Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

231

Trades

760

lifetime

Volume

$98.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 04-13 15:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

57% 48% -$458

Politics

27% 53% +$1,034

Crypto

7% 40% +$192

Pop-Culture

3% 75% +$239

Sports

3% 67% +$130

Tech

2% 38% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	8	$4.7K	2,646	2,646	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 18:15
spl dam ahl 2025 12 19 ahl	12	$2.6K	1,693	1,693	+0	Yes	+$104	02-22 22:19
will trump say america or american first during the 2026 state of the union address 976	5	$1.8K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	-$11	02-22 10:38
will keir starmer say reform 3 times during the next prime ministers questions	6	$1.7K	1,070	1,070	+0	No	-$11	02-03 21:29
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 118	4	$1.5K	865	849	+16	Yes	+$62	03-21 19:06
will keir starmer say iran during the next prime ministers questions	8	$1.5K	2,094	511	+1,583	No	+$200	02-03 13:46
another crypto hack over 100m before 2027	5	$1.4K	868	868	+0	Yes	+$260	02-26 10:40
will maga be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 312	2	$1.3K	736	736	+0	Yes	+$143	01-31 17:01
scop abe cel 2026 02 04 cel	8	$1.3K	913	913	+0	Yes	+$9	02-25 20:51
will sex be said at the oscars	9	$1.2K	1,613	1,588	+25	No	+$121	03-13 07:36
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$1.2K	691	691	+0	Yes	$0	02-19 07:14
spl njm nsr 2025 12 21 nsr	6	$1.2K	663	663	+0	Yes	-$7	02-25 17:40
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?	6	$1.2K	788	788	+0	Yes	+$20	02-26 08:43
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	5	$1.1K	655	655	+0	Yes	-$7	02-01 00:57
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	4	$1.1K	955	955	+0	Yes	+$29	01-28 23:59
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 55 and 60	6	$1.1K	1,556	1,134	+422	No	+$383	02-27 15:53
will hezbollah disarm by march 31	2	$1.1K	1,114	0	+1,114	No	+$2	02-27 16:05
will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by march 31	7	$1.1K	896	896	+0	No	-$22	02-22 05:00
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	9	$1.1K	1,353	1,353	+0	Yes	+$229	02-16 05:13
will kate hudson win best actress at the 98th academy awards	6	$1.0K	513	513	+0	No	$0	02-15 23:40
will there be at least 1200 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 152 495 466 979 817	7	$1.0K	1,150	1,149	+1	No	-$12	02-17 18:12
will john oliver say ai or artificial intelligence on last week tonight	3	$978	661	661	+0	Yes	+$198	02-21 04:56
will judy shelton attend the 2026 state of the union address	5	$947	526	526	+0	No	+$11	02-20 05:08
col1 mif dep 2026 02 05 dep	6	$936	982	982	+0	No	-$64	02-22 09:52
Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$891	563	563	+0	No	-$39	04-11 18:16
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	6	$886	703	703	+0	No	+$65	02-06 17:05
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	5	$883	613	613	+0	Yes	+$1	02-22 21:20
will the total number of tsa passengers for january 29 be between 2300000 and 2400000	3	$876	831	427	+404	No	+$66	01-30 04:21
will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$857	479	479	+0	Yes	-$5	04-09 11:41
will benfica advance to the round of 16	3	$847	556	556	+0	No	-$8	02-09 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-13 15:52:53	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	468	13¢	$61	0xcd2580…
04-13 15:52:31	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	912	13¢	$119	0x404ef3…
04-13 15:47:39	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	262	39¢	$102	0xe44b1c…
04-13 15:47:13	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	SELL	383	39¢	$149	0x221d3e…
04-13 13:36:19	Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?	Yes	BUY	645	29¢	$187	0x82ecdc…
04-13 13:17:05	Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?	No	BUY	643	81¢	$521	0x9dff49…
04-13 12:48:51	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	483	12¢	$58	0xecec44…
04-13 12:48:29	Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	897	12¢	$108	0x6038c9…
04-13 04:24:01	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x220a9f…
04-13 04:23:37	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	593	22¢	$130	0x4b8cdb…
