Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$79

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

5.0%

Resolved

Trades

980

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-09 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

49% — —

Politics

38% 33% $-79

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+22	$13	82¢	$18	+$5	06-04 12:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will khamenei leave iran by friday	5	$921	517	617	-100	open	—	01-06 11:10
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	6	$632	342	342	+0	open	—	01-06 10:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$487	300	500	-200	open	—	05-27 09:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	9	$447	450	450	+0	open	—	06-09 12:29
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	15	$414	300	300	+0	open	—	02-07 10:40
bitcoin above 70k on march 12	9	$402	350	350	+0	open	—	03-10 15:10
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	4	$397	200	300	-100	open	—	02-07 13:50
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$379	150	250	-100	open	—	04-10 12:39
will the epstein files be the 1 apple podcast by march 15	15	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	02-28 00:46
will trump say greenland during the detroit speech on tuesday	20	$371	315	315	+0	open	—	01-13 14:34
will solo mio opening weekend box office be between 5pt5m and 7m	6	$357	300	300	+0	open	—	02-03 13:03
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	16	$351	350	328	+22	open	—	06-04 15:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	21	$330	400	400	+0	open	—	04-20 07:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$308	150	300	-150	open	—	05-27 07:54
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	10	$293	120	220	-100	open	—	01-06 18:57
will the government shutdown last 1 day or more	6	$292	300	100	+200	open	—	02-13 03:00
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	2	$291	100	300	-200	open	—	03-06 15:44
will hamnet win exactly 2 awards at the oscars	3	$285	150	200	-50	open	—	03-14 07:40
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	6	$282	225	200	+25	open	—	03-01 16:37
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 27 2026	6	$270	150	150	+0	open	—	03-25 19:17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	8	$263	250	300	-50	open	—	05-31 15:05
will trump say maduro or dictator during the detroit speech on tuesday	2	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	01-13 09:59
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$246	150	150	+0	open	—	06-09 14:11
will the peoples party pple win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$241	100	200	-100	open	—	02-09 13:05
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	9	$240	400	400	+0	open	—	06-09 12:46
will belgium join the board of peace	5	$232	120	140	-20	open	—	01-23 13:14
will trump say iran or israel or gaza 7 times during the board of peace charter announcement	7	$229	164	144	+19	open	—	01-22 10:21
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	3	$228	130	140	-10	open	—	01-06 11:43
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	6	$219	120	260	-140	Yes	$-78	04-27 07:10
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	9	$219	314	314	+0	open	—	01-06 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:39:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0xf839af…
06-09 14:11:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	150	82¢	$123	0x83813a…
06-09 12:46:10	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	229	12¢	$28	0x354ff3…
06-09 12:41:51	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	SELL	71	12¢	$9	0xb1c137…
06-09 12:32:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xeeefa6…
06-09 12:29:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	150	64¢	$96	0x249d77…
06-09 09:59:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x20a711…
06-09 09:19:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x9f8ad8…
06-09 09:12:19	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x6bebde…
06-09 09:07:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x0916cc…
06-09 09:03:06	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x54f47a…
06-09 09:02:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0x2e2adf…
06-09 08:45:28	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x4e1220…
06-09 08:28:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xb42209…
06-09 08:27:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	Yes	BUY	37	88¢	$32	0xbfc405…
06-05 15:48:28	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$19	0x2d5dd8…
06-05 13:31:37	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	98	91¢	$89	0x41fae3…
06-05 12:59:30	will xauusd dip to 4300 in june 2026	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xdb11ae…
06-05 12:50:34	iran closes its airspace by june 15	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xa15b28…
06-05 12:11:43	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	98	90¢	$89	0xbe7c79…
06-04 15:08:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0x80ae3a…
06-04 14:50:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xda462a…
06-04 13:47:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xee0091…
06-04 13:28:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xdb11a8…
06-04 13:05:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc02dc9…
06-04 13:05:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0xc02dc9…
06-04 12:22:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0xe33c05…
06-04 12:22:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	65	67¢	$44	0x6f220d…
06-04 12:20:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x381b23…
06-04 12:19:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	65	67¢	$43	0xb2910f…
06-04 12:12:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xdf149c…
06-04 12:03:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc4dd46…
06-04 12:03:30	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x423bf5…
06-04 12:00:58	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x25babc…
06-04 12:00:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	50	68¢	$34	0xc934cf…
06-04 12:00:33	will wti crude oil wti hit high 115 in june	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x400845…
06-04 12:00:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x94c26f…
05-31 15:05:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	150	29¢	$44	0xf311f3…
05-30 13:18:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	28	58¢	$16	0x989b69…
05-30 12:41:10	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x0c7fd2…
05-30 12:37:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x356d03…
05-30 12:36:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	150	73¢	$109	0x034b64…
05-30 12:36:00	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	26	43¢	$11	0x25b9f3…
05-30 12:12:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x8aa9e1…
05-30 12:07:20	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x3ff5b7…
05-30 10:30:48	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xb7150c…
05-30 10:26:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf9c791…
05-30 09:15:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	48	66¢	$32	0x0dc116…
05-30 09:14:31	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8b47bc…
05-30 08:42:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xc10fbb…
05-30 08:38:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x0342b1…
05-30 08:37:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xc5128d…
05-30 08:32:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x934629…
05-30 08:27:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xcd374a…
05-30 07:40:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	59¢	$56	0x256711…
05-28 13:38:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0xc688e0…
05-28 10:39:11	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	36¢	$34	0x2dc4c2…
05-28 10:33:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x579130…
05-27 11:57:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x1b00c0…
05-27 11:48:13	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xa09ed3…
05-27 11:41:27	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xdd3686…
05-27 11:35:45	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4ef2f2…
05-27 09:53:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa67f07…
05-27 09:53:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xc65174…
05-27 07:54:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$0	0x7ec991…
05-27 07:54:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0xa581af…
05-27 07:53:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x879d64…
05-27 07:49:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	235	66¢	$155	0x7152e9…
05-27 07:43:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	110	67¢	$74	0xe906dd…
05-27 05:20:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x22a500…
05-27 05:14:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xb31b71…
05-27 05:10:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa53fe9…
05-27 05:06:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x3d8a12…
05-27 05:02:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x9be64e…
05-27 05:01:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xc39ae6…
05-27 05:01:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	67¢	$46	0x5f6c3d…
05-26 08:40:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x3efcc7…
05-26 06:26:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x174187…
05-26 06:25:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x27b451…
05-26 06:21:41	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	3¢	$1	0xf206db…
05-26 06:19:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	3¢	$2	0xb66e0a…
05-19 13:31:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x9fd62d…
05-19 13:31:38	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	57¢	$21	0x620e1f…
05-18 13:44:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	79¢	$79	0x6a2299…
05-18 13:20:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x9305bb…
05-18 12:56:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x1e0ab3…
05-18 12:51:33	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xb63c55…
05-18 12:50:58	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $256 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x8947f1…
05-18 12:41:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$286	0x0c92f4…
05-18 12:36:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x4e1fb6…
04-28 03:08:32	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	SELL	33	58¢	$19	0xd7c1f3…
04-27 18:28:02	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xfbcaf8…
04-27 18:28:02	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xd9d7ff…
04-27 18:28:02	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	22	55¢	$12	0xb6ffa2…
04-27 11:55:26	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	35	55¢	$19	0xc51df7…
04-27 07:57:50	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 27?	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0xceb4b8…
04-27 07:10:46	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	108	58¢	$63	0x4e475b…
04-27 06:51:48	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x4c89d5…
04-27 06:41:36	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0x299064…
04-27 06:14:14	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on April 27?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xc4e30a…