Rural-Runway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$537

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.6%

Resolved

448

Trades

7,714

lifetime

Volume

$199.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-09 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$537

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 203 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$2.6K	1,651	1,651	+0	Down	+$575	05-05 02:49
btc updown 15m 1774899000	1	$2.0K	3,412	0	+3,412	open	—	03-30 19:25
btc updown 15m 1774462500	2	$1.8K	1,495	1,473	+23	open	—	03-25 18:15
btc updown 15m 1774405800	2	$1.5K	2,584	0	+2,584	open	—	03-25 02:30
btc updown 15m 1776907800	2	$1.4K	917	887	+30	open	—	04-23 01:40
btc updown 15m 1775516400	2	$1.3K	1,756	1,701	+54	open	—	04-06 23:01
btc updown 15m 1775515500	3	$1.3K	1,765	1,710	+55	open	—	04-06 22:52
btc updown 15m 1780977600	7	$1.3K	1,563	1,563	+0	open	—	06-09 04:05
btc updown 15m 1774898100	2	$1.2K	1,764	1,733	+31	open	—	03-30 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	6	$1.1K	878	867	+11	open	—	05-20 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	3	$1.0K	1,980	1,980	+0	open	—	06-02 02:22
btc updown 15m 1773441000	2	$1.0K	732	720	+11	open	—	03-13 22:41
btc updown 15m 1773846900	2	$1.0K	1,621	0	+1,621	open	—	03-18 15:15
btc updown 15m 1773355500	1	$1000	1,556	0	+1,556	open	—	03-12 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$1000	1,874	0	+1,874	open	—	05-13 18:22
btc updown 15m 1780959600	3	$939	653	653	+0	open	—	06-08 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$937	657	657	+0	open	—	05-14 16:36
btc updown 15m 1773846000	2	$916	1,343	1,324	+19	open	—	03-18 15:13
btc updown 15m 1776328200	1	$877	1,889	0	+1,889	open	—	04-16 08:30
btc updown 5m 1780534200	2	$826	600	600	+0	open	—	06-04 00:53
btc updown 15m 1774404900	1	$825	1,720	0	+1,720	open	—	03-25 02:17
btc updown 15m 1774374300	1	$825	1,210	0	+1,210	open	—	03-24 17:45
btc updown 15m 1773810000	1	$825	1,356	0	+1,356	open	—	03-18 05:00
btc updown 15m 1774461600	1	$825	1,194	0	+1,194	open	—	03-25 18:00
btc updown 5m 1780527900	3	$825	592	592	+0	open	—	06-03 23:07
btc updown 5m 1780590600	2	$814	582	582	+0	open	—	06-04 16:32
btc updown 5m 1780517400	2	$813	577	577	+0	open	—	06-03 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$806	560	560	+0	open	—	05-23 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$800	1,464	0	+1,464	Up	$-800	05-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$785	553	544	+10	Down	+$235	05-13 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 17:39:58	btc updown 5m 1781026800	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa25e7b…
06-09 16:58:46	btc updown 5m 1781024400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd7079c…
06-09 16:53:16	btc updown 5m 1781024100	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1f0d4e…
06-09 16:50:36	btc updown 5m 1781023800	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xeed312…
06-09 16:47:39	btc updown 5m 1781023500	Up	SELL	146	83¢	$121	0x0619ea…
06-09 16:43:31	btc updown 5m 1781023500	Up	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0x93cc33…
06-09 16:38:54	btc updown 5m 1781023200	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0xa07476…
06-09 16:34:34	btc updown 5m 1781022900	Up	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xe84a21…
06-09 16:31:49	btc updown 5m 1781022600	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0b1da2…
06-09 16:23:58	btc updown 5m 1781022300	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x31565e…
06-09 16:20:00	btc updown 5m 1781022000	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9b3306…
06-09 16:15:13	btc updown 5m 1781021700	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x41416f…
06-09 16:10:09	btc updown 5m 1781021400	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x71cd09…
06-09 16:05:00	btc updown 5m 1781021100	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc77ac1…
06-09 04:47:33	btc updown 5m 1780980600	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x9a39d7…
06-09 04:47:27	btc updown 5m 1780980300	Down	SELL	38	5¢	$2	0xca4809…