04-12 23:59:27	Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	601	22¢	$132	0xb0eb58…
04-12 15:24:33	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	No	SELL	472	10¢	$47	0x2bf503…
04-12 00:51:33	will trump post bully of the middle east on truth social this week 151	Yes	SELL	408	9¢	$36	0xc899f7…
04-11 18:51:13	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	232	88¢	$204	0x10d9c8…
04-11 18:19:31	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	19	51¢	$10	0x5a6822…
04-11 18:16:31	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	86	76¢	$65	0x5b9869…
04-11 18:15:01	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	477	76¢	$361	0x61987f…
04-11 14:58:03	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	232	89¢	$206	0xaeb243…
04-10 19:43:21	will ai be said 15 times during the next episode of the all in podcast 568	No	BUY	845	70¢	$592	0x054b4e…
04-10 15:52:31	will thrash be the top us netflix movie this week	No	BUY	472	42¢	$198	0xe9ab3e…
04-09 22:38:01	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	943	13¢	$123	0x4dc7bb…
04-09 22:37:41	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	962	13¢	$125	0xe7637c…
04-09 22:37:19	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	972	13¢	$126	0xa82ff5…
04-09 13:03:01	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	247	13¢	$32	0x1a81b1…
04-09 13:02:05	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	SELL	701	13¢	$91	0x200194…
04-09 12:12:13	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	548	51¢	$279	0x89205a…
04-09 11:41:45	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	479	89¢	$426	0x9c1db2…
04-08 16:06:39	will gerb udf gerb sds finish second in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	479	90¢	$431	0xf5de50…
04-08 13:04:39	will united left bsp win at least one seat in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	567	50¢	$284	0xf3805a…
04-07 23:34:09	Will Ana Paula Renault win Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	948	13¢	$123	0x6887c7…
04-07 21:45:27	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	972	12¢	$117	0x83270b…
04-07 21:45:19	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	962	12¢	$115	0xbf6380…
04-07 21:45:01	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	943	12¢	$113	0xb44fdd…
04-07 19:22:11	will trump post bully of the middle east on truth social this week 151	Yes	BUY	163	19¢	$31	0x9e4240…
04-07 19:21:49	will trump post bully of the middle east on truth social this week 151	Yes	BUY	642	19¢	$122	0x7deb1b…
04-07 17:29:51	Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	563	83¢	$465	0xfdd777…
04-07 16:37:19	mex que jua 2026 02 22 jua	No	BUY	794	62¢	$492	0x67021d…
03-31 08:08:43	chi sgr tie 2026 04 18 sgr	No	SELL	488	14¢	$68	0x233d5f…
03-31 03:28:23	chi sha shp 2026 04 17 sha	No	SELL	247	52¢	$128	0x844317…
03-31 03:27:21	chi sha shp 2026 04 17 sha	No	SELL	292	52¢	$152	0xa63cc3…
03-29 22:57:58	chi sgr tie 2026 04 18 sgr	No	BUY	488	29¢	$142	0xac67b4…
03-29 21:30:22	chi sha shp 2026 04 17 sha	No	BUY	540	58¢	$313	0x6c856c…
03-26 03:43:55	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	800	11¢	$88	0x355ff4…
03-26 03:43:41	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	786	11¢	$86	0xd2c7cb…
03-25 18:25:37	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0x8b656c…
03-25 16:02:43	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	SELL	162	4¢	$6	0x27c013…
03-25 16:01:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	SELL	208	4¢	$8	0xb6427f…
03-25 16:00:07	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	SELL	214	4¢	$9	0x7716fe…
03-24 16:48:01	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	846	12¢	$102	0xaf5de1…
03-24 16:47:41	Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	BUY	800	12¢	$96	0x86dbc0…
03-24 16:11:47	Will FaZe make a roster move before May?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0x0a9cf4…
03-24 05:22:07	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	70	65¢	$46	0x998622…
03-23 23:28:41	will iran strike lebanon in march	Yes	BUY	522	76¢	$397	0x02f5e7…
03-23 19:48:17	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	No	BUY	584	26¢	$152	0x7a53fa…
03-22 01:58:23	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	Yes	SELL	194	11¢	$21	0x11a465…
