Rare-Litmus — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$725

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved (90d)

763

Trades (90d)

3,551

6,794 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$50.9K

$84.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 10-13 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

93% 62% -$4,702

Crypto

7% 50% -$102

Politics

0% 0% -$18

Sports

0% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 1335 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-08-15?	18	$1.8K	1,461	1,461	+0	Yes	+$1,123	08-15 14:07
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?	5	$1.3K	789	789	+0	No	+$73	07-21 16:33
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?	20	$1.2K	1,370	1,370	+0	No	+$189	08-25 18:46
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-26?	14	$1.0K	1,002	662	+340	Yes	+$232	08-27 01:53
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?	58	$974	915	889	+26	Yes	+$3	09-14 17:12
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06?	10	$963	625	625	+0	No	+$15	09-06 16:45
Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?	2	$918	594	594	+0	Yes	-$39	07-21 18:25
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-09-06?	13	$911	526	526	+0	No	+$20	09-06 14:48
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	45	$705	700	675	+25	Yes	-$13	09-14 17:12
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?	4	$642	519	497	+22	Yes	-$116	07-29 02:01
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	9	$638	1,091	1,091	+0	No	-$315	08-16 16:51
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-28?	4	$600	507	500	+7	Yes	-$152	07-28 23:41
Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Górnik Zabrze end in a draw?	2	$586	318	318	+0	No	+$12	07-21 18:42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	5	$529	444	444	+0	Yes	+$30	09-06 15:33
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-09-06?	22	$519	446	445	+1	Yes	-$75	09-07 02:23
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	57	$515	545	518	+26	Yes	-$21	09-14 18:49
Will CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?	15	$494	487	487	+0	Yes	+$296	05-22 04:47
Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-14?	33	$485	632	582	+50	No	+$5	09-14 17:05
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-16?	5	$482	284	284	+0	Yes	+$85	08-16 16:48
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-21?	3	$466	7,746	7,746	+0	No	-$434	07-21 17:23
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-21?	2	$421	237	237	+0	Yes	+$19	07-21 18:42
Will IFK Göteborg vs. FCI Levadia end in a draw?	4	$414	266	266	+0	No	-$2	07-21 17:47
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?	6	$412	262	261	+1	Yes	+$16	08-19 19:40
Will Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC end in a draw?	7	$405	887	881	+6	No	-$299	05-20 12:43
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-09-06?	7	$404	289	288	+1	No	-$15	09-07 00:13
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-08-27?	11	$402	1,232	185	+1,047	No	-$153	08-27 17:47
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	8	$401	259	259	+0	Yes	+$54	09-06 14:49
Will Osters IF win on 2026-08-15?	2	$401	326	326	+0	Yes	+$251	08-15 14:08
Will Fagiano Okayama vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?	46	$391	580	0	+580	Yes	-$391	05-31 06:49
Will Al Faisaly Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?	5	$390	826	0	+826	Yes	-$390	08-26 17:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 00:09:20	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x440506…
10-13 00:09:15	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xea613a…
10-13 00:09:14	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7a21c5…
10-13 00:09:12	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x226075…
10-13 00:09:09	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb8238c…
10-13 00:09:08	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xfb131a…
10-13 00:09:05	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0x2beae4…
10-13 00:09:00	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x565f79…
10-13 00:08:53	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xcaf36a…
10-13 00:08:53	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xc5cc38…
10-13 00:08:53	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xa3db70…
10-13 00:08:53	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x495742…
10-13 00:08:51	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xd355a6…
10-12 23:46:44	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x3b97cd…
10-12 23:45:50	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x324bed…
10-12 23:45:48	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x5f5392…
10-12 21:01:11	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x18181f…
10-12 21:01:05	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x3581c7…
10-12 21:01:03	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0xe0ca2b…
10-12 21:01:02	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xe60ac6…
10-12 21:00:59	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x7c7801…
10-12 21:00:48	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xf9c705…
10-12 21:00:48	Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc37664…
10-12 17:10:30	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x7cd4dd…
10-12 17:10:21	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x0225d2…
10-12 17:10:18	Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-10-12?	Yes	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xdd1941…
10-12 16:09:18	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xbcf25a…
10-12 16:09:14	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0x78905d…
10-12 16:09:06	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	5¢	$0	0x2f0a85…
