Adolescent-Jail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$304

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

138

lifetime

Volume

$2.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

61% 38% +$392

Crypto

36% 42% -$60

Politics

2% 0% -$38

Sports

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes		-200	-$25	12¢	$-23	+$2	08-31 13:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$239	305	251	+54	No	+$257	04-30 07:17
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	4	$194	542	0	+542	Yes	-$194	09-16 15:23
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	12	$188	286	225	+61	No	-$22	01-17 13:56
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$168	235	224	+10	No	+$167	04-30 07:17
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	9	$148	284	283	+1	No	+$81	03-31 22:54
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$145	146	146	+0	No	+$100	04-30 07:16
Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$135	105	105	+0	Yes	+$15	02-16 14:40
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	8	$120	351	351	+0	Yes	-$43	01-13 10:00
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$119	60	95	-35	Yes	+$8	04-01 11:46
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$115	80	80	+0	No	+$11	01-13 08:53
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$100	175	175	+0	Yes	-$40	02-12 08:53
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$98	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	02-18 11:20
will paradex launch a token on march 5	7	$93	375	275	+100	Yes	-$45	03-05 14:41
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	1	$71	183	0	+183	MOUZ	-$71	09-05 18:20
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$70	70	65	+5	No	+$61	04-30 07:16
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	2	$66	66	66	+0	No	+$46	02-01 12:39
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$61	53	53	+0	No	+$41	04-30 07:15
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	3	$59	80	80	+0	No	+$32	03-29 21:57
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?	3	$58	50	50	+0	No	+$30	01-31 09:39
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$55	47	47	+0	Yes	+$25	01-28 15:59
will opinion launch a token on march 5	1	$53	0	60	-60	Yes	-$7	02-26 13:44
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	5	$49	507	107	+400	No	-$13	04-14 22:37
laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	2	$47	192	192	+0	No	-$3	09-08 18:28
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$44	106	65	+42	Yes	-$16	01-06 19:16
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	1	$35	248	0	+248	Yes	-$35	10-27 16:22
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$32	50	100	-50	No	+$12	03-13 11:23
Over $5M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$32	104	104	+0	No	-$16	01-25 09:36
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	1	$32	91	0	+91	Yes	-$32	10-28 07:28
cs2 mgc ntr 2026 09 02 game2	1	$29	88	0	+88	Nuclear TigeRES	-$29	09-02 17:42
cs2 b8 eye 2026 09 02 game1	1	$28	92	0	+92	B8	+$63	09-02 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 07:28:19	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	BUY	91	35¢	$32	0x445c75…
10-28 07:19:59	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x886582…
10-27 16:22:23	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	BUY	166	10¢	$16	0x4792d5…
10-27 16:22:02	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	248	14¢	$35	0xd5458c…
09-19 00:46:28	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x34d875…
09-16 15:23:06	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xa3e961…
09-16 15:10:27	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xfe7480…
09-14 12:07:15	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	66	35¢	$23	0xa1a897…
09-08 18:28:34	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	SELL	192	12¢	$22	0xbd4710…
09-08 17:24:07	laptop fdv above 1b one day after launch	Yes	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x7bdde5…
09-06 23:06:58	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	333	36¢	$120	0x72d7ec…
09-05 18:20:01	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	183	39¢	$71	0x25ab7a…
09-03 12:45:12	cs2 mibr eye 2026 09 03 game1	EYEBALLERS	SELL	61	7¢	$4	0x09aaeb…
09-03 12:43:45	cs2 mibr eye 2026 09 03 game1	EYEBALLERS	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x5656c8…
09-03 12:10:45	cs2 mibr eye 2026 09 03 game1	EYEBALLERS	BUY	71	31¢	$22	0xc73bcc…
09-02 18:44:18	cs2 b8 eye 2026 09 02 game1	B8	BUY	92	31¢	$28	0x9bec65…
09-02 17:42:39	cs2 mgc ntr 2026 09 02 game2	magic	BUY	88	33¢	$29	0x3d83c6…
09-02 17:41:13	cs2 mibr 3dmax 2026 09 02 game2	3DMAX	BUY	96	20¢	$19	0x1268f9…
09-02 10:01:40	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner	Eternal Fire	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0xfefa24…
09-01 10:54:18	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xea1da4…
08-31 16:24:40	cs2 mouz fal2 2026 08 31 game2	MOUZ	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x47f2cb…
08-31 15:43:18	cs2 mouz fal2 2026 08 31 game1	MOUZ	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x86c5ea…
08-31 14:37:16	cs2 g2 aur1 2026 08 31	Aurora Gaming	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x8a1545…
08-31 13:48:39	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$25	0x652884…
05-07 09:50:15	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x399ee5…
04-30 07:17:32	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	150	96¢	$144	0xa96c12…
04-30 07:17:10	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	201	99¢	$198	0xfc0a3c…
04-30 07:16:42	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	65	97¢	$63	0xb79127…
04-30 07:16:22	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$100	0x52be16…
04-30 07:15:42	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$51	0xf559ae…
04-29 23:14:06	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	74	25¢	$18	0xfab2f5…