03-22 01:58:07	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	Yes	SELL	531	11¢	$58	0xb25691…
03-21 19:20:15	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	Yes	SELL	140	7¢	$10	0xa97f16…
03-21 19:19:55	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	Yes	SELL	524	7¢	$37	0xd60516…
03-21 19:06:11	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 118	Yes	SELL	295	93¢	$274	0x4810e7…
03-21 19:06:03	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 118	Yes	SELL	554	93¢	$515	0x94bf10…
03-21 18:15:43	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	591	88¢	$520	0xfec4ba…
03-21 18:15:31	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	985	88¢	$867	0x97728b…
03-21 18:15:09	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	980	88¢	$862	0x729a21…
03-21 18:14:45	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	88¢	$41	0xf0c74d…
03-21 18:14:27	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x463b7b…
03-20 22:53:11	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0xea4292…
03-20 22:53:01	saudi arabia military action against yemen by march 31	Yes	BUY	702	16¢	$112	0x8588e6…
03-20 22:32:09	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	Yes	BUY	251	39¢	$98	0xa18f25…
03-20 22:31:47	Will Olivia Rodrigo announce a new album by March 31?	Yes	BUY	413	39¢	$161	0x7bd0f0…
03-20 17:11:55	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 118	Yes	BUY	599	86¢	$515	0x4cf362…
03-20 17:11:37	will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week 118	Yes	BUY	266	86¢	$229	0xd70a20…
03-20 13:47:05	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,022	88¢	$899	0xf47a83…
03-20 13:46:47	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	985	88¢	$867	0x57e66d…
03-20 13:46:29	MARA sells any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	639	88¢	$562	0x9f4712…
03-19 06:19:43	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 20	No	SELL	44	90¢	$40	0x449e7e…
03-16 14:09:23	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on march 20	No	BUY	44	74¢	$33	0x4223b1…
03-16 00:42:59	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 21 587	Yes	SELL	56	57¢	$32	0xeb917f…
03-14 13:28:27	will ryan gosling attend the oscars	No	BUY	823	88¢	$724	0x43dd19…
03-13 07:36:41	will sex be said at the oscars	No	SELL	373	21¢	$78	0xb5fb15…
03-13 07:35:25	will sex be said at the oscars	No	SELL	465	22¢	$102	0x9e1a41…
03-12 17:07:47	will sex be said at the oscars	No	BUY	838	39¢	$327	0x3498b3…
03-12 15:45:11	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 21 587	Yes	BUY	56	26¢	$15	0xda5811…
03-11 05:08:55	will sex be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	274	69¢	$189	0x670db7…
03-11 05:08:41	will sex be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	259	69¢	$179	0x1fd46a…
03-10 15:44:37	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	238	25¢	$60	0xf4e4ad…
03-10 15:02:01	will sex be said at the oscars	Yes	SELL	217	61¢	$132	0xc2927a…
03-10 13:37:11	usisrael strike yemen by march 14	Yes	SELL	265	11¢	$29	0x6b00ff…
03-10 13:36:51	usisrael strike yemen by march 14	Yes	SELL	244	11¢	$27	0x3fdb37…
03-10 12:20:23	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	197	71¢	$140	0x9eda42…
03-10 12:19:17	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	SELL	151	71¢	$107	0x2767c8…
03-10 12:12:15	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x891db7…
03-06 14:46:53	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	Yes	BUY	42	26¢	$11	0xe9bcff…
03-06 14:21:01	will starmer say tory or tories during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	147	52¢	$76	0x96061c…
03-06 13:42:29	will iran strike al zour refinery by march 31	No	BUY	348	73¢	$254	0xffd244…
03-06 12:58:33	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	238	24¢	$57	0xc49f13…
03-06 12:37:27	usisrael strike yemen by march 14	Yes	BUY	241	52¢	$125	0xa990d3…
03-06 12:37:15	usisrael strike yemen by march 14	Yes	BUY	268	52¢	$139	0xe488a6…
03-06 12:06:37	will sex be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	259	30¢	$78	0x02e287…
03-06 12:06:17	will sex be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	242	30¢	$73	0x8e797d…
03-06 12:06:05	will sex be said at the oscars	Yes	BUY	274	30¢	$82	0x7ff6aa…