Tame-Violence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$654

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

114

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$7.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 11-07 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

53% 62% -$558

Politics

23% 38% +$69

Crypto

15% 69% -$67

Sports

9% 44% -$98

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in beijing on april 22 2026 22c	4	$652	988	129	+860	No	-$450	04-22 07:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	10	$593	452	452	+0	No	+$22	05-21 01:08
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$516	295	295	+0	No	+$49	05-15 07:01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	2	$429	221	221	+0	No	+$13	05-12 08:17
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 12?	3	$410	209	209	+0	No	+$7	05-12 05:36
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	4	$279	153	153	+0	No	+$6	01-20 01:08
bitcoin above 96k on january 15	5	$254	237	136	+101	Yes	-$112	01-15 14:46
nba lal por 2026 01 17	2	$243	138	138	+0	Trail Blazers	+$32	01-18 07:06
highest temperature in paris on april 21 2026 17c	2	$232	118	117	+0	No	+$2	04-21 16:05
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	2	$224	123	123	+0	No	$0	01-15 14:05
highest temperature in shanghai on april 21 2026 17c	3	$221	116	115	+1	No	+$10	04-21 15:03
nba tor ind 2026 01 14	2	$211	112	112	+0	Raptors	+$13	01-15 02:46
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	2	$210	117	117	+0	Yes	+$1	01-18 04:29
bitcoin above 100k on january 15	2	$197	104	104	+0	No	+$1	01-15 01:05
nba ind phi 2026 01 19	1	$133	290	0	+290	76ers	-$133	01-20 01:10
highest temperature in seoul on january 31 neg 1c	2	$133	241	0	+241	Yes	-$133	01-31 07:30
highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 46 47f	1	$117	123	0	+123	No	+$6	04-21 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on May 2?	8	$113	61	61	+0	No	+$8	05-02 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on May 2?	7	$100	52	52	+0	No	+$5	05-02 02:00
bitcoin above 94k on january 14	6	$99	56	137	-81	Yes	-$3	01-14 15:29
bitcoin above 96k on january 14	3	$98	124	26	+98	Yes	+$11	01-14 15:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 1?	5	$97	65	65	+0	Yes	+$18	05-01 08:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?	2	$94	49	49	+0	No	+$2	05-01 16:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?	2	$89	46	46	+0	No	+$2	05-01 15:29
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 1?	3	$86	44	44	+0	No	+$2	05-01 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on May 1?	3	$74	39	39	+0	No	+$4	05-01 10:14
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$70	47	47	+0	Up	+$23	11-07 14:44
highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 14c	1	$70	73	0	+73	No	+$4	04-20 14:09
highest temperature in london on january 23 9c	2	$69	41	41	+0	Yes	+$14	01-23 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$62	35	35	+0	Down	+$8	11-07 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 14:44:22	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea6942…
11-07 14:44:22	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xbcd216…
11-07 14:44:21	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe3cb6d…
11-07 14:44:21	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1db573…
11-07 14:41:33	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x35b888…
11-07 14:40:54	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xe7cde3…
11-07 14:38:21	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x25b5b4…
11-07 14:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xe30936…
11-07 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x73b3fb…
11-07 14:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5ce2fe…
11-07 14:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x476f96…
11-07 14:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x676cb5…
11-07 14:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x603160…
11-07 14:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x390257…
11-07 14:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xc764bd…
11-07 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x1be13d…
11-07 14:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3a9069…
11-07 14:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x1cfb39…
11-07 14:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xae1228…
11-07 14:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd95e7b…
11-07 14:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x680803…
11-07 14:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1078cc…
11-07 13:59:40	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x301564…
11-07 13:55:24	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4f6637…
11-07 13:51:15	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbbe074…
11-07 13:48:57	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x26a3b5…
11-07 13:46:37	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x45c473…
11-07 13:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x92f237…
11-07 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd00481…
11-07 13:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x2b5d6b…
11-07 13:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe7c799…
11-07 13:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0f4024…
11-07 13:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x093b56…
11-07 13:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xab4289…
11-07 08:56:25	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x84e01f…
11-07 08:29:31	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf0815…
11-07 08:28:25	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0008eb…
11-07 08:19:03	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x42c83d…
11-07 08:15:58	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x95382b…
11-07 08:14:19	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x78f7ba…
11-07 08:14:18	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2fcd5c…
11-07 08:12:27	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xf09605…
11-07 08:12:27	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x097511…
11-07 08:10:04	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x43e392…
11-07 08:07:12	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x3c19fb…
11-07 08:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc942cf…
11-07 08:04:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x393b94…
11-07 08:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x152d2b…
11-07 08:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xefad31…
05-22 01:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 22?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x5d71a3…
05-22 00:47:01	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0x42612d…
05-22 00:46:58	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	57	3¢	$2	0x688fef…
05-22 00:46:53	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xa58873…
05-21 07:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 21?	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xeffef3…
05-21 06:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x2a4d79…
05-21 06:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 21?	No	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3391c7…
05-21 06:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?	No	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x25f5c1…
05-21 05:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1d1fee…
05-21 01:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0957c9…
05-21 01:08:11	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x2b38a5…
05-21 01:08:06	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	126	0¢	$1	0x003a90…
05-21 01:07:52	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xf7743d…
05-21 00:56:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xeb3079…
05-21 00:52:47	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x92a3a0…
05-16 17:40:52	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6f0a8b…
05-16 17:40:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0ba05c…
05-16 17:40:24	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x9217f2…
05-16 17:40:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xc2dbd2…
05-16 17:38:13	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x29ad2e…
05-16 17:38:10	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x755689…
05-16 17:12:28	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xead5ee…
05-16 17:12:21	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xb408b6…
05-16 17:12:02	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfd4714…
05-16 00:53:27	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xd712d1…
05-16 00:23:48	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x736449…
05-15 12:48:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0a41ce…
05-15 08:10:04	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3d6bce…
05-15 08:10:00	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf3064c…
05-15 08:09:20	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x96435d…
05-15 08:08:47	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xcfc016…
05-15 08:08:43	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf15c61…
05-15 08:07:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa99193…
05-15 08:01:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	336	90¢	$303	0x66f45a…
05-15 07:01:51	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	336	83¢	$279	0x9cd9ec…
05-15 07:01:31	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	292	96¢	$281	0xbf19e6…
05-15 06:05:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x6fe1ea…
05-15 02:16:44	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	292	80¢	$232	0xf49792…
05-15 01:10:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x31b988…
05-15 01:09:15	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x07c70b…
05-15 01:09:04	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x96b954…
05-14 07:39:18	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc96664…
05-14 07:39:13	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x0fc9a0…
05-14 07:39:08	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc37d24…
05-14 07:39:06	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x90c20f…
05-14 07:39:06	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x267a5d…
05-14 07:25:34	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x074926…
05-14 07:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xce5b72…
05-14 06:33:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x08e372…
05-14 06:30:00	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8f69a5…
05-14 05:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 14?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x445858…