Deadly-Ginger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.80K

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

98.9%

Resolved

8,285

Trades

13,832

lifetime

Volume

$1.08M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-15 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 99% -$6,220

Other

41% 100% +$329

Sports

7% 100% +$86

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		-50	-$44	92¢	$-46	-$2	08-15 09:52
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-50	-$10	11¢	$-6	+$4	08-15 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dogecoin above 0pt15 on january 8	11	$2.7K	1,359	1,354	+5	No	+$12	01-08 19:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 14:30 UTC	38	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-14 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 14:30 UTC	20	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-06 14:44
solana up or down january 13 9am et	49	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-13 15:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:15 UTC	26	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	-$1,980	01-21 14:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 15:30 UTC	34	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-07 15:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 16:15 UTC	24	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-26 16:31
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 16:15 UTC	7	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-25 16:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 17:30 UTC	11	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-27 17:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 16:30 UTC	9	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-13 16:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 02:00 UTC	36	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-19 02:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:00 UTC	15	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-20 18:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 16:45 UTC	7	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-09 16:59
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 20:45 UTC	21	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-08 20:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-26 01:15 UTC	17	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-26 01:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 14:30 UTC	13	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-13 14:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 15:30 UTC	39	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-12 15:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 21:15 UTC	14	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-05 21:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 01:30 UTC	11	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-14 01:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 15:15 UTC	13	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-14 15:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 02:45 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-23 03:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 19:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-16 19:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-06 15:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 14:00 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-13 14:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 00:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-20 00:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 02:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-09 02:29
solana up or down january 5 3pm et	4	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	+$20	01-05 21:00
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 13:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-09 13:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 18:15 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-15 18:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 20:45 UTC	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Up	+$20	01-13 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 09:52:36	Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x76852b…
08-15 09:52:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x69dacb…
07-18 02:18:12	bkbsn cap agu 2026 07 17	Aguada Santeros	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x549a4a…
07-10 02:31:41	bkbsn cap agu 2026 07 09	Capitanes de Arecibo	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x109cb1…
07-09 13:32:20	will googl dip to 355 by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c0314…
07-07 02:37:02	Will USA be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5e54b0…
07-06 21:14:34	will cristiano ronaldo score 4 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406405	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x96c4e0…
07-06 14:20:47	World Cup: Total Tournament Goals O/U 264.5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafc6fb…
07-06 04:11:44	will harry kane score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611170337382	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2b02a…
07-05 21:44:32	will erling haaland score 6 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611154419438	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaee1ab…
07-03 20:54:07	Will Australia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xad30fa…
07-03 19:45:32	bkfibaqeu net lat 2026 07 03	Latvia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x065ad8…
07-03 06:15:29	Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9f5661…
07-01 19:27:44	Will DR Congo be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9abf15…
07-01 17:52:25	will harry kane score 5 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611170337381	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ddb04…
06-29 23:33:34	Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x22580d…
06-28 04:07:13	Will Austria finish second in Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bb7e4…
06-28 04:05:47	world cup messi to score a free kick 20260605004937388	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x313fff…
06-28 01:33:20	Will Portugal finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x217b01…
06-28 01:22:55	Will DR Congo finish second in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x557000…
06-27 14:15:44	codmw par mh 2026 06 27	Paris Gentle Mates	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3a60e…
06-26 20:12:32	Will Meta (META) close at $540-$550 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 22 – Jun 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd12c3…
06-26 20:05:13	googl up or down on june 26 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe4139…
06-26 20:05:05	nvda above 210 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x169f86…
06-26 20:04:58	nvda above 190 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcfed0e…
06-26 20:04:55	meta above 530 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x807f3b…
06-26 20:04:49	meta above 540 on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x03ea55…
06-26 20:04:41	amzn above 235 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x67b0cf…
06-26 20:04:23	googl above 340 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa2777a…
