Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$104

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

81.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.11K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-14 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

69% 56% -$81

Other

19% 75% -$24

Sports

9% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes		+25	$17	90¢	$22	+$5	08-12 05:14
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No		+8	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	08-14 03:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$226	125	125	+0	No	+$4	02-01 19:07
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$153	78	78	+0	No	+$2	02-25 04:56
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	1	$124	124	0	+124	Yes	+$0	02-08 14:01
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$112	113	0	+113	No	+$1	01-20 11:01
will president be said at the super bowl 277	1	$97	97	0	+97	Yes	+$0	02-09 10:45
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$80	81	0	+81	No	+$1	02-14 02:11
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	4	$68	77	77	+0	Yes	-$42	02-28 06:36
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$50	110	110	+0	No	-$26	02-20 13:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$39	40	0	+40	No	+$1	02-26 06:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	01-30 11:00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	3	$30	44	44	+0	Yes	$0	01-24 16:42
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	-$26	04-08 20:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	-$20	04-02 08:14
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	1	$17	25	0	+25	open	—	08-12 05:14
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$13	15	0	+15	No	+$2	08-13 10:54
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$7	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	01-28 07:24
base fdv above 500m one day after launch	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	08-14 03:07
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	08-14 03:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 03:14:19	Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$5	0x27ef1d…
08-14 03:07:30	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x715a8f…
08-13 10:54:37	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x5e3567…
08-12 05:14:13	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x916438…
04-08 20:37:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xdb1868…
04-02 08:14:23	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x5498db…
03-28 12:17:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x5dbf2a…
02-28 06:36:43	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x8c9e47…
02-28 06:36:41	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x61b183…
02-28 06:36:37	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0x4d2e72…
02-26 06:38:40	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x5b843b…
02-26 06:37:06	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	No	BUY	77	72¢	$55	0x8aa70e…
02-25 04:56:20	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0xd8accc…
02-23 12:05:42	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x34c8b6…
02-23 12:03:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	75	97¢	$73	0xd506ec…
02-20 13:47:10	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	110	11¢	$12	0xac9b55…
02-14 02:11:41	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x56334f…
02-09 10:45:17	will president be said at the super bowl 277	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xbf8d68…
02-08 14:01:23	will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xb5f2ab…
02-01 20:00:48	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	110	35¢	$38	0xbddfce…
02-01 19:07:30	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	125	92¢	$115	0x8027e0…
02-01 16:45:20	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	125	89¢	$111	0x984329…
01-30 11:00:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x37af76…
01-28 07:24:37	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x74cf8a…
01-24 16:42:56	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	34¢	$8	0xf81a63…
01-24 16:39:14	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x44e3d1…
01-24 03:50:30	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xcf4a41…
01-20 11:01:04	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	113	99¢	$112	0xdb1d05…