Overlooked-Pepperoni — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$331

Unrealized P&L

-$16

Hit rate

65.1%

Resolved

803

Trades

2,123

lifetime

Volume

$195.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$82

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-18 13:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Other

94% 41% +$1,351

Sports

5% 25% -$1,662

Politics

2% 30% +$120

Crypto

0% 0% -$126

Tech

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-74	-$24	56¢	$-42	-$18	08-16 15:01
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-926	-$24	4¢	$-33	-$9	05-21 06:31
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	-2,000	-$18	0¢	$-7	+$11	05-21 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$4.4K	2,851	2,851	+0	Yes	+$369	05-10 17:25
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10?	3	$4.0K	3,010	3,010	+0	No	-$394	05-10 19:04
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-05-02?	2	$3.5K	2,004	2,004	+0	No	+$502	05-02 15:23
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima: O/U 2.5	2	$3.4K	1,860	1,860	+0	Under	+$358	05-10 07:57
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)	1	$3.0K	3,302	0	+3,302	Manchester United FC	+$302	04-27 18:50
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?	3	$2.8K	1,845	1,845	+0	Yes	+$838	05-04 15:51
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?	5	$2.6K	1,639	1,639	+0	No	+$620	05-07 20:44
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$2.4K	1,493	1,493	+0	No	+$444	05-03 16:07
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	3	$2.4K	1,449	1,449	+0	US Sassuolo Calcio	+$430	05-03 14:09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?	2	$2.4K	1,639	1,639	+0	No	+$426	05-09 15:44
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5	2	$2.3K	1,493	1,493	+0	Under	+$343	05-24 13:59
sea sas com 2026 04 17 spread away 1pt5	2	$2.3K	1,408	1,396	+12	US Sassuolo Calcio	+$353	04-17 17:51
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$1.8K	68,667	29,000	+39,667	No	-$477	07-07 00:31
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5	2	$1.7K	1,639	1,639	+0	Over	-$328	05-08 19:30
col aek1 ray 2026 04 16 aek1	3	$1.6K	1,100	1,084	+16	Yes	+$543	04-16 20:51
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?	2	$1.6K	1,163	1,163	+0	Yes	+$605	05-19 20:43
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 liv	14	$1.6K	1,118	1,103	+16	Yes	+$393	04-19 14:55
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,500	05-01 14:32
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-16?	4	$1.4K	926	926	+0	No	+$380	05-16 14:43
bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.4K	943	930	+14	FC Augsburg	+$378	04-18 15:15
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02?	2	$1.3K	806	806	+0	No	+$306	05-02 13:29
j1100 vis ngr 2026 04 11 ngr	6	$1.3K	789	789	+0	No	+$103	04-11 06:31
sea laz par 2026 04 04 laz	2	$1.3K	865	853	+12	No	+$415	04-05 00:06
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	2	$1.2K	730	723	+7	1. FSV Mainz 05	+$216	04-25 14:26
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	3	$1.2K	766	766	+0	Brazil	+$308	06-29 19:00
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?	3	$1.1K	800	800	+0	No	+$336	05-17 15:51
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-26?	2	$1.1K	708	702	+6	No	+$131	04-26 15:22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?	3	$1.1K	841	841	+0	No	+$516	05-04 20:48
Auckland FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5	2	$1.1K	1,014	1,014	+0	Under	+$115	05-23 09:04
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$1.1K	658	658	+0	Yes	+$112	07-01 17:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 13:03:57	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0xa6de95…
10-18 12:09:24	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xfadbff…
10-18 12:01:14	Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xdc43b1…
10-18 10:40:06	Will Udinese Calcio vs. US Lecce end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x17d86a…
10-18 10:39:59	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x52d2b8…
10-17 14:01:30	Will Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xbaf911…
10-17 11:30:21	Will Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x1644c5…
10-11 15:22:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	283	53¢	$150	0xa2ba08…
10-11 14:13:25	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xa5e165…
10-11 14:13:25	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x94bee9…
10-11 14:13:25	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	SELL	174	84¢	$146	0x40ef24…
10-11 13:26:22	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	217	20¢	$43	0x9d4479…
10-11 13:01:49	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xc423cc…
10-11 13:01:45	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xfff279…
10-11 12:29:09	Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	143	90¢	$129	0xe6ddc3…
10-11 11:43:32	Will Como 1907 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x9edf0a…
10-10 13:25:31	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x0c3aca…
10-10 11:30:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x559c09…
10-10 11:30:28	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Leeds United FC	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xeeac74…
09-20 17:20:12	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xcc96f4…
09-20 17:19:24	Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	192	99¢	$190	0x8914c7…
09-20 16:25:22	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x72b78a…
09-20 15:31:34	Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x92140b…
09-20 15:31:25	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x5f8a25…
09-20 13:04:31	Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0x56a222…
09-20 12:21:18	Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	103	78¢	$81	0xa7d491…
09-20 10:36:09	Will ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x248669…
09-19 15:41:02	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x8288ce…
09-19 14:09:56	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xf33f98…
09-13 14:32:34	Will Lille OSC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x384a52…
09-13 13:24:39	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xb748c7…
09-13 13:24:25	Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)	Coventry City FC	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0xda9076…
