Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$80

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-13

last 10-31 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Politics

61% 65% +$2

Other

36% 65% +$2

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-07 07:05
Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	10-06 12:18
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-09 07:03
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 10:00
Will PepsiCo say "Tariff" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-08 07:06
Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-13 18:54
Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-23 20:06
Will PepsiCo say "Inflation" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-08 07:22
Will Trump say "Tiger" this week?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	10-02 07:11
Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-06 12:36
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	09-29 19:57
Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-08 07:02
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$0	10-06 12:27
Will Trump say "NATO" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$0	09-20 19:46
Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-06 12:22
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	10-29 01:25
Will Netanyahu say "Violence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-21 19:55
Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	10-31 03:01
Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-12 09:13
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	09-19 09:54
Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-19 20:17
will citigroup c q3 provision for credit losses be above 3pt0b	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	10-09 17:57
Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-19 20:10
Will Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	09-22 20:01
Will Robinhood say "Crypto" / "Cryptocurrency" 12+ times during earnings call?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-25 20:29
Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-08 07:17
Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-21 20:02
Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-21 11:43
Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-20 19:50
Will Netanyahu say "Regime" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-22 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:01:54	Will the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x16a864…
10-30 03:29:00	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3a47c5…
10-29 01:25:29	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xdc8af8…
10-28 00:41:27	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Kim Jong Un by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2a1b33…
10-27 05:04:54	Critical Discord Incident by October 31?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x356028…
10-25 20:29:57	Will Robinhood say "Crypto" / "Cryptocurrency" 12+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x7ba4cd…
10-25 13:21:36	Will "Korea" or "Korean" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4af206…
10-22 21:18:18	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf26dd8…
10-21 21:38:23	Will Tesla say "Robot" during earnings call?	No	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xe1e986…
10-21 11:43:33	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xccfb7b…
10-19 21:37:36	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xfa73c9…
10-18 19:44:59	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7ad2de…
10-16 08:17:22	Will Trump say "Transgender" 5+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7ca478…
10-15 07:20:07	will trump say tariff during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9ae5ae…
10-14 07:51:19	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.175B?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xce2a47…
10-13 07:09:08	trump approval rating at least 38pt2 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1c4e51…
10-12 09:13:31	Will JPMorgan say "Credit Card" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x3306bb…
10-11 07:32:57	Will BlackRock say "Trump" during earnings call?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x97e394…
10-10 07:36:34	Will Domino's say "World Cup" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7be227…
10-09 17:57:46	will citigroup c q3 provision for credit losses be above 3pt0b	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xbf15d9…
10-09 07:07:45	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" 2+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd2b964…
10-09 07:03:34	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x34fb8e…
10-08 07:22:01	Will PepsiCo say "Inflation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd6f1ca…
10-08 07:17:41	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in New York?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x39d5fd…
10-08 07:06:31	Will PepsiCo say "Tariff" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x12ceb8…
10-08 07:02:28	Will Delta Air Lines say "Headwind" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x88b814…
10-07 07:14:35	Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x71c681…
10-07 07:10:24	Will Trump say "Shut Up" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x02a675…
10-07 07:05:26	Will Delta Air Lines say "Lounge" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xee2feb…
10-06 12:36:03	Will Trump say "Drone" during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbcebd9…
10-06 12:27:48	Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x80c5d7…
10-06 12:22:43	Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x3e9b17…
10-06 12:18:12	Will Trump say "Fascism" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xac4d09…
10-03 07:07:18	will trump say hell 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1c7c55…
10-02 07:11:57	Will Trump say "Tiger" this week?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xfd5ff9…
10-02 06:59:00	Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa4797d…
09-29 19:57:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4d53ca…
09-27 19:51:26	will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4e9a9d…
09-23 20:06:22	Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x69e831…
09-22 20:01:03	Will Netanyahu say "Hormuz" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x327b1a…
09-22 19:57:09	Will Netanyahu say "Regime" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x00cc16…
09-21 20:02:31	Will Netanyahu say "Uranium" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfeb82e…
09-21 19:55:28	Will Netanyahu say "Violence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x1d7f4d…
09-20 20:12:50	Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4dbe01…
09-20 20:02:35	Will Trump say "Pledge" or "Pledged" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x300e98…
09-20 19:50:11	Will "Japan" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x349ce5…
09-20 19:46:01	Will Trump say "NATO" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0xe8e45b…
09-19 20:17:17	Will Trump say "Board of Peace" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xa217ae…
09-19 20:10:36	Will Trump say "Favorite Word" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x5f4d73…
09-19 10:00:26	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa7c7ac…
09-19 09:54:01	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x6eb69e…
09-13 18:54:10	Will Warsh say "Echo" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xcb5a86…
09-13 18:47:21	Will Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5835ef…