Wasteful-Maiden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

182

Trades

622

lifetime

Volume

$3.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-22 04:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 82% +$18

Politics

8% 94% +$5

Other

6% 93% -$13

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-20	-$10	4¢	$-1	+$9	05-22 04:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down on february 6	28	$308	20	590	-570	Up	+$2	02-06 08:56
bitcoin up or down on february 8	18	$215	0	418	-418	Up	+$9	02-07 23:03
bitcoin up or down on february 7	15	$200	0	390	-390	Down	+$4	02-07 00:33
bitcoin up or down on february 9	11	$147	0	288	-288	Down	+$3	02-08 17:27
bitcoin up or down on february 17	12	$112	0	220	-220	Down	+$2	02-16 17:46
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$87	50	50	+0	No	+$3	03-09 19:33
bitcoin up or down on january 21	10	$67	60	60	+0	Down	-$9	01-21 15:15
bitcoin up or down on february 15	4	$61	0	120	-120	Down	+$1	02-14 16:44
bitcoin up or down on february 19	2	$61	0	120	-120	Down	+$1	02-18 18:19
bitcoin up or down on february 16	3	$61	0	120	-120	Down	+$1	02-15 07:02
ethereum up or down on march 5	10	$61	0	120	-120	Down	+$1	03-04 17:03
nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	2	$58	30	30	+0	No	+$0	03-09 23:52
bitcoin up or down on february 12	13	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	02-11 16:35
bitcoin up or down on march 11	2	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	03-10 11:56
bitcoin up or down on february 10	2	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	02-09 17:03
bitcoin up or down on february 13	2	$51	0	100	-100	Up	+$1	02-12 15:30
ethereum up or down on march 6	4	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	03-05 17:09
bitcoin up or down on february 11	4	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	02-10 14:50
bitcoin up or down on march 6	5	$51	0	100	-100	Down	+$1	03-05 17:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 19:15 UTC	7	$49	20	50	-30	Up	+$0	01-28 19:28
bitcoin up or down january 28 2pm et	5	$46	0	90	-90	Down	+$1	01-28 19:53
ethereum up or down on february 18	11	$44	5	81	-76	Down	-$1	02-17 17:10
ethereum up or down on march 12	5	$41	0	80	-80	Up	+$1	03-11 23:47
ethereum up or down on february 15	4	$41	0	80	-80	Down	+$1	02-14 17:04
bitcoin up or down on march 12	3	$41	0	80	-80	Up	+$1	03-11 23:47
ethereum up or down on march 11	5	$41	0	80	-80	Down	+$1	03-10 16:21
bitcoin up or down on march 9	4	$41	0	80	-80	Up	+$1	03-08 19:33
ethereum up or down on march 9	6	$41	0	80	-80	Up	+$1	03-08 16:34
ethereum up or down on february 12	11	$38	6	76	-70	Down	+$1	02-12 16:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 22:15 UTC	6	$38	0	70	-70	Up	-$2	01-29 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 04:58:56	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x2d8820…
05-10 03:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x84fc9b…
05-10 03:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x24ab40…
05-09 19:17:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7edc15…
03-31 21:56:47	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x3d0e3d…
03-24 20:49:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb5a418…
03-24 20:49:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x87d84a…
03-24 20:28:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x54c88f…
03-24 02:16:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0xf4faf8…
03-23 19:13:07	highest temperature in atlanta on march 25 2026 58forhigher	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9f037f…
03-23 19:10:17	highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71ec03…
03-23 19:08:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xb81bf3…
03-23 19:05:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x11e570…
03-23 19:01:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc7ec2d…
03-23 19:00:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x383404…
03-23 18:50:01	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3f877e…
03-23 18:49:49	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xdfa92f…
03-23 18:47:43	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xce119e…
03-23 11:22:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xf0cae1…
03-20 17:26:23	tsla close above 380 on march 20 2026	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x5e0d0d…
03-20 17:25:33	tsla close above 380 on march 20 2026	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x206839…
03-20 15:53:41	aapl close above 245 on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x9eac41…
03-20 15:13:59	tsla close above 370 on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x299be4…
03-20 14:47:37	aapl close above 245 on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x48bd12…
03-20 14:44:31	tsla close above 370 on march 20 2026	No	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xce91e1…
03-20 14:42:15	tsla close above 380 on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x93b90e…
03-18 19:49:45	meta close above 620 on march 18 2026	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xdeb0ee…
03-17 19:49:13	aapl close above 255 on march 17 2026	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xfc3ec7…
03-17 19:45:53	aapl close above 250 on march 17 2026	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x01c3f2…
03-17 19:45:27	tsla close above 400 on march 17 2026	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x5500a9…
03-17 07:54:05	aapl above 320 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x586897…
03-17 02:41:11	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x7ae5e3…
03-16 21:19:37	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x87fbc9…
03-16 19:45:01	nvda up or down on march 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x73fed4…
03-16 19:40:59	coin up or down on march 16 2026	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xb81268…
03-16 19:27:59	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x55fff5…