06-26 20:03:37	tsla above 395 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x801b07…
06-26 02:15:50	will arda gler score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb90729…
06-25 20:02:32	spy up or down on june 25 2026	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x278efd…
06-24 01:40:01	Will Hannes Steinbach be drafted with the 14th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x791f08…
06-24 01:39:55	Will Hannes Steinbach be drafted with the 14th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ea775…
06-24 01:33:01	Will Sergio de Larrea be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x69619e…
06-24 01:32:58	Will Joshua Jefferson be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x895236…
06-24 01:32:58	Will Jayden Quaintance be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x201e6a…
06-24 01:32:58	Will Dailyn Swain be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x044935…
06-24 01:32:55	Will Chris Cenac Jr. be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd092c0…
06-24 01:32:55	Will Karim López be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8320b0…
06-24 01:32:55	Will Christian Anderson be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c9b4b…
06-24 01:32:55	Will Joshua Jefferson be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x68d9da…
06-24 01:32:53	Will Koa Peat be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa565d4…
06-24 01:32:52	Will Labaron Philon Jr. be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xda0028…
06-24 01:32:52	Will Karim López be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc18564…
06-24 01:32:52	Will Bennett Stirtz be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe4b4c…
06-24 01:32:52	Will Cameron Carr be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb7b0da…
06-24 01:32:52	Will Henri Veesaar be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9557d3…
06-24 01:32:52	Will Allen Graves be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1f3b88…
06-24 01:32:49	Will Bennett Stirtz be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x677478…
06-24 01:32:49	Will Cameron Carr be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4dfaf1…
06-24 01:32:49	Will Allen Graves be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18fd75…
06-24 01:32:47	Will Nate Ament be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdff652…
06-24 01:32:46	Will Isaiah Evans be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c92ba…
06-24 01:29:35	Will Brayden Burries be drafted with the 13th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x81d84b…
06-24 01:23:31	Will Aday Mara be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x531232…
06-24 01:21:59	Will Darryn Peterson be drafted with the 12th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0471cb…
06-24 01:16:34	Will Yaxel Lendeborg be drafted with the 11th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd612a7…
06-24 01:08:29	Will Brayden Burries be drafted with the 10th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80e950…
06-24 00:57:08	Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe1ab16…
06-24 00:55:52	Will Kingston Flemings be drafted with the 8th pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x015a99…
06-23 19:24:22	will cristiano ronaldo score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406403	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56d15e…
06-23 17:36:01	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x174c38…
06-23 17:35:58	will cristiano ronaldo score 1 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611144406402	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x99e448…
06-21 16:43:22	bkbbl fc alb 2026 06 21 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x994b17…
06-20 08:48:17	Will Paraguay finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x460672…
06-20 08:38:01	Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1bce56…
06-20 05:13:55	Will Australia finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd823b6…
06-17 19:03:37	bkbsl bes fen 2026 06 17	Fenerbahce	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc3a19f…
06-17 18:43:23	will joo neves score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9b824…
06-15 02:40:01	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x65e557…
06-15 02:39:51	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x310a61…
06-15 02:39:49	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc22b4b…
06-15 02:39:48	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x578669…
06-15 02:39:36	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc257b6…
06-15 02:39:36	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71d8bc…
06-15 02:39:34	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x333bd3…
06-15 02:39:33	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcd56d…
06-15 02:39:33	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x79b213…
06-15 02:39:31	will amad diallo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x53bc11…
06-14 19:08:28	will kai havertz score 2 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260611145926125	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x415c31…
06-14 04:01:25	Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb90fb2…
06-12 13:30:03	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa361a…
06-12 03:09:52	bkbsn cap agu 2026 06 11	Aguada Santeros	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62e631…
06-12 03:00:51	bkarg gim qui 2026 06 12	Gimnasia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7179c5…
06-11 04:03:07	Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x063bfd…
06-09 03:38:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 total 225pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc775a4…
06-09 03:38:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 spread away 8pt5	Knicks	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa04f8d…
06-08 20:36:28	cs2 mis ep 2026 06 08	eternal premium	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c02c1…
06-08 20:13:39	cs2 mis ep 2026 06 08 game2	eternal premium	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x602d87…
06-08 20:11:46	cs2 g2 big5 2026 06 08 game2 round total 24pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf926d7…
06-07 20:53:55	cs2 tdk inox 2026 06 07	TDK	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4d4ab…
06-07 18:28:27	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 game2 round handicap ts7 6pt5	Spirit	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bdc61…
06-06 11:43:33	cs2 ast10 gl1 2026 06 06 game1 round handicap gl1 3pt5	Astralis	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fee8b…
06-06 04:27:34	Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbcd554…
06-06 03:36:27	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 214pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc83be0…
06-06 03:35:13	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd02d2c…
06-06 03:35:03	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 215pt5	Under	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x138c04…
06-05 20:37:01	bkbsl ana fen 2026 06 05 total 159pt5	Over	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x000947…
06-05 19:45:00	cs2 lfo9 xi 2026 06 05	XI Esport	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x62911e…