Rotten-Mrna — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$49

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

569

lifetime

Volume

$9.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$51

1 position

First seen

2026-01-29

last 06-21 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

48% 0% $-150

Crypto

37% — —

Other

15% 100% +$76

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+406	$100	12¢	$51	$-49	06-11 12:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$1.1K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	02-28 20:15
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	3	$435	711	711	+0	open	—	04-07 12:00
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	4	$307	230	230	+0	open	—	03-09 14:29
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$258	322	322	+0	open	—	04-15 14:20
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$242	197	197	+0	open	—	02-28 16:32
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	3	$218	644	112	+532	open	—	04-23 12:57
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$203	156	156	+0	open	—	04-10 20:06
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	5	$186	426	426	+0	open	—	03-06 15:36
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$175	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	01-31 14:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$175	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	04-07 21:04
btc updown 15m 1770403500	6	$162	96	95	+1	open	—	02-06 18:59
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	5	$143	127	127	+0	open	—	03-08 17:43
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	4	$142	258	211	+46	open	—	06-14 18:11
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	2	$139	3,713	3,713	+0	open	—	02-26 17:16
eth updown 15m 1770367500	3	$122	69	64	+5	open	—	02-06 08:59
bun pau bay 2026 04 11 bay	2	$117	68	67	+1	open	—	04-11 17:59
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$113	107	107	+0	open	—	03-07 21:14
btc updown 15m 1770154200	5	$112	162	0	+162	open	—	02-03 21:40
will the us next strike iran on january 30 2026 et 866	1	$110	1,663	0	+1,663	open	—	01-29 20:17
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$110	230	0	+230	open	—	04-12 13:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$107	96	96	+0	open	—	06-07 20:19
btc updown 15m 1770190200	5	$101	152	0	+152	open	—	02-04 07:43
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	1	$100	7,708	0	+7,708	open	—	01-30 10:20
will the us next strike iran on february 1 2026 et	1	$100	1,596	0	+1,596	open	—	01-31 13:59
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	1	$100	505	0	+505	No	$-100	05-06 12:11
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	1	$100	806	0	+806	open	—	05-04 15:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$100	406	0	+406	open	—	06-11 12:44
will the us next strike iran on january 31 2026 et 836	1	$100	1,508	0	+1,508	open	—	01-31 14:26
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	2	$100	349	0	+349	open	—	05-19 08:49
btc updown 15m 1770192900	5	$100	129	0	+129	open	—	02-04 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 18:54:10	btc updown 5m 1782067800	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xeaf8a0…
06-21 18:54:02	btc updown 5m 1782067800	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x338234…
06-21 18:50:11	btc updown 5m 1782067800	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xae6361…
06-14 19:06:19	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x37dbea…
06-14 18:11:24	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xfb91d7…
06-14 18:07:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa50325…
06-13 08:08:00	israeli forces enter tyre by june 30	Yes	BUY	69	7¢	$5	0x415170…
06-11 12:44:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	360	25¢	$90	0x7a87eb…
06-11 12:43:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xde7650…
06-11 12:38:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x2e83f8…
06-10 20:26:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x9033e1…
06-10 19:11:13	will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xe7ab70…
06-10 12:10:36	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x5ae17c…
06-09 18:03:13	trump renames strait of hormuz to strait of trump by june 30	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x674e18…
06-08 12:00:27	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	211	15¢	$32	0xaf1985…
06-08 08:59:07	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	119	8¢	$10	0x098bd3…
06-08 07:40:22	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe6837f…
06-08 06:52:48	Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xffe918…
06-07 20:19:43	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	96	59¢	$57	0x063e23…
06-07 20:07:52	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	SELL	314	14¢	$45	0xea739e…
06-07 19:27:36	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	Yes	BUY	314	16¢	$50	0x9addb4…
06-07 19:09:09	Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x9bc537…
06-07 19:01:30	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x5abeba…
06-02 09:43:37	Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?	Yes	BUY	226	22¢	$50	0x0a1855…
05-23 15:12:14	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0xc3c593…
05-19 08:49:44	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xe99855…
05-16 17:56:37	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x3b55a8…
05-15 17:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	54¢	$6	0xeb42a6…
05-15 17:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8a510c…
05-15 17:16:18	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x5ace05…
05-06 12:11:56	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	505	20¢	$100	0x992979…
05-04 16:41:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	23	63¢	$14	0xb54efb…
05-04 15:24:58	Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	806	12¢	$100	0xaa98fd…
05-04 15:21:18	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0x2a14b5…
