Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
11.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
176
lifetime
Volume
$6.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$34
Open exposure
$703
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 10-28 16:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
66% 67% +$33
Politics
34% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +222 $203 97¢ $216 +$12 10-19 22:04
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? No +215 $142 96¢ $207 +$65 10-19 22:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +200 $181 98¢ $196 +$15 10-20 20:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +260 $202 15¢ $38 -$164 10-16 15:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +23 $16 84¢ $19 +$4 10-20 20:11
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +3,483 -$3 1¢ $19 +$22 10-23 07:30
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? Yes — +512 $3 1¢ $3 +$0 10-28 13:40
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-08 11:58
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-16 15:59
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-14 06:01
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-14 06:01