Adventurous-Geek — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$261

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$14.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-02 23:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

42% — —

Other

31% 0% $-163

Sports

22% 0% $-98

Politics

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		-104	$-4	4¢	$-4	+$0	06-12 05:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$987	1,791	1,791	+0	open	—	02-10 19:57
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 3 9	44	$969	5,318	5,318	+0	open	—	02-08 15:41
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	8	$931	1,492	1,492	+0	open	—	01-30 20:17
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$598	987	987	+0	open	—	06-21 01:49
bitcoin above 80k on february 7	7	$514	611	611	+0	open	—	02-01 00:14
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	3	$512	7,184	7,184	+0	open	—	01-27 01:10
bitcoin above 76k on february 8	4	$496	419	419	+0	open	—	02-02 17:08
bitcoin above 80k on february 8	5	$466	905	905	+0	open	—	02-02 03:25
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	4	$426	441	253	+188	open	—	02-08 17:36
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	3	$414	471	471	+0	open	—	01-29 17:36
bitcoin above 78k on february 11	5	$336	1,507	1,507	+0	open	—	02-05 19:50
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$332	296	296	+0	open	—	06-21 01:00
si above 110 jan 2026	5	$329	444	444	+0	open	—	01-29 17:29
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	8	$327	783	783	+0	open	—	05-01 22:22
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	5	$308	351	351	+0	open	—	05-08 18:24
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$284	1,374	1,374	+0	open	—	01-31 00:10
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	15	$223	2,178	2,678	-500	open	—	03-08 15:29
btc updown 15m 1770757200	3	$212	2,556	0	+2,556	open	—	02-10 21:14
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	3	$204	140	140	+0	open	—	04-07 23:22
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	2	$199	145	145	+0	open	—	02-08 17:45
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 3 9	5	$198	1,265	1,265	+0	open	—	02-08 15:07
will kanye tweet again by march 31	8	$188	337	337	+0	open	—	03-21 23:20
btc updown 15m 1770570900	2	$173	202	201	+2	open	—	02-08 17:27
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	9	$149	828	753	+75	open	—	04-23 17:47
btc updown 5m 1771030800	2	$143	104	102	+2	open	—	02-14 01:03
will silver si hit high 140 by end of february 384 774 953 735 356	2	$140	139	139	+0	open	—	01-29 17:42
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	3	$130	326	52	+274	open	—	03-07 22:29
bitcoin above 72k on february 9	2	$126	197	197	+0	open	—	02-08 16:49
btc updown 15m 1770572700	2	$125	186	45	+141	open	—	02-08 17:59
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$117	281	281	+0	open	—	06-17 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 23:16:59	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Algeria	BUY	47	34¢	$16	0x7a8899…
07-02 17:00:31	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Algeria	BUY	23	33¢	$8	0x2229d0…
07-02 16:59:59	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Algeria	BUY	56	33¢	$19	0x2f70a5…
06-21 01:49:28	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	484	58¢	$282	0x723951…
06-21 01:00:46	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	296	73¢	$216	0x6e947d…
06-21 01:00:10	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	503	30¢	$152	0xefc9a6…
06-20 13:03:07	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	96	56¢	$53	0x7b6214…
06-18 16:51:05	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xfb81ed…
06-18 16:50:58	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4b1a71…
06-17 18:55:31	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	66	42¢	$28	0x29e4a6…
06-17 02:31:04	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	281	19¢	$53	0x1833b8…
06-17 00:02:02	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x0eaf65…
06-17 00:01:41	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	421	5¢	$19	0x4340e1…
06-16 19:13:43	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	115	13¢	$15	0x49d76a…
06-16 19:11:53	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0x110e70…
06-16 03:55:30	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	185	20¢	$37	0xf59cca…
06-16 03:55:19	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	145	13¢	$19	0x656e0d…
06-16 03:55:09	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	116	25¢	$29	0x6e8fec…
06-16 03:54:51	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x5f7a96…
06-16 00:41:55	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1a4419…
06-15 17:59:22	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	260	20¢	$52	0xdc7ba2…
06-15 02:38:12	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	58	53¢	$31	0x6cbd1e…
06-15 02:35:36	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	SELL	159	20¢	$32	0xa1df55…
06-15 02:35:13	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 go the distance	No	BUY	43	67¢	$29	0x3f77ad…
06-15 02:33:13	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	186	21¢	$39	0x7f3392…
06-15 02:32:54	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	138	21¢	$29	0x658778…
06-14 04:33:22	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Golden Knights	BUY	89	48¢	$43	0x473c6d…
06-14 04:29:43	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	143	31¢	$44	0x6b0f52…
06-13 23:09:01	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	142	14¢	$20	0xa2cfca…
06-13 23:08:33	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	95	22¢	$21	0x081705…
06-13 23:03:36	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xdc9637…
06-13 23:02:33	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xfcbdff…
06-13 15:01:39	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	66	31¢	$21	0x936c79…
