Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$307

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.3%

Resolved

743

Trades

1,984

lifetime

Volume

$19.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-09 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Other

69% 18% -$225

Politics

20% 18% -$40

Tech

6% 4% -$19

Sports

3% 2% -$13

Crypto

2% 27% -$5

Pop-Culture

1% 22% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 21 20260718000915873	12	$383	300	300	+0	No	-$1	07-21 05:30
moonshot publishes kimi k3 weights by july 27 20260717164254847	6	$280	150	150	+0	Yes	-$2	07-26 10:28
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	19	$222	180	180	+0	Yes	+$1	08-28 08:37
iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	8	$198	200	200	+0	No	-$1	07-22 14:17
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	6	$197	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	06-26 11:50
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	7	$195	150	150	+0	Yes	+$1	08-02 14:32
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 18 20260716224448964	8	$195	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	07-19 09:01
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	6	$194	150	150	+0	No	$0	07-28 13:05
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	14	$192	140	140	+0	No	-$2	07-28 10:31
iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	4	$191	100	100	+0	No	-$1	07-21 11:23
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027?	4	$188	100	100	+0	No	+$1	09-17 20:14
will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	3	$188	100	100	+0	No	-$3	08-09 07:39
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	5	$179	101	101	+0	No	-$3	07-23 06:58
will trump say six seven during remarks in georgia 20260720190340728	4	$176	93	93	+0	No	$0	07-22 12:31
next mythos class model released by october 31 2026 374 866	6	$170	90	90	+0	Yes	$0	08-31 13:04
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	12	$154	120	120	+0	Yes	$0	09-21 01:26
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?	4	$150	79	79	+0	Yes	$0	09-05 15:00
will no mrbeast video be posted 20260702154826891	4	$150	80	80	+0	No	$0	07-23 08:33
la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	8	$149	80	80	+0	open	—	07-23 09:48
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?	6	$132	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	09-21 23:22
Will The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?	5	$129	70	70	+0	Yes	-$1	08-28 01:00
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	10	$126	212	212	+0	No	-$1	07-27 10:41
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?	11	$120	120	120	+0	Yes	$0	09-08 14:27
Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?	8	$105	200	200	+0	No	+$0	08-30 07:56
iran invades kuwait by july 31 20260720015031545	11	$105	250	250	+0	No	-$1	07-21 09:30
israel closes its airspace by august 15	6	$103	150	150	+0	No	+$0	08-09 13:01
todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	6	$102	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 06:55
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 12 20260807213124701	8	$101	150	150	+0	Yes	-$1	08-09 07:40
will karim benzema attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630270	6	$101	150	150	+0	No	+$0	08-08 13:40
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	5	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	+$3	08-05 01:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-09 04:14:10	Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x4b2830…
10-05 11:27:38	will xagusd reach 62 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x308a55…
10-05 11:20:17	will rklb reach 74 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x77acea…
10-05 11:03:16	will rklb reach 74 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x5ecb08…
10-05 11:02:01	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9d8683…
10-05 11:01:53	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 9	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xf65df9…
10-05 10:31:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 9	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf7703b…
10-05 10:26:23	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xbb1a4f…
10-05 10:04:01	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd4f7c7…
10-05 08:23:55	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x73c03b…
10-05 08:23:43	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x1d4562…
10-05 06:39:02	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf87204…
10-05 05:24:13	will pltr reach 189 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xb599f7…
10-05 05:05:58	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x6d804d…
10-05 05:05:58	will msft reach 517 50 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x2d62d0…
10-05 02:24:40	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0xdea522…
10-05 02:10:10	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9c98d4…
10-05 02:06:28	wti closes above 87 on october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x80bbad…
10-02 23:44:02	Will Trump say "Fake News" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xe5153a…
10-02 15:49:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on October 2?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x39e46e…
10-02 15:07:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x6c9aee…
10-02 13:31:09	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa898ab…
10-02 13:31:03	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x20ca31…
10-02 12:41:39	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x780809…
10-02 11:28:24	Will Trump say "Hell" during his Midterm Rally in Alabama?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x83de85…
10-02 10:38:24	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xc6d392…
10-02 07:34:59	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x9697b9…
10-02 07:04:35	will msft dip to 510 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xa743a8…
10-02 07:01:51	will googl reach 340 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x980b37…
10-02 05:08:15	wti closes above 89 on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x33970e…
10-02 04:28:59	will msft dip to 510 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x22a201…
10-02 03:03:21	will xagusd dip to 60 in october 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0a2ea4…
10-02 02:17:05	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 in October?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x8d9339…