06-09 04:34:25	btc updown 5m 1780979700	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcfae7c…
06-09 04:29:52	btc updown 5m 1780979400	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x13a337…
06-09 04:25:16	btc updown 5m 1780979100	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xe34580…
06-09 04:24:51	btc updown 5m 1780978800	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8543fc…
06-09 04:20:42	btc updown 5m 1780978800	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6e5b2b…
06-09 04:15:12	btc updown 5m 1780978500	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x234030…
06-09 04:05:30	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Up	SELL	482	10¢	$50	0xe96ba3…
06-09 04:05:22	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Up	SELL	297	10¢	$31	0x5faaa7…
06-09 03:59:10	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Up	BUY	249	50¢	$123	0xfcf90c…
06-09 03:59:10	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Up	BUY	530	52¢	$277	0xb0b963…
06-09 03:58:58	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Down	SELL	181	49¢	$88	0xabb540…
06-09 03:58:58	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Down	SELL	603	50¢	$302	0x980b10…
06-09 03:54:00	btc updown 15m 1780977600	Down	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x05ac19…
06-09 03:53:33	btc updown 15m 1780976700	Up	SELL	555	18¢	$101	0x783ee5…
06-09 03:45:48	btc updown 15m 1780976700	Up	BUY	555	36¢	$200	0x086ef9…
06-09 03:44:45	btc updown 15m 1780975800	Down	SELL	297	4¢	$12	0x779482…
06-09 03:24:30	btc updown 15m 1780975800	Down	BUY	297	50¢	$150	0x14f7d1…
06-09 03:14:12	btc updown 15m 1780974900	Down	SELL	286	52¢	$149	0xfb51e1…
06-09 03:10:55	btc updown 15m 1780974900	Down	BUY	286	52¢	$150	0x28cbf6…
06-09 03:10:28	btc updown 15m 1780974000	Up	SELL	196	16¢	$31	0xa59d8c…
06-09 02:56:42	btc updown 15m 1780974000	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xd4185f…
06-09 02:39:49	btc updown 15m 1780973100	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x239887…
06-09 02:31:03	btc updown 15m 1780972200	Down	SELL	60	50¢	$30	0x93495a…
06-09 02:21:49	btc updown 15m 1780972200	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xa384bf…
06-09 02:21:12	btc updown 15m 1780971300	Down	SELL	276	93¢	$256	0x2968c0…
06-09 02:15:03	btc updown 15m 1780971300	Down	BUY	276	51¢	$140	0x21856a…
06-09 01:56:37	btc updown 15m 1780970400	Up	BUY	118	51¢	$60	0x2f5672…
06-09 01:56:13	btc updown 15m 1780969500	Down	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x65df90…
06-09 01:43:34	btc updown 15m 1780969500	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc1cbc4…
06-09 01:43:16	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Up	SELL	39	9¢	$3	0xdd5a5a…
06-09 01:27:06	btc updown 15m 1780968600	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x9fe590…
06-09 01:25:19	btc updown 15m 1780967700	Up	SELL	96	95¢	$91	0xf90986…
06-09 01:12:57	btc updown 15m 1780967700	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x1159b2…
06-09 00:51:13	btc updown 15m 1780966800	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x40ad20…
06-09 00:51:04	btc updown 15m 1780965900	Up	SELL	36	7¢	$2	0xc85cb0…
06-09 00:42:04	btc updown 15m 1780965900	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd793f9…
06-09 00:41:45	btc updown 15m 1780965000	Up	SELL	36	23¢	$8	0x584c54…
06-09 00:25:27	btc updown 15m 1780965000	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xc00b91…
06-08 23:55:45	btc updown 15m 1780963200	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xccbdf3…
06-08 23:45:13	btc updown 15m 1780962300	Down	SELL	31	65¢	$20	0xd9e699…
06-08 23:45:10	btc updown 15m 1780962300	Down	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xbed3fd…
06-08 23:19:25	btc updown 15m 1780961400	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x9b9a7b…
06-08 23:10:13	btc updown 15m 1780960500	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x0601b2…
06-08 23:09:10	btc updown 15m 1780959600	Up	SELL	653	91¢	$594	0x55ec66…
06-08 22:57:12	btc updown 15m 1780959600	Up	BUY	366	52¢	$190	0x243ddd…
06-08 22:57:12	btc updown 15m 1780959600	Up	BUY	287	54¢	$154	0x0f961a…
06-08 22:56:31	btc updown 15m 1780958700	Down	SELL	420	5¢	$21	0x7cadab…
