Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

33 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$195

$5.52K lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

$196

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 10-05 07:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

44% 100% +$42

Crypto

23% 100% +$13

Politics

21% 100% +$12

Tech

13% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No		+141	$140	100¢	$141	+$1	10-05 07:05
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No		+56	$55	97¢	$55	$0	10-05 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	2	$534	324	212	+112	No	+$2	02-25 02:30
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$442	280	166	+114	No	+$2	01-21 06:12
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$275	279	0	+279	Yes	+$4	04-14 07:03
will kuwait strike iran by march 31	1	$266	268	0	+268	No	+$2	03-30 07:08
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$240	244	0	+244	No	+$4	06-08 13:07
ethereum up or down on april 14 2026	1	$230	234	0	+234	Up	+$4	04-14 07:02
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	1	$230	232	0	+232	No	+$2	04-25 04:44
us strike on colombia by march 31	1	$223	229	0	+229	No	+$6	03-05 04:59
will bitcoin dip to 52k february 23 march 1	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	02-25 02:32
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$202	204	0	+204	Yes	+$2	05-25 01:21
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	05-12 14:25
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	1	$177	179	0	+179	No	+$2	05-12 14:22
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$166	170	0	+170	Yes	+$4	01-21 06:13
lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29	1	$161	163	0	+163	Team Liquid	+$2	06-29 07:22
no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	1	$155	162	0	+162	Yes	+$7	03-05 04:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	1	$155	157	0	+157	No	+$2	06-08 13:07
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$154	156	0	+156	No	+$2	02-04 13:31
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$150	152	0	+152	No	+$2	05-12 13:51
kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	1	$140	141	0	+141	open	—	10-05 07:05
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	1	$140	142	0	+142	No	+$2	05-25 01:22
will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	1	$135	137	0	+137	No	+$2	08-01 07:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	1	$130	134	0	+134	No	+$4	06-08 13:07
will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	1	$121	122	0	+122	No	+$1	09-05 08:37
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	1	$110	111	0	+111	No	+$1	01-10 04:57
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	1	$105	106	0	+106	Yes	+$1	03-05 04:55
lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	1	$100	102	0	+102	Hanwha Life Esports	+$2	07-02 06:20
abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	07-26 05:31
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	1	$80	82	0	+82	No	+$2	07-02 06:22
dtrump out as president by september 30	1	$70	71	0	+71	No	+$1	09-05 08:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	1	$55	56	0	+56	open	—	10-05 07:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 07:05:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by october 31	No	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0x6fbfd4…
10-05 07:05:10	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x43f44f…
09-05 08:37:51	dtrump out as president by september 30	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x454c78…
09-05 08:37:15	will the iranian regime fall by september 30 20260629143335077	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xaf1d7e…
08-01 07:13:11	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd134b2…
08-01 07:12:51	will putin meet with zelenskyy by august 31 2026 20260619004734475	No	BUY	137	99¢	$135	0x8b11f7…
07-26 05:31:58	abbas araghchi out as minister of foreign affairs of iran by july 31 2026 20260709234123316	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x69275a…
07-02 06:22:35	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0xfe8289…
07-02 06:20:50	lol hle1 tsw 2026 07 02	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x660931…
06-29 07:22:31	lol dcg tl2 2026 06 29	Team Liquid	BUY	163	98¢	$161	0x0f4b47…
06-08 13:07:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	157	99¢	$155	0xbebb09…
06-08 13:07:33	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	244	98¢	$240	0x7e73c9…
06-08 13:07:13	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0xbbf3b6…
05-25 01:22:15	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	No	BUY	142	99¢	$140	0x3a1001…
05-25 01:21:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0x533ebf…
05-12 14:25:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x6e7523…
05-12 14:22:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	179	99¢	$177	0xa3da0d…
05-12 13:51:54	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0xb4537e…
04-25 04:44:16	Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by April 30?	No	BUY	232	99¢	$230	0xfd08df…
04-14 07:03:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	279	98¢	$275	0x4b9e69…
04-14 07:02:19	ethereum up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	234	98¢	$230	0x397d48…
03-30 07:08:10	will kuwait strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	268	99¢	$266	0x6c0e58…
03-05 04:59:03	us strike on colombia by march 31	No	BUY	229	97¢	$223	0xdb3aa2…
03-05 04:58:19	no change in bank of japans interest rates after march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	162	95¢	$155	0x8fd250…
03-05 04:55:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 3 9	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x2314ab…
02-25 02:32:36	will bitcoin dip to 52k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x0c9ae0…
02-25 02:30:58	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	SELL	212	100¢	$212	0xbe47f4…
02-04 13:31:24	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0x957d8e…
02-04 13:29:10	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	324	99¢	$322	0xd5190d…
01-21 06:13:16	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	170	98¢	$166	0xa3d539…
01-21 06:12:44	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	SELL	166	99¢	$165	0x7aeb70…
01-10 04:59:26	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x3a6f04…
01-10 04:57:24	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0xf6a75f…