05-04 15:11:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xfdb46b…
04-24 09:48:18	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	355	3¢	$10	0xc72a5c…
04-23 12:57:28	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	532	19¢	$100	0x05ac9b…
04-15 19:35:26	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf7640f…
04-15 14:22:12	Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	3¢	$2	0x2c73c3…
04-15 14:20:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	29	45¢	$13	0xfb3f07…
04-15 13:39:38	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x1f9aa9…
04-15 13:20:34	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	127	60¢	$76	0x7fe5e4…
04-15 13:19:18	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	127	39¢	$50	0x7d2d9e…
04-15 08:18:02	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	165	5¢	$8	0x06ee31…
04-14 17:49:26	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0a0f93…
04-12 17:47:01	epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x13d573…
04-12 13:28:35	epl not ast 2026 04 12 ast	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xc2e92c…
04-12 13:13:49	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x87b1fc…
04-12 11:54:49	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xee90df…
04-12 10:44:29	epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x79e7d4…
04-11 18:12:07	epl liv ful 2026 04 11 liv	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x491e03…
04-11 17:59:13	bun pau bay 2026 04 11 bay	Yes	SELL	67	100¢	$67	0x8cf8e4…
04-11 16:52:45	sea mil udi 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	SELL	16	19¢	$3	0x34e05e…
04-11 16:33:29	sea mil udi 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb9eed1…
04-11 16:32:59	bun pau bay 2026 04 11 bay	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x99683a…
04-11 16:31:45	epl liv ful 2026 04 11 liv	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9525e2…
04-11 13:35:33	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xb29b1c…
04-11 13:08:55	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xb9449a…
04-11 13:08:45	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 bou	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x1eb7e9…
04-11 12:57:07	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	Yes	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0x3a3de2…
04-11 12:31:23	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xb22989…
04-11 12:20:23	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x374473…
04-10 20:06:41	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	156	66¢	$103	0x23d9e3…
04-10 18:53:43	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	165	60¢	$100	0x8c8ab4…
04-10 17:22:01	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xae107d…
04-08 20:51:09	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	61¢	$68	0x6ba7c0…
04-08 20:49:15	nba mem den 2026 04 08	Grizzlies	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xcf8dfa…
04-08 20:22:23	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0xa5b617…
04-08 20:21:53	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x14f359…
04-08 18:59:45	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x5dc820…
04-08 18:58:21	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0940a6…
04-08 14:52:55	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0xc1839c…
04-07 21:04:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	1,250	6¢	$75	0x19485e…
04-07 21:02:43	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb549b9…
04-07 21:02:29	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	11¢	$10	0x60d37e…
04-07 12:00:17	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	711	33¢	$235	0xb7ea40…
04-07 11:25:57	Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	12¢	$10	0x82a16e…
04-07 11:25:51	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x59d85b…
04-07 10:38:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,250	8¢	$100	0x0f7dc1…
04-07 10:38:29	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x16d757…
04-07 09:56:41	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x46c1ac…
04-06 13:30:37	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 ars	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x039e9b…
04-05 09:37:39	btc updown 5m 1775381700	Up	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4dbaca…
04-05 09:36:45	btc updown 5m 1775381700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x26314a…
04-02 09:47:11	btc updown 5m 1775123100	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xedc55a…
04-02 09:26:11	btc updown 5m 1775121900	Up	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xf18fd5…
04-02 09:25:39	btc updown 5m 1775121900	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x31083c…
04-01 10:29:01	btc updown 5m 1775039100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0aa67c…
04-01 10:21:17	btc updown 5m 1775038800	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x442f62…
04-01 10:19:57	btc updown 5m 1775038500	Down	SELL	9	38¢	$4	0xc747d7…
04-01 10:17:57	btc updown 5m 1775038500	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3e2fd0…
04-01 10:14:37	btc updown 5m 1775038200	Down	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x595868…
04-01 10:12:15	btc updown 5m 1775038200	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe813c7…
04-01 10:10:11	btc updown 5m 1775038200	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf21e68…
04-01 10:08:25	btc updown 5m 1775037900	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xf1f09c…
04-01 10:07:49	btc updown 5m 1775037900	Up	SELL	9	71¢	$6	0x48c730…
04-01 10:07:31	btc updown 5m 1775037900	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x006228…
03-31 18:28:57	btc updown 5m 1774981500	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x217d66…
03-31 18:28:49	btc updown 5m 1774981500	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4c71f6…
03-31 18:26:17	btc updown 5m 1774981500	Down	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xac8221…