Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

415

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$4.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-19

last 09-11 19:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 85% -$6

Other

12% 67% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 162 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$190	99	99	+0	No	+$6	06-30 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:15 UTC	6	$146	112	112	+0	Down	+$8	08-15 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$139	98	98	+0	Up	+$39	09-09 10:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:00 UTC	2	$110	62	62	+0	Down	+$10	08-15 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$109	60	60	+0	Up	+$9	09-09 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$107	69	69	+0	Down	+$27	09-09 12:14
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	3	$88	45	45	+0	No	+$2	07-06 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$84	45	45	+0	Down	+$4	09-09 10:08
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	3	$79	88	0	+88	No	+$9	07-06 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$74	54	54	+0	Down	+$4	09-09 11:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:15 UTC	2	$62	42	42	+0	Up	+$12	08-15 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$59	74	74	+0	Up	-$21	09-09 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:20 UTC	4	$54	35	35	+0	Down	+$6	08-15 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:10 UTC	2	$54	30	30	+0	Up	+$4	08-15 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$52	27	27	+0	Up	+$2	09-10 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 13:45 UTC	4	$52	33	33	+0	Up	+$4	08-15 13:49
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	1	$50	56	0	+56	Yes	+$6	06-29 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:00 UTC	2	$48	36	36	+0	Up	+$10	08-15 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:30 UTC	2	$48	31	31	+0	Up	+$10	08-15 17:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:35 UTC	2	$44	26	26	+0	Up	+$7	08-15 16:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 14:40 UTC	2	$44	26	26	+0	Up	+$6	08-15 14:43
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:15 UTC	2	$41	23	23	+0	Down	+$3	08-15 16:19
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:35 UTC	2	$41	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	08-15 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 17:25 UTC	2	$41	28	28	+0	Up	+$3	08-15 17:28
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:15 UTC	2	$40	22	22	+0	Up	+$2	08-15 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$40	42	0	+42	Up	+$2	09-09 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	1	$40	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	09-09 09:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:25 UTC	2	$40	21	21	+0	Up	+$2	08-15 15:29
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 16:45 UTC	2	$39	23	23	+0	Up	+$1	08-15 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-15 15:10 UTC	2	$39	27	27	+0	Up	+$1	08-15 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 19:44:07	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	82¢	$36	0x18de22…
09-10 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xf496aa…
09-10 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x573657…
09-10 14:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x807ed3…
09-10 14:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x61495f…
09-10 14:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4f7483…
09-10 14:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x55b7f6…
09-10 14:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x34f6f1…
09-10 14:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	98¢	$27	0x177a90…
09-10 14:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9ce4a4…
09-10 13:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdc7297…
09-10 13:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x60ad23…
09-10 13:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x00fd63…
09-10 13:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xa67115…
09-10 13:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x251e11…
09-10 13:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7eeb5d…
09-10 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x576b50…
09-10 13:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1bb14d…
09-10 13:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	26	1¢	$0	0x363a00…
09-10 13:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x1b14b4…
09-10 13:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa7fd0b…
09-10 13:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x37acdb…
09-10 12:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x8389cf…
09-10 12:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x11ca7f…
09-10 12:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x99b926…
09-10 12:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2b73e2…
09-10 12:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4a270a…
09-10 12:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x15439e…
09-10 12:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xe502a3…
09-10 12:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2785d0…
09-09 12:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x8cb24c…
09-09 12:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x83dc44…
09-09 12:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0xbdac85…
09-09 12:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x131bfb…
09-09 12:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	74	26¢	$19	0xc34915…
09-09 12:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	74	54¢	$40	0x465403…
09-09 12:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xda0a7d…
09-09 11:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x2ff496…
09-09 11:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xa45df5…
09-09 11:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xf3715b…
09-09 11:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xdb79a2…
09-09 11:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x5cb2bf…
09-09 11:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	35	97¢	$34	0x911b4c…
09-09 11:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x01dba0…
09-09 11:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x2d1763…
09-09 11:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x1b13f0…
09-09 11:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x89cc45…
09-09 11:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xf0e797…
09-09 11:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x810298…
09-09 11:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x59985b…
09-09 11:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xed6931…
09-09 11:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xaf4b14…
09-09 11:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa2a6c2…
09-09 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x7218b8…
09-09 10:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xcc9a07…
09-09 10:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x4077e5…
09-09 10:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x43bf0d…
09-09 10:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x607cbf…
09-09 10:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	17	86¢	$15	0x03912a…
09-09 10:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x00738e…
09-09 10:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0xdbcd31…
09-09 10:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x746a0c…
09-09 10:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x1f2f6f…
09-09 10:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x79e6b9…
09-09 09:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0xf06698…
09-09 09:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xfa0a8d…
09-09 09:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2c71ab…
09-09 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xee6057…
09-09 09:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-09 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x46f76d…
09-09 08:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x8b992e…
09-09 08:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1ef185…
09-09 08:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0f6066…
09-09 08:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x0960df…
09-09 08:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x5fb560…
09-09 08:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x232ecd…
09-09 08:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x0431d4…
09-09 08:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x8559f6…
09-09 07:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x9b93aa…
09-09 07:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x8168d3…
09-09 07:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x4de9d8…
09-09 07:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xf23539…
09-09 07:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x3c2d12…
09-09 07:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x22c9b2…
09-09 07:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x0ae182…
09-09 06:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xe33ef5…
09-09 06:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x024edb…
09-09 06:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xcecddb…
09-09 06:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xf5c06b…
09-09 06:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5e667d…
09-09 06:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x1e4ed9…
09-05 04:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x58740b…
09-05 03:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6e3a93…
09-05 03:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x503f72…
09-05 03:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xd5be33…
09-05 03:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0xdf9b69…
09-05 03:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xc7c0f0…
09-05 03:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x41ad16…
09-05 02:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x857142…
09-05 02:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x5ce788…
09-05 02:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x7943c1…