Firsthand-Leaver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

126

Trades

2,160

lifetime

Volume

$4.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-06 21:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-16

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	7	$41	146	146	+0	open	—	04-08 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	10	$33	32	32	+0	open	—	05-28 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	6	$32	51	51	+0	open	—	05-17 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	7	$26	97	97	+0	open	—	05-25 22:03
btc updown 5m 1780526400	10	$25	42	42	+0	open	—	06-03 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	4	$23	111	111	+0	Up	+$9	05-14 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$22	58	58	+0	open	—	05-16 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$21	38	38	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$20	39	39	+0	open	—	05-16 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	9	$20	26	26	+0	open	—	05-16 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	6	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	05-17 00:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$19	36	36	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$19	46	46	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	7	$19	32	12	+20	open	—	06-01 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	8	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-31 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$17	19	19	+0	open	—	05-25 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	8	$17	16	16	+0	open	—	06-02 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$16	27	27	+0	open	—	05-31 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$16	47	47	+0	open	—	06-01 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	8	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	05-20 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$15	33	33	+0	Up	+$11	05-11 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	6	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$15	21	21	+0	open	—	05-17 08:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	7	$15	24	17	+7	open	—	05-17 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$15	76	42	+33	open	—	04-30 00:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$15	33	33	+0	open	—	05-16 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$15	231	231	+0	Down	$-5	05-13 22:34
btc updown 5m 1780523400	4	$15	41	7	+33	open	—	06-03 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	4	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	05-25 21:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 21:36:45	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa4f053…
06-06 21:36:28	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x3e8ab0…
06-06 21:35:34	btc updown 5m 1780781700	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xef56d7…
06-06 21:30:49	btc updown 5m 1780781400	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x1b916b…
06-06 21:29:24	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xd64d23…
06-06 21:27:51	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc39d66…
06-06 21:27:34	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Up	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x536210…
06-06 21:26:55	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Up	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xc94b73…
06-06 21:26:46	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x978aeb…
06-06 21:26:16	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Down	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x5fbc3e…
06-06 21:25:30	btc updown 5m 1780781100	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x768136…
06-05 07:37:51	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x0f3bf8…
06-05 07:37:22	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xe55537…
06-05 07:36:42	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x5035cb…
06-05 07:35:48	btc updown 5m 1780644900	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1c85a4…
06-05 07:32:03	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x25fb12…
06-05 07:31:40	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Down	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xeaeb66…
06-05 07:31:10	btc updown 5m 1780644600	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x14290a…
06-05 07:26:18	btc updown 5m 1780644300	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x60a1d1…
06-05 07:25:48	btc updown 5m 1780644300	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa3ce2a…
06-04 20:51:13	btc updown 5m 1780606200	Down	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xf65911…
06-04 20:51:00	btc updown 5m 1780606200	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x105072…
06-04 20:48:09	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xbf9f7e…
06-04 20:45:24	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2c8979…
06-04 20:44:07	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Down	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x2b6d77…
06-04 20:42:55	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6dd869…
06-04 20:42:39	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xed4919…
06-04 20:41:34	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x6b4d7a…
06-04 20:41:21	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe9e172…
06-04 00:02:39	btc updown 5m 1780531200	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x14d575…
06-04 00:02:03	btc updown 5m 1780531200	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x58c430…
06-04 00:01:34	btc updown 5m 1780531200	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x8c5cb5…
06-04 00:01:10	btc updown 5m 1780531200	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x2c1e0a…
06-03 23:59:28	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x1f3b66…
06-03 23:57:10	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x459255…
06-03 23:56:55	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xc8373f…
06-03 23:55:24	btc updown 5m 1780530900	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x951afe…
06-03 23:47:58	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Up	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0x55abf9…
