Urban-Curiosity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$716

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

13,959

Trades

20,116

lifetime

Volume

$55.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-29 21:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 179 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 68% -$249

Other

30% 89% -$13

Politics

3% 22% -$409

Tech

1% 0% -$28

Sports

0% 8% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 968 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	3	$570	400	200	+200	Yes	-$190	06-03 16:25
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	13	$382	305	303	+2	No	-$26	06-25 10:54
wti up or down on april 17 2026	6	$284	300	400	-100	Down	-$18	04-17 08:47
spx up or down on april 17 2026	8	$238	241	391	-150	Up	+$44	04-17 08:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1?	11	$223	222	142	+80	Up	+$12	06-01 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?	4	$199	150	100	+50	Yes	+$1	06-02 21:10
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	1	$190	200	0	+200	No	-$190	06-03 16:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 13:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?	5	$169	184	84	+100	No	-$2	06-08 21:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	4	$151	400	400	+0	Yes	-$1	04-12 13:57
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	64	$144	163	129	+34	Down	-$7	05-28 18:19
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	5	$131	166	50	+116	Yes	+$2	06-10 21:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?	4	$124	103	50	+53	Yes	+$1	06-09 13:59
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	3	$110	50	150	-100	No	-$10	05-24 02:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 3?	2	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	08-03 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	39	$109	176	30	+146	Up	-$2	05-29 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	57	$107	155	83	+72	Up	+$0	05-29 02:12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 88°F or higher on August 3?	3	$102	102	0	+102	No	+$0	08-03 11:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?	9	$101	203	0	+203	Yes	-$4	06-14 14:26
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 3?	2	$101	101	0	+101	No	+$0	08-03 06:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 3?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	08-03 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12?	3	$100	100	100	+0	Yes	+$100	06-12 22:44
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 2?	3	$99	100	50	+50	No	+$0	06-02 21:10
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 3?	3	$98	100	50	+50	Yes	$0	06-03 14:01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 3?	5	$98	100	50	+50	No	+$2	06-03 20:42
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	3	$98	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	06-03 10:50
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 10?	2	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	06-10 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 85°F or below on June 3?	5	$97	100	50	+50	Yes	+$3	06-03 20:42
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$96	50	50	+0	No	+$0	06-02 21:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?	10	$94	144	56	+88	Up	+$12	06-01 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 21:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdaf27e…
10-29 20:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x521b23…
10-29 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb44a5e…
10-29 16:00:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9cfd5e…
10-29 15:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3c6b23…
10-29 14:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfc2484…
10-29 14:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd3d62a…
10-29 14:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xee753e…
10-29 14:01:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe1b7cd…
10-29 14:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d980f…
10-29 14:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x580303…
10-29 13:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7175df…
10-29 13:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0714e6…
10-29 12:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x998789…
10-29 12:00:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x087216…
10-29 11:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00ee6d…
10-29 11:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x694b18…
10-29 10:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe990d1…
10-29 10:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcb8db5…
10-29 08:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfca24d…
10-29 08:01:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96b295…
10-29 08:01:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2160de…
10-29 08:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa70054…
10-29 08:00:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x139db0…
10-29 07:30:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7e6dcf…
10-29 07:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe760ff…
10-29 05:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xac1c90…
10-29 05:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x49a828…
10-29 04:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe45cb0…
10-29 04:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcf4163…
10-29 03:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc2a3eb…
10-29 03:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x83443a…
10-29 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5bf03e…
10-29 01:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2f4a0…
10-29 01:30:04	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2e487b…
10-29 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf87db6…
10-29 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe6d4d9…
10-29 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb360f9…
10-29 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7084c0…
10-29 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x669bfa…
10-28 23:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf39e89…
10-28 23:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac14f1…
10-28 23:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x57ea51…
10-28 23:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2ae257…
10-28 23:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x52123d…
10-28 23:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a3197…
10-28 21:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xebca06…
10-28 21:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb8b0a9…
10-28 21:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x751324…
10-28 20:17:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x57ae3d…
10-28 20:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 29?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa459b5…
10-28 20:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3f3e26…
10-28 15:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88a492…
10-28 15:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb58da6…
10-28 15:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x010cad…
10-28 15:00:32	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x9a12f0…
10-28 14:01:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xdc83d3…
10-28 13:00:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf2a62b…
10-28 10:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xbb658b…
10-28 07:00:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x43e898…
10-28 06:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x3eb227…
10-28 06:01:05	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78f1fc…
10-28 06:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdf54c2…
10-28 06:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb14d37…
10-28 04:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x03afb4…
10-28 04:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x012ffa…
10-28 04:00:44	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x415d34…
10-28 01:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd48276…
10-28 01:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb46ead…
10-28 01:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x80cb5b…
10-28 00:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x45ec45…
10-28 00:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1efb27…
10-28 00:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x098687…
10-27 23:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x56b159…
10-27 23:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c9301…
10-27 22:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6135d9…
10-27 22:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x10a187…
10-27 21:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x80807a…
10-27 21:00:50	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d5b64…
10-27 21:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0069c8…
10-27 20:01:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcc2bdd…
10-27 20:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf922c3…
10-27 17:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc63086…
10-27 15:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1f7782…
10-27 15:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x091b48…
10-27 15:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc89eb3…
10-27 15:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x85642e…
10-27 15:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x367bab…
10-27 15:00:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x01c130…
10-27 14:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xb88236…
10-27 13:02:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xae50e1…
10-27 11:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf2cef4…
10-27 10:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x17bf5a…
10-27 08:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x412aad…
10-27 07:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf8e2ba…
10-27 07:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x564f26…
10-27 07:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x199437…
10-27 07:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84ec6e…
10-27 06:00:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x018b9b…
10-27 06:00:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8905cc…