Creamy-Beech — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$172.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

95.3%

Resolved

463

Trades

12,652

lifetime

Volume

$30.4M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.41K

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 17:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 112 days

Categories

Other

42% 89% +$110,813

Politics

40% 88% +$55,770

Sports

14% 84% -$3,269

Crypto

4% 80% +$9,078

Pop-Culture

0% 97% -$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 159 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No		+0	$0	92¢	$0	+$0	10-28 16:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	140	$1.65M	1,055,000	605,000	+450,000	Yes	+$2,082	06-01 21:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	41	$1.19M	1,209,132	34,565	+1,174,567	Yes	+$55,289	10-28 17:46
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	12	$1.14M	1,149,990	4,990	+1,145,000	Yes	+$1,145	07-23 00:05
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	63	$1.14M	1,138,768	8,657	+1,130,111	Yes	-$3,904	07-09 01:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	179	$1.10M	1,103,031	0	+1,103,031	No	+$7,363	06-03 18:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	108	$1.05M	1,077,983	28,000	+1,049,983	Yes	+$2,098	02-04 00:00
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	243	$1.04M	1,004,279	35,000	+969,279	Yes	+$2,184	02-01 21:55
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	107	$974.2K	976,427	0	+976,427	No	+$2,264	05-22 00:04
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	322	$838.8K	869,199	0	+869,199	No	+$30,378	03-04 18:21
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$819.1K	819,929	0	+819,929	No	+$820	06-08 04:51
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	1,963	$799.2K	800,000	0	+800,000	Yes	+$800	06-13 04:05
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	144	$797.7K	629,934	172,573	+457,360	No	+$3,503	01-31 05:16
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	753	$738.7K	757,901	0	+757,901	No	+$19,201	04-24 08:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	17	$738.5K	523,000	217,000	+306,000	No	+$206	04-30 21:05
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	196	$738.2K	739,713	0	+739,713	Yes	+$1,501	06-17 20:31
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	68	$689.8K	691,513	0	+691,513	No	+$1,752	06-13 20:36
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?	36	$689.3K	690,000	0	+690,000	Yes	+$690	10-16 18:46
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	182	$642.9K	615,619	30,000	+585,619	Yes	+$2,634	02-11 19:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	187	$554.5K	565,395	0	+565,395	Yes	+$10,903	01-28 10:53
nfl ne den 2026 01 25 spread away 3pt5	50	$529.5K	530,000	0	+530,000	Broncos	+$530	01-25 23:34
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	54	$507.7K	508,219	0	+508,219	No	+$508	01-20 23:47
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	229	$499.5K	500,000	0	+500,000	Yes	+$500	06-16 21:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	123	$459.0K	460,613	0	+460,613	No	+$1,586	06-18 01:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	167	$438.7K	448,868	0	+448,868	No	+$10,160	04-01 20:13
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	131	$420.7K	372,713	48,478	+324,235	Yes	+$369	01-06 21:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	80	$399.6K	400,000	0	+400,000	Yes	+$400	03-13 03:08
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	167	$377.3K	196,105	199,028	-2,923	Yes	+$482	04-30 01:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	45	$370.2K	373,488	0	+373,488	Yes	+$3,304	04-07 23:53
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	80	$369.4K	371,558	0	+371,558	No	+$2,114	01-03 23:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	15	$369.3K	370,000	0	+370,000	Yes	+$740	04-09 04:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:46:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,267	97¢	$2,190	0x7cceda…
10-28 17:45:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,419	96¢	$1,368	0x82c254…
10-28 17:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10,159	96¢	$9,793	0x8a8d09…
10-28 17:44:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6d62f2…
10-28 17:44:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43,822	96¢	$42,245	0xf98d69…
10-28 16:57:38	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	54,981	92¢	$50,583	0x8f793e…
10-28 16:30:47	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	761	92¢	$700	0xfbcf5b…
10-28 16:21:43	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x426285…
10-28 16:07:20	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x988e18…
10-28 16:01:07	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0xa1a286…
10-28 15:59:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0xb06a0d…
10-28 15:59:25	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	800	92¢	$736	0xf6e605…
10-28 15:42:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xcfb73a…
10-28 15:39:41	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x412058…
10-28 15:37:41	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xe87d81…
10-28 15:32:56	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	657	92¢	$605	0x5631af…
10-28 15:30:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$15	0x833d5f…
10-28 15:24:17	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd263c8…
10-28 15:13:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	657	92¢	$605	0xd22ae9…
10-28 15:08:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x40e1de…
10-28 15:07:35	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xee86a8…
10-28 15:07:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x19cd18…
10-28 15:06:34	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xf79ded…
10-28 15:06:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x91f3fb…
10-28 14:51:16	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xabba8f…
10-28 14:44:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xad052a…
