Perky-Gaffer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

7,816

lifetime

Volume

$317.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-20 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 70% $-17

Other

17% 67% +$51

Sports

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 708 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be between 4 and 7 on april 12 2026	2	$2.9K	1,486	1,486	+0	open	—	04-14 14:59
btc updown 5m 1776486600	2	$1.0K	1,094	0	+1,094	open	—	04-18 04:34
btc updown 5m 1776450600	1	$1.0K	1,115	0	+1,115	open	—	04-17 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776399300	1	$1.0K	1,072	0	+1,072	open	—	04-17 04:19
btc updown 5m 1776498000	1	$1.0K	1,079	0	+1,079	open	—	04-18 07:44
btc updown 5m 1776478500	2	$1.0K	1,077	0	+1,077	open	—	04-18 02:19
btc updown 5m 1776469200	1	$1.0K	1,058	0	+1,058	open	—	04-17 23:44
btc updown 5m 1776397500	1	$1.0K	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	04-17 03:49
btc updown 5m 1776391800	1	$1.0K	1,044	0	+1,044	open	—	04-17 02:14
btc updown 5m 1776059400	1	$979	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 05:54
btc updown 5m 1776038100	1	$978	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-12 23:59
eth updown 5m 1776051900	1	$972	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 03:49
btc updown 5m 1776051600	1	$971	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 03:44
eth updown 5m 1776080700	1	$970	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 11:49
btc updown 5m 1776068400	1	$959	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 08:24
btc updown 5m 1776078300	1	$950	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 11:09
btc updown 5m 1776057900	1	$946	1,031	0	+1,031	open	—	04-13 05:29
btc updown 5m 1776542400	3	$902	983	0	+983	open	—	04-18 20:04
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	3	$795	451	451	+0	Yes	+$53	04-27 02:24
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?	13	$749	388	387	+1	open	—	04-27 02:29
eth updown 5m 1776075000	1	$744	780	0	+780	open	—	04-13 10:14
xrp updown 15m 1772891100	73	$716	1,286	660	+625	open	—	03-07 14:00
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$692	400	400	+0	open	—	04-12 03:40
eth updown 15m 1776087900	2	$680	929	0	+929	open	—	04-13 13:48
xrp updown 5m 1776088200	2	$680	921	0	+921	open	—	04-13 13:50
eth updown 15m 1775933100	2	$609	813	0	+813	open	—	04-11 18:48
btc updown 5m 1776518700	2	$601	647	0	+647	open	—	04-18 13:29
eth updown 15m 1775766600	2	$584	818	0	+818	open	—	04-09 20:33
btc updown 15m 1772971200	39	$555	1,376	0	+1,376	open	—	03-08 12:02
bnb updown 5m 1776519000	1	$501	542	0	+542	open	—	04-18 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 03:39:18	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x637beb…
05-20 03:39:06	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x09d3d0…
05-16 03:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xeab681…
05-16 03:47:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x4b31a1…
05-16 03:47:42	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9bfbab…
05-16 03:46:48	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x716be1…
05-16 03:36:35	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4c3e26…
05-16 03:09:15	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x419a27…
05-16 01:46:39	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xc78845…
05-16 01:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xc7e01c…
05-15 21:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb013dc…
05-15 21:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7da102…
05-15 21:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x34499b…
05-15 16:11:43	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0xd1fd6c…
05-15 16:11:43	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x88f9a6…
05-15 16:03:46	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xb6d6da…
05-15 16:03:37	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x813d4b…
05-15 16:03:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0f31e9…
05-15 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x27b473…
05-15 14:57:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfc48c7…
05-15 14:56:44	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x976af6…
05-15 14:56:44	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x700531…
05-15 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xa1097d…
05-15 09:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcf0bb5…
05-15 09:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbff181…
05-15 09:03:19	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x108a0c…
05-15 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbfe8eb…
05-15 08:49:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x8926c3…
05-15 08:49:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x5d1efc…
05-15 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfcf06e…
05-15 08:47:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0xe7aec9…
05-15 08:47:06	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd623bf…
05-15 08:47:06	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa6ee5e…
05-15 08:47:06	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x845400…
05-15 08:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x0ad590…
05-15 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x1af0c6…
05-15 08:37:10	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xedf522…
05-15 08:37:03	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x53a585…
05-15 08:27:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	86¢	$9	0x4aeb8c…
05-15 08:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x30b181…
05-15 08:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xd96c13…
05-15 08:26:40	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x198c81…
05-15 08:26:38	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x83aa63…
05-15 08:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x7b2ee8…
05-15 08:17:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x0f8a55…
05-15 08:16:39	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x517499…
05-15 08:16:32	BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xa7e7b6…
05-15 08:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x1046f1…
05-15 08:08:29	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x34a823…
05-15 08:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$8	0x1ed3ea…
05-15 08:08:28	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xfff44f…
05-15 08:08:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x53a3f2…
05-15 08:08:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x89c6d0…
05-15 03:59:10	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x482814…
05-15 03:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xddd856…
05-15 03:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x802721…
05-15 03:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x253b12…
05-15 03:57:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x64f232…
05-15 03:39:17	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0xd9e5fc…
05-15 03:39:17	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9082c2…
05-15 03:39:12	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xb09e71…
05-15 03:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x552186…
05-15 03:38:12	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf90740…
05-15 03:38:10	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xcca676…
05-15 03:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8a7031…
05-15 03:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xd0c00d…
05-15 03:37:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6ef0e2…
05-15 03:29:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0cdc9e…
05-15 03:29:34	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcfcfc2…
05-15 03:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcc7541…
05-15 03:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5f2364…
05-15 03:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x58b536…
05-15 03:18:50	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x9f4c7d…
05-15 03:18:29	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xe94178…
05-15 03:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x5af40e…
05-15 03:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xac52a9…
05-15 03:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6365c6…
05-15 02:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xfdffd1…
05-15 02:47:10	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x300263…
05-15 02:47:10	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0b8ab4…
05-15 02:38:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb7ffb6…
05-15 02:36:36	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x361be3…
05-15 02:36:33	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xa0a343…
05-15 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7e036e…
05-15 02:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0xe080fc…
05-15 02:14:31	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xea2c69…
05-15 02:14:28	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xa84a45…
05-15 02:14:02	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfa7d3f…
05-15 02:14:02	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0xc20787…
05-15 02:14:00	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb0b51f…
05-15 02:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb440ce…
05-15 02:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x0ac17d…
05-15 01:58:22	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x549f37…
05-15 01:58:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2fdba9…
05-15 01:58:08	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x345bde…
05-15 01:56:39	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x9ab25f…
05-15 01:56:35	BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xa9676f…
05-15 01:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2a9525…
05-15 01:33:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xe761aa…
05-15 01:32:35	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x2e783c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	731	$266.7K	18,964	05-04 14:37
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	708	$17.1K	2,239	04-30 04:16
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	637	$5.04K	8,064	04-23 02:59
Worldly-Shackle 0x941e…1fbf	531	$13.3K	1,759	05-04 14:43
(anonymous) 0x0443…ea0f	511	$1.66K	524	04-30 05:39
(anonymous) 0x0428…85b1	489	$239.4K	14,545	04-22 05:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	482	$68.2K	11,469	05-04 14:35
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	475	$75.0K	5,587	05-04 10:59