Realized P&L
+$16.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$1.75K
Hit rate
48.8%
Resolved
198
Trades
3,365
lifetime
Volume
$392.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$2.31K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-30
last 10-22 13:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Other
78% 37% +$51,690
Sports
14% 52% -$28,885
Politics
5% 0% -$6,676
Crypto
2% 61% +$237
Tech
0% 0% -$1
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,428 $369 32¢ $457 +$88 10-05 10:48
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,148 $1,193 18¢ $397 -$796 10-07 15:55
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +574 $336 66¢ $376 +$40 10-05 06:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +430 $268 56¢ $243 -$25 10-06 08:33
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +3,164 $779 4¢ $139 -$640 09-03 13:43
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +881 $242 12¢ $110 -$132 10-22 13:02
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +1,670 $251 6¢ $92 -$159 09-27 07:58
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $81 89¢ $89 +$8 10-07 15:31
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? No +236 $106 34¢ $79 -$27 09-26 15:24
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 Yes +511 $112 12¢ $64 -$49 08-13 04:26
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +86 $43 64¢ $56 +$13 08-23 14:40
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +186 $26 18¢ $33 +$7 09-22 13:57
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +25 $22 94¢ $24 +$1 09-26 15:37
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +81 $22 19¢ $15 -$6 09-26 15:30
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +21 $12 73¢ $15 +$3 09-21 14:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? No +14 $12 94¢ $13 +$2 10-05 22:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +34 $73 37¢ $13 -$61 09-25 08:14
Will the Vegas Golden Knights be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +166 $13 8¢ $12 -$1 09-17 11:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? No +12 $4 99¢ $12 +$9 10-05 13:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? No +12 $6 99¢ $12 +$6 10-06 13:04
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +15 $12 78¢ $12 -$1 09-01 13:12
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +68 $5 14¢ $9 +$5 08-23 14:40
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +8 $4 99¢ $8 +$4 10-05 01:17
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +50 $10 14¢ $7 -$3 09-27 07:41
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +34 $22 16¢ $5 -$16 09-27 16:53
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +68 $6 8¢ $5 -$1 09-28 12:16
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +31 $19 16¢ $5 -$14 09-28 12:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +12 $2 36¢ $4 +$2 10-06 09:40
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +3 $3 100¢ $3 +$0 08-27 10:03
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +1,000 $9 0¢ $3 -$6 08-18 13:50