06-13 15:01:01	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x082d34…
06-13 13:36:33	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	184	13¢	$24	0xd86080…
06-12 16:42:25	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	90	21¢	$19	0xf62324…
06-12 16:41:55	Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	145	20¢	$29	0xb9a068…
06-12 16:41:09	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x2a44c1…
06-12 14:53:06	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	41	44¢	$18	0x46c225…
06-12 14:52:46	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	66	59¢	$39	0x5d3c55…
06-12 05:01:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	104	4¢	$4	0xa70322…
06-12 05:01:12	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xe1ca37…
06-12 05:00:37	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x569ddd…
06-12 04:53:16	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x799324…
06-11 21:32:31	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x939382…
06-11 21:30:07	Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x37ac1f…
06-11 21:17:10	Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0x3c923c…
06-11 21:13:48	Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	80	32¢	$26	0x6753e5…
06-11 21:10:49	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	180	13¢	$23	0x4a169f…
06-11 21:10:25	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	95	24¢	$23	0xdb3ef0…
06-10 20:14:13	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Golden Knights	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x279f3f…
06-10 00:06:04	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	99	49¢	$49	0x386aba…
05-18 14:03:14	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	SELL	19	40¢	$8	0xe01c7e…
05-18 03:42:24	Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in May?	No	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xee1da0…
05-17 03:48:18	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x1cd458…
05-17 03:44:32	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x67fc75…
05-17 03:44:22	Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x319506…
05-17 00:43:14	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0xfeb85a…
05-16 22:46:34	Will Dooho Choi win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x9a2b4b…
05-16 22:46:24	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x129a6e…
05-16 22:45:03	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0dd155…
05-16 22:45:00	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xc77113…
05-10 04:29:31	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	228	43¢	$98	0xd4fb4d…
05-08 18:24:47	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	351	52¢	$183	0x172440…
05-08 15:54:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	115	15¢	$17	0xb6a3cb…
05-06 14:56:13	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x5719a3…
05-06 14:43:49	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	290	32¢	$93	0xb627e9…
05-04 15:00:42	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xf54c15…
05-04 14:40:54	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x676bea…
05-04 04:13:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	17	49¢	$8	0xb77600…
05-03 18:05:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8f276c…
05-03 18:03:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	No	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0x9b60a1…
05-03 18:03:44	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x99579c…
05-01 22:22:42	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	213	15¢	$32	0x4bf3b6…
05-01 14:36:34	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	102	19¢	$19	0xe95bf0…
05-01 14:21:26	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xb75be0…
05-01 03:44:42	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	429	25¢	$107	0x727af1…
04-30 14:11:18	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc692c1…
04-27 15:22:26	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	410	24¢	$98	0x71acc8…
04-27 02:44:44	Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	62	9¢	$6	0x8a43c9…
04-27 02:44:26	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	393	1¢	$5	0x312d41…
04-26 14:45:50	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	393	3¢	$11	0x342f80…
04-26 14:30:14	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	142	15¢	$21	0x475451…
04-25 14:53:20	UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Adrian Luna Martinetti	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xffbc3a…
04-25 14:51:28	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xde94e6…
04-24 20:06:52	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	142	18¢	$25	0xe92a86…
04-24 18:17:34	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x173d38…
04-24 18:17:16	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xe891d8…
04-23 17:47:56	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x06aac3…
04-23 17:44:18	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	55	33¢	$18	0x04723f…
04-21 15:38:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x210d3c…
04-21 15:38:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xcff25d…
04-21 15:38:12	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x0f15ca…
04-21 15:37:50	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x76c167…
04-20 17:18:54	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	530	7¢	$36	0xc38340…
04-20 17:02:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc0ffeb…
04-20 14:31:24	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,300 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x87b3fc…
04-19 22:14:20	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	87	19¢	$16	0x7b2a65…
04-19 14:51:46	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	72	21¢	$15	0xf690d5…
04-19 02:07:32	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,150 (HIGH) in June?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x90db5e…