?	2	$25	23	23	+0	open	—	11-01 22:56
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	2	$24	111	111	+0	open	—	11-06 21:15
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	2	$24	36	36	+0	open	—	11-07 22:19
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$23	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	11-04 05:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 06:55:03	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x5d9198…
11-13 06:53:18	Brisbane 3: Bernard Tomic vs August Holmgren	Bernard Tomic	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x52b70e…
11-13 06:52:19	Matsuyama: Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x3b54e1…
11-13 05:34:04	Matsuyama: Kaichi Uchida vs Billy Harris	Billy Harris	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x1b5142…
11-13 05:31:28	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x9978dc…
11-13 05:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x95daef…
11-13 05:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xc8fe9f…
11-13 04:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	19	47¢	$9	0xfb1135…
11-13 04:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0xdf9d6a…
11-13 04:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x63bfea…
11-13 04:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x0ff6bd…
11-13 04:25:36	Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Commanders	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa17cd7…
11-13 04:25:24	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x7bfcff…
11-13 03:51:30	Commanders vs. Giants	Commanders	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8e3280…
11-13 03:49:07	Spread: Giants (-2.5)	Giants	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x10ecf5…
11-13 03:48:25	Spread: Giants (-3.5)	Commanders	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xafbccf…
11-12 11:47:51	Spread: England (-1.5)	England	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xf1ef3e…
11-12 11:44:03	England vs. Croatia: England O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0x8e081d…
11-12 11:42:42	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Gen.G	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x746f2a…
11-12 11:41:42	Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Raul Brancaccio	Adrian Andreev	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x0f6043…
11-12 11:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc0bab6…
11-12 11:17:07	Hersonissos 3: Adrian Andreev vs Raul Brancaccio	Adrian Andreev	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x85e651…
11-12 11:11:34	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	G2	BUY	48	27¢	$13	0x958738…
11-12 07:40:31	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	SELL	57	18¢	$10	0x8799f5…
11-12 07:38:09	Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B	FUT Esports	BUY	182	17¢	$31	0x85d280…
11-12 04:00:33	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	32	53¢	$17	0x6d1aac…
11-12 01:17:21	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x5f5a49…
11-12 01:16:46	Spread: Spurs (-15.5)	Spurs	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x0b080c…
11-12 01:16:10	Nuggets vs. Grizzlies	Nuggets	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xea7683…
11-12 01:05:28	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	62¢	$25	0x27e1f2…
11-12 01:05:16	Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	13¢	$22	0x3888fc…
11-11 04:19:54	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xd0b697…
11-11 04:19:43	Spread: Thunder (-4.5)	Thunder	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x2d36dd…
11-11 03:54:09	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	SELL	31	85¢	$26	0xb4443a…
11-10 18:05:33	Spread: Heat (-8.5)	Heat	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xd98ca5…
11-10 18:05:07	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x7e911a…
11-10 18:04:39	UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Ciryl Gane	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0x343ac8…
11-10 17:06:00	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x76adb4…
11-10 17:05:49	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	SELL	61	29¢	$18	0xa07b9d…
11-10 17:05:25	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?	Yes	SELL	31	73¢	$22	0x5dec48…
11-08 17:11:43	Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x77d86f…
11-07 22:31:54	Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x27c171…
11-07 22:20:33	Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x5ffd1e…
11-07 22:19:55	Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31?	Yes	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0xf488d7…
11-06 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0f03b2…
11-06 21:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x2dfc06…
11-06 21:30:04	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x8d5af9…
11-06 21:27:30	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	53	70¢	$37	0x19a6c1…
11-06 21:19:58	Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xd72821…
11-06 21:16:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	SELL	38	21¢	$8	0x6b6142…
11-06 21:15:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0xb73525…
11-06 08:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3adeea…
11-06 08:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x8374ad…
11-06 08:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdad89c…
11-06 08:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xd0b918…
11-06 08:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x99f809…
11-06 07:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x55ead3…
11-06 07:39:39	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in November?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x1f48fd…
11-06 07:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe8611e…
11-06 07:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa06210…
11-06 00:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd3c915…
11-06 00:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfb92ba…
11-05 23:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x357dbf…
11-05 23:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7d5577…
11-05 23:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x233a6a…
11-05 23:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc9f20d…
11-05 23:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc33cb2…
11-05 23:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x73cdf1…
11-05 23:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x2cbf58…
11-05 23:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc97a4c…
11-05 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x2d9742…
11-05 23:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x18c23a…
11-05 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0x34a926…
11-05 22:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2eae15…
11-05 22:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xe0733b…
11-05 22:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9781f0…
11-05 22:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	47¢	$2	0x0dc5ad…
11-05 22:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9034e5…
11-05 22:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa6faef…
11-05 22:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x108a5e…
11-05 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1623b3…
11-05 22:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbf5d14…
11-05 22:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x919294…
11-05 21:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x560f59…
11-05 21:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x00a454…
11-05 21:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa390e7…
11-05 21:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd4da47…
11-05 21:10:58	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xaca433…
11-05 21:06:58	Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	32	81¢	$26	0x8ca8eb…
11-05 18:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe6bd99…
11-05 18:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xdf6e7d…
11-05 08:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6290db…
11-05 07:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xea98b4…
11-05 07:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x4a7881…
11-05 07:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x91267e…
11-05 07:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3df3c8…
11-05 07:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x98de68…
11-05 07:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa093c7…
11-05 07:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x7bee05…
11-05 07:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9395ec…