Anguished-Burden — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

330

Trades

923

lifetime

Volume

$34.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 10-30 03:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 61% -$453

Other

41% 39% -$661

Sports

7% 45% +$63

Politics

2% 60% +$30

Tech

0% 100% +$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	23	$3.1K	2,814	2,405	+410	Yes	+$102	10-26 22:26
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 ovi	2	$1.4K	819	819	+0	No	+$6	02-28 21:37
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	9	$1.1K	710	710	+0	Yes	+$292	02-28 19:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:10 UTC	4	$1.0K	599	596	+3	Up	+$39	02-23 21:14
lal ovi mad 2026 02 28 draw	5	$949	1,346	1,346	+0	No	-$705	02-28 21:53
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	7	$934	1,894	1,894	+0	No	-$99	10-26 22:26
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	14	$822	2,734	2,734	+0	No	-$96	10-26 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:40 UTC	7	$786	437	436	+1	Up	+$29	03-12 14:45
epl bou sun 2026 02 28 draw	4	$609	356	356	+0	Yes	+$22	02-28 14:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:15 UTC	5	$597	430	426	+3	Up	-$58	02-23 21:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$530	621	621	+0	Up	+$17	10-30 03:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:55 UTC	2	$520	266	265	+0	Down	+$6	02-23 22:00
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$507	280	280	+0	No	-$2	07-16 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$495	663	663	+0	Up	+$62	10-30 02:56
epl eve mun 2026 02 23 mun	2	$477	260	260	+0	Yes	+$38	02-23 21:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 14:55 UTC	10	$445	301	242	+59	Up	-$4	03-12 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 20:55 UTC	4	$440	377	373	+4	Up	+$44	02-23 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:20 UTC	2	$435	228	228	+0	Down	+$16	02-23 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 22:00 UTC	2	$430	487	479	+8	Up	-$88	02-23 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$430	289	289	+0	Down	+$32	10-30 02:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:35 UTC	8	$420	229	229	+1	Down	+$20	02-23 21:39
uel not mid1 2026 03 12 not	4	$404	318	318	+0	No	-$3	03-12 15:45
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$386	476	476	+0	No	+$24	09-09 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$352	553	553	+0	Up	-$153	10-30 03:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 21:00 UTC	2	$305	158	158	+0	Up	+$8	02-23 21:04
nba den okc 2026 03 09	7	$301	182	182	+0	Thunder	+$22	03-10 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:40 UTC	2	$294	152	152	+0	Up	+$8	02-24 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-25 20:40 UTC	6	$290	237	234	+3	Up	+$11	02-25 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:50 UTC	2	$289	201	199	+2	Up	-$12	02-24 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:55 UTC	2	$289	156	155	+0	Up	+$16	02-24 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	180	51¢	$92	0xb4adb1…
10-30 03:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	553	18¢	$100	0xbd2682…
10-30 03:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	553	46¢	$253	0x1071fe…
10-30 03:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	621	44¢	$273	0x908aa2…
10-30 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	621	41¢	$256	0x550516…
10-30 02:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	663	42¢	$278	0xad5b8d…
10-30 02:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	663	33¢	$217	0xbfa281…
10-30 02:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	289	80¢	$231	0xbb9cb8…
10-30 02:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	289	69¢	$199	0x11aed8…
10-30 02:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	571	36¢	$207	0x6d54a6…
10-26 22:26:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	111	72¢	$80	0x950d28…
10-26 22:26:06	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	304	24¢	$72	0xd8011f…
10-26 22:25:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	41	25¢	$10	0xe51b3b…
10-26 22:24:53	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	299	72¢	$215	0x5f39fb…
10-26 22:22:23	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0x9a1f77…
10-26 22:20:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	519	62¢	$322	0x183c34…
10-26 18:29:27	Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	62	28¢	$17	0xb713e2…
10-26 18:29:15	Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	426	6¢	$25	0x6b160b…
10-26 18:28:59	Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	176	28¢	$50	0x3f04a7…
10-26 18:23:11	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0xb987fe…
10-26 18:18:38	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	306	72¢	$221	0x5195c7…
10-26 18:18:27	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	669	7¢	$50	0x5c3392…
10-26 18:18:21	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	849	21¢	$179	0x11bd79…
10-26 17:50:00	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	669	9¢	$57	0x990988…
10-26 17:49:45	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x9ee27b…
10-26 17:22:26	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	139	68¢	$95	0x062ed9…
10-26 17:22:08	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	400	24¢	$96	0x970621…
10-26 16:58:48	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,549	27¢	$417	0x13780a…
10-26 16:55:54	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	607	8¢	$49	0x516a65…
10-26 16:55:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	580	66¢	$384	0xa230c5…
10-25 19:03:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	607	12¢	$75	0x56f722…
10-24 14:11:21	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	70¢	$56	0xe75132…
10-24 14:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	134	44¢	$59	0xa061c7…
10-24 14:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	134	50¢	$67	0x5844d2…