10-12 16:09:02	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x25a1b9…
10-12 16:09:00	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x62d624…
10-12 16:08:54	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xfad47e…
10-12 16:08:51	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xb46fa0…
10-12 16:08:48	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-12?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0x5007b5…
10-12 16:08:44	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xdfec9b…
10-12 16:08:44	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xafc91a…
10-12 16:08:44	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xa4e19a…
10-12 16:08:41	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xe759a5…
10-12 16:08:41	Will Granada CF win on 2026-10-12?	No	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x7cade5…
10-12 16:08:41	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x0d3cb6…
10-12 15:54:06	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0xda21b7…
10-12 15:54:05	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x8cf70d…
10-12 15:54:02	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x25d6a9…
10-12 15:53:59	Will Burgos CF vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xb4a379…
10-11 15:55:19	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x36743d…
10-11 15:45:13	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xac014a…
10-11 15:44:33	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4ebe15…
10-11 15:44:33	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x437209…
10-11 15:44:06	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xd4c4e0…
10-11 15:43:57	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x67f537…
10-11 15:43:22	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x728d5b…
10-11 15:43:18	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x425d2b…
10-11 15:35:19	Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x296844…
10-11 14:42:22	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8470e3…
10-11 14:41:55	Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5	Over	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0169e9…
10-11 14:41:13	Crystal Palace FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x619e89…
10-11 14:40:10	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf119ac…
10-11 14:40:07	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xe04d3f…
10-11 14:37:19	US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xabe0cf…
10-11 14:37:18	US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x03c788…
10-11 14:35:55	OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x6308ac…
10-11 14:35:19	OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x774a67…
10-11 14:25:57	US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xdc074f…
10-11 14:25:42	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x28045c…
10-11 14:25:25	US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x818d02…
10-11 14:25:21	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xb2d40a…
10-11 14:24:48	Spread: Real Sociedad de Fútbol (-1.5)	RC Deportivo A Coruña	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1294f5…
10-11 14:18:13	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xd87bc1…
10-11 14:18:01	Hull City AFC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6fca4f…
10-11 14:16:12	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x12a739…
10-11 14:15:27	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xc6bec3…
10-11 14:15:22	Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x53281f…
10-11 14:12:43	Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x64ae83…
10-11 14:12:10	Will US Lecce vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x9d44d1…
10-11 14:09:34	Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x6c17ea…
10-11 14:06:19	Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x4dc7d6…
10-11 14:05:46	Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x79b9fc…
10-11 14:05:45	Will 1. FC Köln vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x54f33c…
10-11 12:12:19	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf800d3…
10-10 12:56:00	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x0fc785…
10-10 12:55:19	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x042625…
10-10 12:55:10	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x1ad1ca…
10-10 12:54:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa6a568…
10-10 12:54:46	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xff8973…
10-10 12:51:18	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x965542…
10-10 12:23:36	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x78f775…
10-10 12:23:25	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb0ce59…
10-10 12:23:22	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xc007aa…
10-10 12:23:21	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2c8938…
10-10 12:23:18	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xeaca6b…
10-10 12:23:03	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xfabc31…
10-10 12:23:03	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x056d35…
10-10 12:04:49	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xa36d12…
10-10 12:03:37	Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5)	Yunnan Yukun FC	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xaaeeab…
10-10 11:58:51	Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x89497f…
10-10 11:58:48	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x6f8e4b…
10-10 11:58:04	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdd7477…
10-10 11:57:15	Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x130e83…
10-10 11:55:27	Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xd123b6…
10-10 11:54:37	Will Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7ed530…