Sudden-Experiment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$279

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$49

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-10 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% $-279

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$300	733	0	+733	Down	$-300	05-10 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$299	432	0	+432	Down	+$16	05-09 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$280	318	0	+318	Up	+$38	05-10 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$200	312	0	+312	Down	$-200	05-09 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$200	404	0	+404	Down	$-200	05-09 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$200	265	0	+265	Up	+$65	05-10 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$130	242	0	+242	Up	+$112	05-10 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	3	$108	214	20	+194	Down	+$92	05-10 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$105	173	0	+173	Down	$-105	05-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$100	187	0	+187	Down	+$87	05-09 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$100	137	0	+137	Down	+$37	05-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$50	104	0	+104	Up	+$54	05-09 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$50	118	0	+118	Down	+$68	05-09 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$25	64	0	+64	Down	$-25	05-09 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$20	69	0	+69	Down	$-20	05-09 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$20	179	0	+179	Down	+$16	05-09 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$11	71	0	+71	Up	+$11	05-09 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$10	42	0	+42	Up	$-10	05-09 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$10	35	0	+35	Up	+$12	05-09 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$10	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-09 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	21	0	+21	Down	$-5	05-09 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	267	0	+267	Up	$-5	05-09 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	Down	$-5	05-09 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-09 17:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-09 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Up	$-5	05-10 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-09 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	Down	$-1	05-09 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-09 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-09 18:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 20:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	249	40¢	$100	0x594ca1…
05-10 20:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	484	41¢	$200	0x38babf…
05-10 19:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	88	91¢	$80	0x677ca4…
05-10 19:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x18e654…
05-10 19:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	265	75¢	$200	0x93f6c7…
05-10 18:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xf8dfc9…
05-10 18:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd4a725…
05-10 18:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	194	52¢	$100	0x6814ff…
05-10 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xd60ff6…
05-10 18:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc2a6cc…
05-10 18:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa6fdf7…
05-10 12:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x30ac3a…
05-10 12:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x426ca1…
05-10 12:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x7fcef1…
05-09 20:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x997950…
05-09 20:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	404	50¢	$200	0x2dc5a6…
05-09 20:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0xbf00a6…
05-09 19:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x991146…
05-09 19:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	187	53¢	$100	0xba717d…
05-09 19:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe4027f…
05-09 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0x7020ec…
05-09 19:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x37e22a…
05-09 19:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x2b2545…
05-09 19:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xeefb18…
05-09 19:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf22a26…
05-09 18:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0x8cc66b…
05-09 18:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd6e78f…
05-09 18:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcdc6e7…
05-09 18:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x7e5479…
05-09 18:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa52172…
05-09 18:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe2fbc4…
05-09 18:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb8e25e…
05-09 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	267	2¢	$5	0xde7d23…
05-09 18:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7226bd…
05-09 17:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0c11e2…
05-09 17:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xeb1f87…
05-09 17:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xcbdfb9…
05-09 17:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	312	64¢	$200	0x88de70…
05-09 17:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x3b48d8…
05-09 17:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x24e0e2…
05-09 17:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x36642a…
05-09 17:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xc13edc…
05-09 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	134	74¢	$100	0x155985…
05-09 16:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	109	72¢	$79	0xcc56f2…
05-09 16:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xc8656e…
05-09 16:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	117	86¢	$100	0xab6d9b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hard-To-Find-Croup 0xf22f…d06e	30	$36.2K	7,574	05-10 20:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	30	$22.1K	296	05-10 20:04
Ambitious-Membership 0xc387…e4f4	30	$17.3K	1,279	05-10 20:04
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	30	$12.3K	2,528	05-10 20:04
(anonymous) 0x178b…bae4	30	$9.37K	2,111	05-10 20:04
(anonymous) 0x0e71…4d4a	30	$9.14K	2,132	05-10 20:05
(anonymous) 0x0235…34c8	30	$9.03K	2,077	05-10 20:05
(anonymous) 0xd9ca…f253	30	$8.24K	1,894	05-10 20:04