10-28 14:33:32	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xd4cd19…
10-28 14:32:41	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,111	92¢	$1,022	0x1c79b2…
10-28 14:32:29	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	99	92¢	$91	0x28e048…
10-28 14:20:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,169	95¢	$3,014	0x42cd92…
10-28 14:20:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	480	95¢	$457	0xe0c736…
10-28 14:20:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0xe41923…
10-28 14:19:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x6a5ce2…
10-28 14:18:52	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x16f92a…
10-28 14:09:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	70,000	95¢	$66,570	0x52b6c1…
10-28 14:02:35	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x695ca2…
10-28 13:58:50	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x76a4ab…
10-28 13:20:52	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	312	92¢	$287	0xb8cfc8…
10-28 13:10:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	317	92¢	$291	0x6110e9…
10-28 13:06:02	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x9ea1a9…
10-28 13:01:35	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x629c29…
10-28 12:59:07	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x210889…
10-28 12:57:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xe61060…
10-28 12:45:05	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x16ea67…
10-28 12:40:08	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xcc072e…
10-28 12:15:35	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xe23ea1…
10-28 12:11:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xec6289…
10-28 12:04:07	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xdefbc0…
10-28 12:02:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x3df706…
10-28 12:00:29	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	56	92¢	$51	0x630dfb…
10-28 11:59:44	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xd5bf05…
10-28 11:55:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x9a1463…
10-28 11:53:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,647	95¢	$5,365	0x61d32c…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xe1e486…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,370	95¢	$2,251	0xd985d7…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,417	95¢	$1,346	0xc13a34…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,370	95¢	$1,302	0x996984…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,814	95¢	$1,724	0x71e8b2…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,051	95¢	$1,949	0x573a6d…
10-28 11:52:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,750	95¢	$2,613	0x0a1996…
10-28 11:52:04	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x1e39a8…
10-28 11:48:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	12	92¢	$11	0x6bb906…
10-28 11:46:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0xa24f60…
10-28 11:40:14	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x66661a…
10-28 11:35:46	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8	92¢	$8	0xf0a7d1…
10-28 11:29:17	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xc0e00a…
10-28 10:31:31	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	2,000	92¢	$1,840	0x59651f…
10-28 10:15:17	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xf303b2…
10-28 09:30:17	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	46	92¢	$42	0xade242…
10-28 09:29:29	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x660bc3…
10-28 09:27:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10,658	95¢	$10,158	0x43731f…
10-28 09:17:41	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	8,243	92¢	$7,583	0xd775af…
10-28 09:16:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,000	92¢	$920	0xc0ccb9…
10-28 09:08:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,064	95¢	$1,014	0x0bec51…
10-28 09:02:53	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xcdf91e…
10-28 08:56:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2,128	95¢	$2,028	0x77a9e0…
10-28 08:53:16	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	1,107	92¢	$1,018	0xfe41ee…
10-28 08:46:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x020fcf…
10-28 08:41:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5368be…
10-28 08:34:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe7fe7b…
10-28 08:23:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$101	0x7623a1…
10-28 08:21:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,255	95¢	$1,196	0x247fcc…
10-28 07:55:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x87638d…
10-28 07:52:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x252e57…
10-28 07:51:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4,872	95¢	$4,643	0x79fcc2…
10-28 07:49:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xe7dc85…
10-28 07:49:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7,780	95¢	$7,414	0xca00ee…
10-28 06:54:19	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	75	92¢	$69	0xadbecb…
10-28 06:19:05	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	405	95¢	$386	0xe35c2f…
10-28 06:18:55	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	213	95¢	$203	0xe141eb…
10-28 06:18:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0xbe1d12…
10-28 06:16:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28,600	95¢	$27,256	0x0fae5a…
10-28 06:02:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,766	95¢	$4,542	0xe9cd07…
10-28 05:57:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x88cf3f…
10-28 05:56:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,426	95¢	$1,359	0xb67cb7…
10-28 05:55:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,321	95¢	$4,118	0xdcead9…
10-28 05:55:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	201	95¢	$192	0x449edc…
10-28 05:12:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,128	95¢	$2,028	0x4c02f0…
10-28 05:10:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	55	95¢	$52	0x78906f…
10-28 04:59:02	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xbf8b56…