06-08 22:41:22	btc updown 15m 1780958700	Down	BUY	420	48¢	$200	0x1e3dd1…
06-08 22:40:52	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Up	SELL	222	15¢	$33	0x2fb0ab…
06-08 22:28:30	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	SELL	54	12¢	$6	0x3d0631…
06-08 22:28:25	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x41e3c9…
06-08 22:27:55	btc updown 15m 1780957800	Up	BUY	222	54¢	$120	0x1d9761…
06-08 22:02:22	btc updown 15m 1780956900	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x209848…
06-08 21:42:48	btc updown 15m 1780955100	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x0586af…
06-08 21:42:42	btc updown 15m 1780955100	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xde444a…
06-08 21:42:28	btc updown 15m 1780954200	Down	SELL	46	7¢	$3	0xdbc42a…
06-08 21:30:03	btc updown 15m 1780954200	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x7e1ce6…
06-08 21:29:54	btc updown 15m 1780953300	Up	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x2b2b6b…
06-08 21:08:04	btc updown 15m 1780953300	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe78b7c…
06-08 18:41:18	btc updown 15m 1780944300	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x634570…
06-08 18:25:25	btc updown 15m 1780943400	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9d0c4e…
06-08 18:25:12	btc updown 15m 1780942500	Up	SELL	41	37¢	$15	0x91d2e7…
06-08 18:14:36	btc updown 15m 1780942500	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x200a13…
06-08 18:14:04	btc updown 15m 1780941600	Up	SELL	216	88¢	$190	0x591a8b…
06-08 17:54:37	btc updown 15m 1780941600	Up	BUY	216	51¢	$110	0xbc2a71…
06-08 17:37:28	btc updown 15m 1780940700	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x3d145a…
06-08 17:37:07	btc updown 15m 1780939800	Up	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0xdd0ac7…
06-08 17:26:15	btc updown 15m 1780939800	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x9e8845…
06-08 17:24:06	btc updown 15m 1780938900	Down	SELL	43	4¢	$2	0x97f650…
06-08 17:14:18	btc updown 15m 1780938900	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xaee2a6…
06-08 16:58:01	btc updown 15m 1780938000	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa42e50…
06-08 16:35:34	btc updown 15m 1780937100	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x26ad70…
06-08 16:35:15	btc updown 15m 1780936200	Up	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0xa6a634…
06-08 16:28:43	btc updown 15m 1780935300	Up	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x330cb5…
06-08 16:25:54	btc updown 15m 1780936200	Up	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x5fb933…
06-08 16:13:42	btc updown 15m 1780934400	Down	SELL	42	4¢	$2	0xbede85…
06-08 16:13:31	btc updown 15m 1780935300	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xeb4198…
06-08 16:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780934400	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6b8ded…
06-08 15:41:06	btc updown 15m 1780933500	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x440858…
06-08 02:48:49	btc updown 5m 1780886700	Down	SELL	80	91¢	$73	0x3090ab…
06-08 02:44:24	btc updown 5m 1780886700	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xf7f9e0…
06-08 02:44:09	btc updown 5m 1780886400	Up	SELL	39	31¢	$12	0x7cd755…
06-08 02:39:28	btc updown 5m 1780886400	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xc60715…
06-08 02:34:58	btc updown 5m 1780886100	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xeb1ba5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	873	$284.2K	79,627	06-09 16:49
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	872	$252.6K	37,880	06-09 16:49
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	870	$303.6K	49,110	06-09 16:49
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	868	$277.9K	82,018	06-09 16:49
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	798	$72.5K	21,168	06-09 16:49
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	792	$504.0K	19,454	06-09 16:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	782	$1.91M	88,839	06-09 16:49
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	782	$115.4K	18,768	06-09 16:48