10-24 14:04:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	810	9¢	$71	0x49bd70…
10-13 18:02:43	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	167	30¢	$51	0x9e4ff3…
10-13 18:02:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	84	62¢	$52	0xe84444…
10-03 18:59:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	138	49¢	$68	0xb1db64…
10-03 18:58:57	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	225	45¢	$101	0x35bd53…
10-03 18:58:12	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xf2c601…
10-03 18:57:30	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xdef19f…
10-03 18:57:17	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	83	44¢	$37	0xbb963f…
10-03 18:56:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	43	44¢	$19	0x69827d…
10-02 01:27:38	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	222	53¢	$117	0x594813…
10-02 01:23:44	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	692	2¢	$17	0x870172…
10-02 01:23:42	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	586	38¢	$226	0x423e69…
09-18 20:08:19	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	692	4¢	$30	0xc3cb10…
09-18 20:08:03	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	142	23¢	$32	0x942445…
09-11 18:25:40	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	304	16¢	$50	0x97f4f0…
09-10 04:27:10	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	102	50¢	$51	0x7cfdbd…
09-09 19:11:12	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	564	16¢	$90	0xb867e8…
09-09 19:10:31	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	60	62¢	$38	0x74c8e3…
09-09 19:10:19	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0xa9558a…
09-09 19:09:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	75	62¢	$47	0xf2765d…
09-09 06:21:36	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	500	63¢	$314	0xe629da…
09-09 04:59:40	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	536	63¢	$338	0x115c47…
09-09 04:58:58	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	SELL	476	43¢	$205	0xaf4e39…
09-09 04:10:30	Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Alcaraz	Alcaraz	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0x7315cb…
09-09 02:40:28	Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Alcaraz	Alcaraz	BUY	141	67¢	$94	0x715bfe…
09-03 00:32:01	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	191	38¢	$72	0xa0d24f…
09-03 00:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	104	69¢	$72	0x56f390…
09-03 00:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	51¢	$53	0xd110c2…
09-02 22:22:28	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	102	22¢	$23	0xd89256…
09-02 22:22:12	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	285	38¢	$108	0x788039…
08-27 15:21:22	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	110	65¢	$71	0x7a3054…
08-27 15:20:45	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	486	6¢	$29	0x128f4c…
08-27 15:20:40	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	284	16¢	$44	0xf9305c…
08-18 01:24:28	Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	486	10¢	$49	0x2c1801…
08-16 23:54:07	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	105	2¢	$2	0x668c77…
08-14 21:10:33	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	87	17¢	$15	0xa5fce8…
08-07 11:08:27	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x53309a…
08-07 11:07:34	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	306	58¢	$177	0x7c33d2…
08-02 20:55:23	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	SELL	38	74¢	$28	0x500f5c…
07-29 16:09:17	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0x56f6d6…
07-29 16:08:45	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x51fe88…
07-29 16:03:54	meta quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 7pt2	No	BUY	171	18¢	$30	0x956b19…
07-29 15:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0x307520…
07-29 15:53:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x0e0e7a…
07-29 15:52:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x5cc8f5…
07-23 02:47:55	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	197	27¢	$53	0xdc9142…
07-23 02:47:33	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	195	41¢	$80	0xbe8a0c…
07-18 19:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x94e33a…
07-18 19:47:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x77623e…
07-18 19:47:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x342fac…
07-18 19:46:00	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 goals harry kane gte1	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xf90103…
07-18 16:53:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 shots declan rice gte1	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xdd2d0e…
07-18 16:53:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	115	52¢	$60	0x1ea078…
07-18 16:52:37	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xa71512…
07-18 16:52:10	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x42f5a1…
07-18 16:51:55	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xc491ad…
07-18 16:51:40	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xf02cd3…
07-17 12:44:01	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	71	52¢	$37	0x77eba8…
07-16 05:07:11	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	280	90¢	$252	0x222e97…
07-16 00:51:37	Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	280	91¢	$254	0xad3c3d…
07-15 01:56:02	Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xf1c869…
07-15 01:55:44	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x823e6b…
07-13 00:39:26	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals desire doue gte1	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0xac866d…
07-13 00:39:04	France to score first vs. Spain?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xf3483e…
07-12 20:20:05	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xa89ad9…
07-12 14:38:40	Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	Yes	BUY	53	83¢	$44	0xa4c743…