04-29 22:31:44	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	46	50¢	$23	0xb07ad4…
04-29 22:25:26	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0xa384b1…
04-28 20:46:02	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x1ff685…
04-28 20:45:16	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1965ea…
04-28 20:43:52	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xc01a41…
04-28 20:43:12	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x3dbb0a…
04-28 09:56:44	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	75	17¢	$13	0x8a7e5e…
04-27 22:15:04	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xaa10ef…
04-27 22:10:38	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2d5e38…
04-27 22:09:46	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	198	7¢	$13	0x8ec195…
04-27 22:09:10	Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	148	3¢	$5	0xff138b…
04-27 22:08:52	Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	191	2¢	$3	0xf2489a…
04-14 22:37:08	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x8d0935…
04-14 22:36:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	92	17¢	$16	0x1dd9a5…
04-14 22:36:28	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xe6a76a…
04-14 22:36:26	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x4e6235…
04-13 16:44:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	507	6¢	$31	0xe63638…
04-01 11:46:59	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	95	86¢	$81	0x61a7de…
03-31 22:54:19	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	40	54¢	$21	0xb1af46…
03-31 19:15:01	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0xc94ac0…
03-31 19:11:37	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xae335c…
03-31 19:09:43	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	71	7¢	$5	0xcf8965…
03-31 17:43:01	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	80	47¢	$38	0xc1f737…
03-30 09:39:56	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	67	22¢	$15	0xee93c9…
03-29 22:24:24	Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	130	5¢	$6	0x9e251e…
03-29 21:59:30	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x907ab4…
03-29 21:58:04	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0x4ba905…
03-29 21:57:10	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0x808c29…
03-29 21:56:30	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x492676…
03-29 15:37:50	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	120	38¢	$46	0xa8a3c2…
03-29 11:53:04	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	SELL	40	58¢	$23	0x4906fc…
03-28 11:30:11	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	186	4¢	$8	0x5b6894…
03-26 20:31:55	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	74	1¢	$0	0xe99c78…
03-26 20:22:39	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	126	1¢	$1	0xee80bd…
03-26 20:12:45	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0xb3d30f…
03-23 15:13:25	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0xa41e1f…
03-23 15:12:03	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xb7ff3a…
03-23 15:11:29	Over $4M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x0488ab…
03-23 15:10:35	Over $3M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	No	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xcb8be6…
03-17 11:20:07	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x031d2a…
03-16 17:08:45	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x474a8f…
03-13 11:23:13	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xb85c01…
03-05 14:47:11	will paradex launch a token on march 6	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xfb960c…
03-05 14:41:31	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6cc43d…
03-04 17:39:03	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	SELL	245	2¢	$4	0xba53e6…
03-04 15:59:07	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x79bb79…
03-04 14:38:15	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x35cb8b…
03-04 08:24:05	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xd7fd1b…
03-04 01:06:29	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xc3f51d…
03-03 18:48:35	Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x2a8129…
03-03 17:44:35	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	68¢	$16	0x4b486c…
03-03 17:44:23	Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x5aa62d…
03-03 11:12:11	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa3bbbd…
03-03 10:19:29	will paradex launch a token on march 5	No	BUY	75	18¢	$14	0xd4e356…
02-27 18:58:21	will opinion launch a token on march 4	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x57a5ae…
02-27 18:55:17	will opinion launch a token on march 4	Yes	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x9d2a25…
02-26 13:44:52	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x7914ab…
02-18 11:20:12	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0x77f14d…
02-16 22:53:17	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xfacfd2…
02-16 14:40:33	Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	105	71¢	$75	0xbb679b…
02-12 22:08:07	Bitway FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x345f1b…
02-12 08:53:31	Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	175	17¢	$30	0xd2311c…
02-11 19:23:23	Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	175	40¢	$70	0x607a5a…
02-08 13:49:51	Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xd11909…
02-05 17:56:17	Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xaf53b9…
02-01 12:39:08	Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	SELL	66	85¢	$56	0xe822d8…
01-31 09:39:32	Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x03b5d9…
01-28 15:59:18	Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	47	85¢	$40	0x164d91…
01-28 12:29:29	Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x14964b…