10-01 13:30:23	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 in October?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x416eef…
10-01 10:06:59	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 in October?	Yes	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xe43c11…
10-01 10:06:50	will meta dip to 740 in october 2026	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x8a8146…
10-01 10:06:41	will coin dip to 185 in october 2026	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x5da7a8…
10-01 09:11:18	will meta dip to 740 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe0dfb5…
10-01 07:27:11	will coin dip to 185 in october 2026	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcd2d9b…
10-01 06:24:27	will hood dip to 120 in october 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x885387…
10-01 05:56:11	will ewy dip to 184 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x2ed74f…
10-01 05:50:42	will coin dip to 185 in october 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1e302b…
09-30 13:06:05	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x3ea567…
09-30 12:28:38	over 30m committed to the jumper public sale	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xbb6bfa…
09-30 08:24:48	will pernille harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	Yes	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x1b1787…
09-30 06:57:44	will pernille harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x694140…
09-30 06:57:42	will pernille harder finish in the top 10 of the 2026 womens ballon dor	Yes	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xed558e…
09-30 06:09:35	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa15278…
09-30 06:08:48	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xf8ac59…
09-30 06:08:36	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x68a6d0…
09-30 06:08:12	Will the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd75b00…
09-30 06:07:56	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x4b67f4…
09-30 06:07:45	Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xac5b25…
09-30 06:07:21	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x115a21…
09-30 06:07:14	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x237745…
09-30 06:07:06	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x047cb6…
09-30 05:23:39	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x56ded3…
09-30 04:58:56	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1bfb35…
09-30 04:46:59	Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x12af6a…
09-30 04:40:45	Will the Republican Party win the KY-02 House seat?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x238707…
09-30 04:28:50	Will the Democratic Party win the WA-06 House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xad43d5…
09-30 04:26:08	Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x3c72f9…
09-30 04:05:27	Will the Democratic Party win the MA-01 House seat?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x8d8b71…
09-30 03:54:21	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x32b1db…
09-30 03:51:47	Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5bf50b…
09-30 03:46:59	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-30 House seat?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdda1b3…
09-30 03:01:50	Will the Republican Party win the MO-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x736730…
09-29 12:45:20	will abnb dip to 128 in september 2026	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x45dce3…
09-29 06:22:11	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7412fa…
09-29 06:21:41	will patient zero hit 70m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xfa6a7f…
09-29 06:21:20	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd252ae…
09-28 13:35:06	will abnb dip to 128 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xf1b8cb…
09-28 13:29:38	Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.50 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf75871…
09-28 13:09:27	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbd50ba…
09-28 12:34:21	will pltr dip to 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x3442f9…
09-28 12:17:00	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x802ef1…
09-28 12:15:05	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xe925d3…
09-28 12:13:38	wti up or down on september 28 2026	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5f0038…
09-28 11:33:56	will open reach 3 75 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x1b7346…
09-28 11:33:21	Rain during the Azerbaijan Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x14e645…
09-28 11:30:14	will coin reach 195 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0x7df12d…
09-28 10:36:54	will open reach 3 75 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x9ebb57…
09-28 08:20:44	will xauusd reach 4550 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x158a17…
09-28 08:20:35	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xb37101…
09-28 08:20:23	will open reach 4 00 by september 28 2026	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x7363b2…
09-28 05:33:14	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x631cfe…
09-28 02:52:12	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xfde771…
09-28 02:49:32	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xe84e09…
09-28 02:48:24	will coin reach 195 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x1910b7…
09-28 02:33:30	will xauusd reach 4550 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7c3380…
09-28 02:23:29	will open reach 4 00 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x6f5001…
09-28 01:46:33	Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 21?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc8d5cb…
09-28 00:29:47	Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x9c0488…
09-28 00:28:44	Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xa3e566…
09-28 00:28:27	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xd4e0f7…
09-28 00:27:53	will patient zero hit 90m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$0	0xa3cfd0…
09-28 00:27:39	will patient zero hit 80m first week streams	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xc94df9…
09-28 00:27:24	will the life of a showgirl the encore first week sales be at least 700k	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x732b0e…
09-27 18:06:51	will patient zero hit 90m first week streams	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x697f62…
09-27 15:46:30	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb31909…