Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,058

lifetime

Volume

$23.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-28 19:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

39% 33% $-79

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will khamenei leave iran by friday	5	$921	517	617	-100	open	—	01-06 11:10
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$632	342	342	+0	open	—	01-06 10:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$487	300	500	-200	open	—	05-27 09:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$447	450	450	+0	open	—	06-09 12:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	15	$414	300	300	+0	open	—	02-07 10:40
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	9	$402	350	350	+0	open	—	03-10 15:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$397	200	300	-100	open	—	02-07 13:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$379	150	250	-100	open	—	04-10 12:39
will the epstein files be the 1 apple podcast by march 15	15	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 00:46
will trump say greenland during the detroit speech on tuesday	20	$371	315	315	+0	open	—	01-13 14:34
will solo mio opening weekend box office be between 5pt5m and 7m	6	$357	300	300	+0	open	—	02-03 13:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$351	350	328	+22	open	—	06-04 15:08
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$349	200	200	+0	open	—	06-22 09:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	21	$330	400	400	+0	open	—	04-20 07:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$308	150	300	-150	open	—	05-27 07:54
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	10	$293	120	220	-100	open	—	01-06 18:57
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	6	$292	300	100	+200	open	—	02-13 03:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$291	100	300	-200	open	—	03-06 15:44
will hamnet win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	3	$285	150	200	-50	open	—	03-14 07:40
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	6	$282	225	200	+25	open	—	03-01 16:37
will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	8	$282	250	250	+0	open	—	06-26 06:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	12	$277	250	250	+0	open	—	06-21 14:25
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	6	$270	150	150	+0	open	—	03-25 19:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	8	$263	250	300	-50	open	—	05-31 15:05
will trump say maduro or dictator during the detroit speech on tuesday	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	01-13 09:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$246	150	150	+0	open	—	06-09 14:11
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$241	100	200	-100	open	—	02-09 13:05
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	9	$240	400	400	+0	open	—	06-09 12:46
will belgium join the board of peace	5	$232	120	140	-20	open	—	01-23 13:14
will trump say iran or israel or gaza 7 times during the board of peace charter announcement	7	$229	164	144	+19	open	—	01-22 10:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 19:14:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0xf9ff5e…
06-28 19:05:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x4369f4…
06-28 19:05:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0x4e2dbc…
06-28 18:35:55	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x979299…
06-28 17:16:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x5acaae…
06-28 15:38:52	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x8b15c6…
06-28 14:44:47	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x09125b…
06-28 13:02:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	SELL	150	5¢	$8	0x91bb7e…
06-28 12:29:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x21fcbf…
06-28 12:19:50	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x88c8f6…
06-28 12:16:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x179bff…
06-28 12:05:40	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x96d16f…
06-28 12:00:46	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6c6faf…
06-28 11:57:52	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6aaf28…
06-28 11:56:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	No	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0x5d316a…
06-28 11:54:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x9a82ca…
06-28 11:53:20	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x456ba3…
06-28 11:51:47	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xe6ed21…
06-28 11:50:28	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xdff2b4…
06-28 11:48:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xe6c7a8…
06-28 11:47:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x973921…
06-28 11:44:05	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x1e9d99…
06-28 11:44:04	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x198fcc…
06-28 11:30:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xf2feb6…
06-28 11:12:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x2db472…
06-28 10:59:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xef5a82…
06-28 10:46:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x835a3a…
06-27 02:26:41	will the announcers say assist during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716822	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xb99ba5…
06-26 11:39:10	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4fcb3e…
06-26 10:19:52	will the announcers say assist during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716822	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x1bf743…
06-26 10:19:50	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xe79819…
06-26 10:19:50	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x6f40df…
06-26 10:19:49	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x6160d2…
06-26 10:19:49	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x5b69be…
06-26 10:19:49	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716821	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x48e31d…
06-26 07:34:11	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x135b39…
06-26 06:57:17	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x295b9a…
06-26 06:57:13	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x553686…
06-24 06:25:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	SELL	150	84¢	$126	0xe1c47e…
06-24 03:40:31	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xb5a646…
06-24 03:32:07	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x67f586…
06-24 03:31:58	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xe548fd…
06-24 03:31:19	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xd22f7d…
06-22 09:52:05	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	SELL	200	87¢	$173	0x301da4…
06-22 08:00:49	starmer out by june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x6915e8…
06-22 07:51:41	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x554959…
06-21 14:25:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x8ccbe2…
06-21 14:14:38	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xc260cf…
06-21 14:14:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	225	55¢	$124	0xedf82b…
06-21 11:14:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc8f112…
06-21 11:14:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xaccdb9…
06-21 11:14:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x19296e…
06-21 11:14:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc18f79…
06-21 11:14:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x16e39a…
06-21 11:14:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x036f0e…
06-21 11:14:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	35	55¢	$19	0x244ade…
06-21 11:06:10	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x98d84a…
06-21 10:53:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x89c7ab…
06-19 13:06:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	36	10¢	$4	0xb647ab…
06-19 13:01:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$19	0x75fba2…
06-19 12:46:11	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xb430cf…
06-19 12:40:07	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x081f8f…
06-19 12:29:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0x53cf9b…
06-19 12:28:32	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xc33332…
06-19 12:22:32	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x5d4adc…
06-19 11:30:53	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x9ded59…
06-19 11:30:40	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0x23484c…
06-19 11:28:17	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x65dc5c…
06-19 11:23:04	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1bbb7a…
06-19 10:41:37	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xa86e0a…
06-19 09:13:49	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc30df6…
06-09 16:39:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xf839af…
06-09 14:11:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	150	82¢	$123	0x83813a…
06-09 12:46:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	229	12¢	$28	0x354ff3…
06-09 12:41:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0xb1c137…
06-09 12:32:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xeeefa6…
06-09 12:29:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	150	64¢	$96	0x249d77…
06-09 09:59:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x20a711…
06-09 09:19:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x9f8ad8…
06-09 09:12:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x6bebde…
06-09 09:07:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x0916cc…
06-09 09:03:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x54f47a…
06-09 09:02:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2e2adf…
06-09 08:45:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4e1220…
06-09 08:28:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xb42209…
06-09 08:27:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0xbfc405…
06-05 15:48:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$19	0x2d5dd8…
06-05 13:31:37	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x41fae3…
06-05 12:59:30	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xdb11ae…
06-05 12:50:34	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xa15b28…
06-05 12:11:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	98	90¢	$89	0xbe7c79…
06-04 15:08:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x80ae3a…
06-04 14:50:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xda462a…
06-04 13:47:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xee0091…
06-04 13:28:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xdb11a8…
06-04 13:05:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc02dc9…
06-04 13:05:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xc02dc9…
06-04 12:22:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0xe33c05…
06-04 12:22:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	65	67¢	$44	0x6f220d…
06-04 12:20:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x381b23…