06-03 23:47:43	btc updown 5m 1780530300	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x35a25a…
06-03 22:43:24	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xd27e3d…
06-03 22:43:13	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb17c14…
06-03 22:42:42	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Down	SELL	27	21¢	$6	0x5588f4…
06-03 22:42:27	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Down	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xa377d8…
06-03 22:42:18	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xa8ee6d…
06-03 22:42:03	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x943302…
06-03 22:41:25	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x3d10dc…
06-03 22:41:13	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xf78633…
06-03 22:40:45	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xac84ad…
06-03 22:40:21	btc updown 5m 1780526400	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x494abf…
06-03 22:27:27	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x8dada3…
06-03 22:27:07	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$4	0xa7bbec…
06-03 22:26:55	btc updown 5m 1780525500	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd93b92…
06-03 22:23:42	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Up	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0xe50513…
06-03 22:21:55	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x9fb8bb…
06-03 22:21:40	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xf47278…
06-03 22:21:33	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x75c522…
06-03 22:21:25	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x7e72e8…
06-03 22:21:15	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Up	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xc5b641…
06-03 22:20:18	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x984e6c…
06-03 22:17:48	btc updown 5m 1780524900	Up	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x66b499…
06-03 22:16:55	btc updown 5m 1780524900	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x5cbc01…
06-03 22:16:28	btc updown 5m 1780524900	Up	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x08f0af…
06-03 22:16:00	btc updown 5m 1780524900	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7327ef…
06-03 22:11:13	btc updown 5m 1780524600	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x58b82b…
06-03 22:07:36	btc updown 5m 1780524300	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1f7e12…
06-03 22:06:13	btc updown 5m 1780524300	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x184fce…
06-03 22:02:15	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x0b9aa4…
06-03 22:00:39	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x160461…
06-03 21:56:16	btc updown 5m 1780523700	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5758f0…
06-03 21:52:58	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x543d74…
06-03 21:52:34	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xf1465d…
06-03 21:52:13	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xe42814…
06-03 21:52:12	btc updown 5m 1780523400	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xc454d8…
06-03 21:47:24	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x724b38…
06-03 21:46:21	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xa692ac…
06-03 21:45:51	btc updown 5m 1780523100	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe2521f…
06-03 21:42:46	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xd4c2b2…
06-03 21:41:24	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x3a7a3e…
06-03 21:40:36	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x93437d…
06-03 21:40:19	btc updown 5m 1780522800	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x923817…
06-03 21:07:09	btc updown 5m 1780520700	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x391f08…
06-03 21:06:19	btc updown 5m 1780520700	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x257cb8…
06-03 21:05:49	btc updown 5m 1780520700	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xc118a2…
06-03 21:05:22	btc updown 5m 1780520700	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x06916e…
06-03 21:02:30	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$3	0x4fd301…
06-03 21:01:30	btc updown 5m 1780520400	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xf7b5c4…
06-03 20:56:13	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0xa88da9…
06-03 20:55:55	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xff9e21…
06-03 20:52:45	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x7e3322…
06-03 20:52:27	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9d2048…
06-03 20:52:03	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x5d92ea…
06-03 20:50:40	btc updown 5m 1780519800	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x98a4e0…
06-03 20:43:12	btc updown 5m 1780519200	Down	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0x7156fb…
06-03 20:43:12	btc updown 5m 1780519200	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x065de1…
06-03 20:42:06	btc updown 5m 1780519200	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x39af49…
06-03 20:36:24	btc updown 5m 1780518900	Up	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0xe05358…
06-03 20:35:15	btc updown 5m 1780518900	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x404afc…
06-03 20:22:18	btc updown 5m 1780518000	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x5b623a…
06-03 20:22:12	btc updown 5m 1780518000	Up	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3d051f…
06-03 20:21:12	btc updown 5m 1780518000	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0079e3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	916	$120.0K	20,942	06-06 21:38
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	904	$1.91K	4,474	06-06 21:38
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	748	$204.1K	58,323	06-06 21:37
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	747	$193.6K	30,673	06-06 21:37
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	746	$500.3K	19,280	06-06 21:38
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	745	$174.8K	53,636	06-06 21:35
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	740	$223.9K	38,928	06-06 21:37
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	732	$485.5K	33,436	06-02 21:43