09-13 13:17:58	Will Lille OSC vs. ES Troyes AC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xcee1de…
09-12 15:42:42	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	SELL	162	79¢	$128	0x943252…
09-12 14:01:34	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	162	37¢	$60	0x7905eb…
09-12 14:01:22	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Fulham FC	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x7ea237…
09-06 15:38:27	Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x29277b…
09-06 14:55:39	Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xe4cd9a…
09-06 13:03:03	Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x249841…
09-05 14:04:54	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-05?	No	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x2d5564…
09-03 19:42:46	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfd79f3…
08-30 13:31:10	Will SC Freiburg vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x08d012…
08-30 13:04:39	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	220	46¢	$100	0x94079c…
08-29 17:09:33	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xc99808…
08-29 17:03:40	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc230e4…
08-29 15:19:48	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-08-29?	No	SELL	126	85¢	$107	0x46bf09…
08-29 15:09:04	Will Levante UD vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xd2628a…
08-29 14:47:33	Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)	SC Paderborn 07	SELL	159	83¢	$132	0x5d1fbb…
08-29 13:43:36	Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	217	20¢	$43	0x40b225…
08-29 13:41:36	Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	126	40¢	$50	0xc75d70…
08-29 13:41:24	Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xa0d393…
08-29 13:38:49	Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x6ffb50…
08-29 13:20:25	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	SELL	98	80¢	$78	0xea8c50…
08-29 13:04:28	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	SELL	136	98¢	$134	0xf5b5f4…
08-29 13:04:03	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0xc28885…
08-29 13:03:57	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe52cff…
08-29 11:45:03	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xf5c5dd…
08-29 11:44:49	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Nottingham Forest FC	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x3eff44…
08-23 17:29:58	Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0x8c883c…
08-23 17:29:39	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0xeb5ced…
08-23 15:31:19	Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0x118a50…
08-23 15:31:00	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xeaa102…
08-23 14:41:48	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x3fdbf8…
08-23 13:03:30	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xc7ea86…
08-23 02:25:54	Will Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	185	22¢	$41	0x56c6e1…
08-23 00:54:48	Will Nashville SC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xa0c3f3…
08-22 14:07:24	Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd337a4…
08-22 14:06:36	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xf0ce64…
08-22 12:45:37	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	67	90¢	$60	0x4f1fef…
08-19 20:34:15	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x6eb541…
08-17 02:49:55	Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x35ec6a…
08-16 16:53:42	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	No	SELL	55	90¢	$50	0x15c9b5…
08-16 16:53:30	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	No	SELL	45	90¢	$40	0xba2ae8…
08-16 15:04:39	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xe3a6c2…
08-16 15:02:18	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?	No	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x130535…
08-16 15:01:42	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	74	32¢	$24	0x3a0420…
08-15 14:05:13	Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x73105b…
08-02 01:48:23	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-01?	No	SELL	43	45¢	$20	0x827865…
08-02 01:47:59	Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x8657a3…
08-02 01:46:45	Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xdacbb8…
08-02 01:43:09	Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-08-01?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x43ba4a…
08-01 23:45:56	Will New York Red Bulls vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	193	26¢	$50	0x07a943…
08-01 00:56:38	Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x581b9e…
08-01 00:53:44	Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xe4984b…
07-26 12:38:10	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x472c88…
07-26 09:41:09	Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-26?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x526aa8…
07-26 04:29:33	Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	53	85¢	$45	0x5fab56…
07-26 04:29:31	Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$9	0x1532c3…
07-26 04:28:57	Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xa956bb…
07-26 04:28:48	Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0xc77504…
07-26 02:42:16	Will San Jose Earthquakes vs. Los Angeles Galaxy end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0xeb823a…
07-26 01:42:43	Will St. Louis City SC vs. Colorado Rapids SC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x7517f9…
07-26 00:47:48	Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-07-25?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x1f752f…
07-25 23:56:54	Will Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5ad139…
07-25 23:55:46	Will Philadelphia Union vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xfa8adc…
07-23 03:54:12	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?	No	SELL	40	86¢	$34	0x9b2d3a…
07-23 03:53:07	Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x2616a6…
07-23 01:34:19	Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-07-22?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xd0f8ee…
07-23 01:33:34	Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x8b3137…
07-22 23:54:48	Will FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xa5e572…