Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$868

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

251

Trades

1,186

lifetime

Volume

$26.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-31 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 108 days

Categories

Other

49% 37% -$405

Politics

38% 43% -$370

Tech

8% 46% -$26

Crypto

4% 80% -$53

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$15

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will khamenei leave iran by friday	5	$921	517	617	-100	No	-$9	01-06 11:10
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$632	342	342	+0	Yes	-$1	01-06 10:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$585	300	600	-300	No	-$8	05-27 10:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$447	450	450	+0	Yes	+$1	06-09 12:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	15	$414	300	300	+0	Yes	-$1	02-07 10:40
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	9	$402	350	350	+0	Yes	+$6	03-10 15:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$397	200	300	-100	No	-$23	02-07 13:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$379	150	250	-100	Yes	-$8	04-10 12:39
will the epstein files be the 1 apple podcast by march 15	15	$372	200	200	+0	No	-$2	02-28 00:46
will trump say greenland during the detroit speech on tuesday	20	$371	315	315	+0	No	-$4	01-13 14:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	18	$364	350	350	+0	Yes	+$2	06-04 15:08
will solo mio opening weekend box office be between 5pt5m and 7m	6	$357	300	300	+0	No	-$3	02-03 13:03
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$349	200	200	+0	No	-$2	06-22 09:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	21	$330	400	400	+0	No	-$6	04-20 07:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$308	150	300	-150	No	-$62	05-27 07:54
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	9	$297	300	300	+0	No	+$9	05-31 15:05
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	10	$293	120	220	-100	No	-$10	01-06 18:57
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	6	$292	300	100	+200	No	+$1	02-13 03:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$291	100	300	-200	Yes	-$53	03-06 15:44
will hamnet win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	3	$285	150	200	-50	No	-$5	03-14 07:40
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	6	$282	225	200	+25	Yes	-$28	03-01 16:37
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	8	$282	250	250	+0	Yes	+$4	06-26 06:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	12	$277	250	250	+0	Yes	-$2	06-21 14:25
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	6	$270	150	150	+0	Yes	-$3	03-25 19:17
will trump say maduro or dictator during the detroit speech on tuesday	2	$252	200	200	+0	No	-$8	01-13 09:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$246	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	06-09 14:11
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$241	100	200	-100	No	+$80	02-09 13:05
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	9	$240	400	400	+0	Yes	+$13	06-09 12:46
will belgium join the board of peace	5	$232	120	140	-20	No	-$4	01-23 13:14
will trump say iran or israel or gaza 7 times during the board of peace charter announcement	7	$229	164	144	+19	Yes	-$8	01-22 10:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 00:44:39	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xc62857…
07-30 23:31:39	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	183	40¢	$73	0x2ac007…
07-30 03:43:03	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x45df96…
07-25 04:54:52	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0xa98952…
07-20 02:30:13	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	49	40¢	$19	0x29c6ce…
07-13 19:22:52	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x7e4fcb…
07-10 09:52:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	40	72¢	$29	0x0545e0…
07-09 10:41:35	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xa58433…
07-09 10:29:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	29	21¢	$6	0x1e00bb…
07-09 10:24:10	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	40	21¢	$8	0x7e83b7…
07-09 10:22:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x2b9a49…
07-09 09:46:23	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xcf5159…
07-09 09:31:08	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0xf5637a…
07-09 08:24:37	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xf8121b…
07-09 08:01:26	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x0db9b3…
07-09 07:45:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6c041e…
07-09 07:11:37	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	43	17¢	$7	0xe4d2c0…
07-09 06:55:14	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x2ea802…
07-09 06:47:46	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3129ed…
07-09 06:08:34	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0x4084d6…
07-09 06:03:32	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xbf233e…
07-09 05:51:55	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x3e7f49…
07-09 05:35:56	will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x42bae6…
07-09 05:31:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x56ae26…
07-09 05:26:58	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	40	64¢	$26	0x982f31…
07-09 04:59:41	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x070a26…
07-08 16:39:23	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0x0a118b…
07-07 11:11:05	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x98ca60…
07-07 06:23:34	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6a4fcd…
07-07 06:09:43	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x10e53d…
07-07 06:09:26	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xbbadee…
07-07 06:08:34	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xe8eff5…
07-07 06:08:34	Will Doris Matsui win the CA-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xc0b968…
07-07 05:41:26	will bts perform at the 2026 fifa world cup final halftime show 20260706143941002	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xbf31a5…
07-04 16:49:10	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x0745e3…
07-04 16:49:08	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	SELL	41	23¢	$9	0x9899a5…
07-04 14:04:11	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	85¢	$85	0xe509e1…
07-04 13:18:40	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0x71c506…
07-04 09:53:32	Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x8bb626…
07-04 09:53:32	Will Caley McDonald win the 2026 Cornwall-Meadowbank PEI Legislative Assembly by-election?	Yes	BUY	75	30¢	$22	0x29fe13…
07-04 08:31:31	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x249a02…
07-04 07:05:32	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x13f55e…
07-04 03:57:17	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe80124…
07-04 02:46:29	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x618f2a…
07-04 02:13:43	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x74771d…
06-29 11:24:38	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x31d791…
06-29 11:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x1517c2…
06-29 11:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	24	44¢	$11	0x1147d2…
06-29 11:16:35	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xefb07a…
06-29 10:59:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	58	44¢	$25	0xba15c7…
06-29 10:56:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x60ba84…
06-29 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xdd546c…
06-29 09:43:01	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x3d9c00…
06-29 09:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xffb72c…
06-29 08:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xb9f8c0…
06-29 08:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	No	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x7d0c60…
06-29 08:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on July 1?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x5b15ea…
06-29 07:31:34	Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x16e6ba…
06-28 19:14:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xf9ff5e…
06-28 19:05:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x4369f4…
06-28 19:05:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x4e2dbc…
06-28 18:35:55	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x979299…
06-28 17:16:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5acaae…
06-28 15:38:52	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x8b15c6…
06-28 14:44:47	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x09125b…
06-28 13:02:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x91bb7e…
06-28 12:29:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x21fcbf…
06-28 12:19:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x88c8f6…
06-28 12:16:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x179bff…
06-28 12:05:40	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x96d16f…
06-28 12:00:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6c6faf…
06-28 11:57:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6aaf28…
06-28 11:56:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x5d316a…
06-28 11:54:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x9a82ca…
06-28 11:53:20	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x456ba3…
06-28 11:51:47	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe6ed21…
06-28 11:50:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xdff2b4…
06-28 11:48:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xe6c7a8…
06-28 11:47:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x973921…
06-28 11:44:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1e9d99…
06-28 11:44:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x198fcc…
06-28 11:30:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf2feb6…
06-28 11:12:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x2db472…
06-28 11:01:49	Will Phil Weiser win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by 5–10%?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x07ee96…
06-28 10:59:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xef5a82…
06-28 10:46:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x835a3a…
06-27 02:26:41	will the announcers say assist during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716822	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xb99ba5…
06-26 11:39:10	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4fcb3e…
06-26 10:19:52	will the announcers say assist during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716822	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1bf743…
06-26 10:19:50	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xe79819…
06-26 10:19:50	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x6f40df…
06-26 10:19:49	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x6160d2…
06-26 10:19:49	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5b69be…
06-26 10:19:49	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x48e31d…
06-26 07:34:11	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x135b39…
06-26 06:57:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x295b9a…
06-26 06:57:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x553686…
06-24 06:25:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0xe1c47e…
06-24 05:48:56	Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	58¢	$39	0x88e36b…
06-24 03:40:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xb5a646…