03-16 19:27:01	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xe4e698…
03-16 12:34:47	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x123e3a…
03-15 10:52:49	deepseek v4 released by april 15 787	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xec3299…
03-15 07:50:23	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x0ede90…
03-14 19:39:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x40d5fc…
03-13 19:46:31	msft up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x99741b…
03-13 19:05:05	msft up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x17e511…
03-13 19:04:19	msft up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xd4509b…
03-13 19:02:17	tsla up or down on march 13 2026	Down	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x71912b…
03-13 18:57:23	tsla up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4da6e1…
03-13 18:57:23	tsla up or down on march 13 2026	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x01dcb0…
03-12 20:32:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x563f6b…
03-12 20:25:09	ethereum up or down march 12 4pm et	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x6c612c…
03-12 20:23:39	ethereum up or down march 12 4pm et	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x19e9a3…
03-12 20:15:51	msft above 380 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0dbb39…
03-12 20:14:47	msft above 370 on march 13 2026	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9bcb95…
03-12 20:10:43	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x09cfed…
03-12 20:10:31	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x0d7571…
03-12 20:05:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xe6e314…
03-12 20:01:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x1d7dde…
03-11 23:47:53	ethereum up or down on march 12	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x763d39…
03-11 23:47:51	ethereum up or down on march 12	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x439f7c…
03-11 23:47:51	ethereum up or down on march 12	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x2fa893…
03-11 23:47:51	ethereum up or down on march 12	Down	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x1a3841…
03-11 23:47:35	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd97c20…
03-11 23:47:27	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Down	SELL	35	51¢	$18	0x9e3664…
03-11 19:25:29	nya up or down on march 11 2026	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1144c4…
03-11 16:06:17	bitcoin up or down on march 12	Up	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0x1a1926…
03-11 16:01:19	ethereum up or down on march 12	Up	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xb2c4be…
03-10 20:05:43	tsla up or down on march 10 2026	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x392645…
03-10 19:53:09	nya up or down on march 10 2026	Down	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x8fe8ef…
03-10 19:51:51	aapl up or down on march 10 2026	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x71e71f…
03-10 19:48:27	tsla up or down on march 10 2026	Down	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x31bcc4…
03-10 19:47:03	open up or down on march 10 2026	Up	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x054dad…
03-10 16:21:17	ethereum up or down on march 11	Up	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0xedf8e4…
03-10 16:21:17	ethereum up or down on march 11	Up	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x444b05…
03-10 16:02:09	ethereum up or down on march 11	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x9bc3ca…
03-10 16:02:07	ethereum up or down on march 11	Down	SELL	25	51¢	$13	0xdfa904…
03-10 16:02:05	ethereum up or down on march 11	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x0faad0…
03-10 11:56:55	bitcoin up or down on march 11	Down	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xd4f1ff…
03-09 23:52:43	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x959878…
03-09 21:48:47	bitcoin up or down on march 11	Up	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x5a8e90…
03-09 19:33:53	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x0ce8bb…
03-08 22:30:25	nato x russia military clash by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x569134…
03-08 19:33:31	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x19332f…
03-08 19:32:57	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x6b80f2…
03-08 19:32:41	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x2ba040…
03-08 17:55:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x21e787…
03-08 17:03:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xb67be3…
03-08 17:01:25	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x6ee1e8…
03-08 17:00:51	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x2acdd8…
03-08 17:00:13	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 17:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0xd401b2…
03-08 16:34:43	ethereum up or down on march 9	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x696264…
03-08 16:05:43	bitcoin up or down on march 9	Down	SELL	40	51¢	$20	0xb10ca4…
03-08 15:26:35	ethereum up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0xf07172…
03-08 13:15:47	ethereum up or down on march 9	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x427028…
03-08 13:04:23	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb53744…
03-08 13:03:17	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x215bf2…
03-08 13:03:09	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x38b81b…
03-08 13:00:27	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd73d74…
03-08 09:12:43	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x7ab7b7…
03-08 09:02:55	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x5e12a4…
03-08 09:01:57	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xafb1fe…
03-08 09:00:59	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-08 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x96703d…