Ugly-Recognition — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

296 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.22K

$6.84K lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-02 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% +$9

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	11-02 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-31 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 30?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-30 15:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-29 10:11
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-28 08:48
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-27 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-26 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 25?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-25 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-22 10:57
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 20?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-20 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-19 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-18 15:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-17 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 16?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-16 14:35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-15 14:22
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 14?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-14 10:35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	1	$30	30	+30	Yes	+$0	10-13 11:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	10-12 12:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	1	$29	30	+30	No	+$0	10-11 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-08 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 7?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-07 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-05 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-03 09:28
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 2?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-02 14:29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	10-01 09:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-30 14:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-30 04:41
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?	1	$29	29	+29	No	+$0	09-28 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-27 11:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	1	$29	29	+29	Yes	+$0	09-26 05:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 06:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf15ffd…
10-31 16:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x346e51…
10-30 15:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x60192b…
10-29 10:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x90de25…
10-28 08:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0d29f3…
10-27 12:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6755e2…
10-26 10:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4de1a0…
10-25 09:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1b74de…
10-22 10:57:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on October 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4d329d…
10-20 08:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6975bb…
10-19 10:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5a9e23…
10-18 15:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbcceb8…
10-17 15:58:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd47040…
10-16 14:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 16?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x924b83…
10-15 14:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc9394d…
10-14 10:35:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6c9bbb…
10-13 11:03:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc25c98…
10-12 12:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbc37ad…
10-11 09:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0xc7feaf…
10-08 12:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4a6934…
10-07 05:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 7?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4a8f5f…
10-05 09:18:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x544df7…
10-03 09:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x43d958…
10-02 14:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf29f87…
10-01 09:42:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 1?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x74e9df…
09-30 14:25:44	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xea655d…
09-30 04:41:50	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd4aad1…
09-28 14:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 28?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd60be6…
09-27 11:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x1d2bee…
09-26 05:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe117bc…
09-24 09:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6d0829…
09-23 10:31:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4ac15d…
09-22 09:47:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7ea3c7…
09-21 14:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x33a70d…
09-20 06:30:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x63e1a8…
09-19 09:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb62c8d…
09-18 08:42:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on September 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb6a958…
09-17 04:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe188a7…
09-16 09:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa08a39…
09-15 13:22:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 15?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x016cc1…
09-14 14:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6ae63c…
09-13 08:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6967d2…
09-11 09:57:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 11?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0d0c02…
09-10 09:38:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x0e920b…
09-09 08:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 9?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7e7664…
09-08 09:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xf06efa…
09-07 16:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xffa30e…
09-07 09:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x98818f…
09-06 12:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x173bea…
09-05 06:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf1bed4…
09-04 01:06:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x09e3be…
09-02 08:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcabe84…
08-30 14:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x224f6e…
08-29 10:09:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xbec48a…
08-28 10:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1484e3…
08-27 09:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x20adab…
08-26 08:55:31	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 26?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x31b2e4…
08-25 09:52:19	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5a54be…
08-24 15:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa8584c…
08-24 01:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x202f65…
08-22 10:09:37	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6c5c67…
08-21 08:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa969e0…
08-20 10:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x472ab2…
08-18 09:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x697438…
08-17 09:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1dfcb7…
08-16 14:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x10a363…
08-15 16:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x4326f2…
08-14 07:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb1b3a4…
08-13 09:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5c37ec…
08-12 09:47:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x742dcd…
08-11 07:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xec52d0…
08-10 09:09:57	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x6024ea…
08-09 07:21:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x98a65e…
08-08 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x715414…
08-07 08:43:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2dcb91…
08-06 08:24:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0df4e5…
08-05 08:16:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x13644d…
08-04 09:08:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xffbfe9…
08-03 08:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xc76ac9…
08-02 06:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xf0d6bf…
08-01 07:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2000f2…
07-31 16:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 31?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x323d01…
07-30 08:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C or higher on July 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xaeecb0…
07-29 07:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x12b3d8…
07-28 08:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6585c9…
07-27 09:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x86443f…
07-26 08:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on July 26?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4b4f70…
07-25 09:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x87b03e…
07-24 14:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 24?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6a1ed6…
07-23 08:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfdceaf…
07-22 02:16:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5c9e6f…
07-21 09:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8bd4fe…
07-21 00:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on July 20?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xb9d8de…
07-20 12:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8bdda8…
07-18 23:35:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3aa63e…
07-18 07:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x899fe6…
07-17 07:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x52eeab…
07-15 22:32:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x83c757…
07-15 09:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x73e880…
07-14 09:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 14?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x024772…