Blind-Fertilizer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.24K

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

67.2%

Resolved

140

Trades

966

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$75

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-13 09:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Other

83% 60% -$1,539

Politics

11% 67% -$767

Crypto

5% 76% +$81

Sports

2% 55% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes		+230	$85	32¢	$75	-$10	10-13 09:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	51	$2.0K	1,383	1,353	+30	Yes	+$15	02-18 04:11
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	124	$1.6K	3,180	3,237	-57	Yes	-$1,534	02-04 20:20
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	55	$1.5K	966	1,002	-36	No	+$266	01-18 21:22
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by february 28 2026	25	$1.2K	924	963	-40	No	+$56	02-07 15:12
will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	153	$956	1,997	60	+1,937	Yes	-$868	02-25 11:37
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 15	15	$585	27	627	-600	No	-$56	01-10 18:46
will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	25	$522	408	408	+0	No	+$23	02-18 08:19
will zelenskyy attend the world economic forum	29	$453	389	297	+93	Yes	+$63	01-22 09:30
will russia enter zaliznychne by january 31	24	$453	374	374	+0	No	+$71	01-18 23:18
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	37	$415	275	275	+0	No	+$67	02-23 04:54
will russia enter zaliznychne by february 28	21	$331	1,190	1,190	+0	Yes	-$216	02-06 16:08
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 14 2026	4	$313	237	237	+0	Yes	+$72	02-04 09:25
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	18	$294	356	356	+0	Yes	-$8	02-19 13:02
cbb flgc ausp 2026 01 22	10	$223	119	119	+0	Austin Peay Governors	+$15	01-22 19:37
epl che wes 2026 01 31 wes	4	$217	288	0	+288	No	-$217	01-31 18:45
lal rso bar 2026 01 18 rso	10	$205	275	0	+275	Yes	+$70	01-18 22:05
cs2 tl1 g2 2026 01 29	12	$194	179	150	+28	G2	-$99	01-29 20:50
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$177	107	107	+0	No	+$28	05-13 06:40
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	21	$159	215	220	-5	No	+$35	02-07 15:25
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	12	$146	100	100	+0	No	+$21	01-16 15:30
ucl bru1 olm 2026 01 28 bru1	8	$145	80	80	+0	Yes	+$14	01-28 21:38
cbb ballst toledo 2026 01 31	6	$114	60	60	+0	Toledo Rockets	+$6	01-31 18:37
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	4	$109	74	74	+0	No	+$21	02-25 08:56
will russia enter kupiansk vuzlovyi by february 28	8	$108	169	169	+0	Yes	+$38	01-31 15:53
nba nop mem 2026 01 23	3	$104	90	56	+34	Pelicans	-$15	01-24 03:25
uel ste fen1 2026 01 29 draw	4	$97	63	63	+0	Yes	+$29	01-29 21:56
lal osa vil 2026 01 31 draw	2	$94	55	55	+0	Yes	+$14	01-31 17:14
russia x ukraine prisoner exchange by february 28 2026	5	$92	61	61	+0	Yes	+$12	02-04 09:32
nba hou det 2026 01 23	3	$92	49	49	+0	Rockets	+$6	01-24 02:34
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	2	$90	0	100	-100	No	-$10	01-15 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 09:45:10	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	230	37¢	$85	0x2413f3…
05-15 07:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xa455fc…
05-15 07:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x121ad2…
05-15 07:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x0d967e…
05-15 07:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe98941…
05-15 07:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x2d5863…
05-15 07:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x08c7f6…
05-15 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x2e9ef4…
05-15 07:27:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x8e5592…
05-15 07:25:26	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x5ff0ae…
05-13 08:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xebec7c…
05-13 08:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xea9e2c…
05-13 08:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbfcc4a…
05-13 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	79¢	$5	0xf3f822…
05-13 08:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc02b4f…
05-13 08:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x947573…
05-13 08:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x29a760…
05-13 08:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x211cf9…
05-13 08:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x2c2795…
05-13 08:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x069a11…
05-13 08:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9fd548…
05-13 08:23:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	No	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x44c398…
05-13 08:23:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0xf051b4…
05-13 07:11:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $745 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x5ae984…
05-13 07:11:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x131436…
05-13 06:40:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	107	96¢	$103	0x126efe…
05-12 07:38:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	107	70¢	$74	0x75c623…
04-14 07:43:37	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0x45e604…
02-25 11:37:54	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	61	93¢	$56	0x51c100…
02-25 08:58:50	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x6708aa…
02-25 08:56:04	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	74	88¢	$65	0x3d40a0…
02-24 12:20:36	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0xd713c0…
02-24 12:20:14	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x46434a…
02-24 12:19:24	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x075737…
02-24 12:18:40	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x543eb0…
02-24 12:17:56	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xf8d433…
02-24 12:17:34	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x6165f5…
02-23 04:55:48	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	122	69¢	$84	0xb18ae0…
02-23 04:55:34	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xe5faf5…
02-23 04:55:04	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa5281e…
02-23 04:54:26	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xc58984…
02-20 13:17:26	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0xb48b73…
02-20 13:17:04	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x0babd5…
02-20 12:36:04	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	14	62¢	$8	0x0992d7…
02-20 12:35:40	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xec3cb8…
02-20 12:00:42	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	14	61¢	$8	0x52cb4a…
02-20 12:00:16	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x7ccc2d…
02-19 20:30:58	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	9	59¢	$6	0x0dfec3…
02-19 20:17:54	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x8bced5…
02-19 20:10:10	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x7efbb6…
02-19 20:09:32	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x20718a…
02-19 20:08:38	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	22	56¢	$13	0x22dc97…
02-19 20:08:08	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x69ccda…
02-19 20:06:56	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x71702b…
02-19 20:05:00	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xdceef2…
02-19 20:05:00	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x603e06…
02-19 20:04:16	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0x2744cb…
02-19 19:22:20	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xf84547…
02-19 19:21:46	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x4062a8…
02-19 17:34:22	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x7f5f03…
02-19 17:34:02	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x70fbca…
02-19 17:33:32	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x0046e6…
02-19 17:00:30	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	18	59¢	$11	0x9e82a8…
02-19 16:57:34	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xa4db2f…
02-19 15:40:34	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x13a529…
02-19 15:40:08	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x92a457…
02-19 15:39:28	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0xecdf02…
02-19 13:20:48	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xedcae6…
02-19 13:03:10	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x04e9cd…
02-19 13:02:54	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	SELL	61	30¢	$18	0x299b62…
02-19 12:40:48	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x93cc6f…
02-19 12:40:28	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x276254…
02-19 11:56:00	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x695ffa…
02-19 11:55:16	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x24821d…
02-19 11:54:56	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xd6cd5e…
02-19 11:22:50	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x54352b…
02-19 11:22:20	will russia capture hryshyne by march 31 2026 299	Yes	SELL	30	30¢	$9	0x80b375…
02-19 11:20:54	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0xd2d9f1…
02-19 11:20:38	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xcc2b7c…
02-19 10:48:58	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x6542d8…
02-19 10:17:32	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x50c856…
02-18 08:52:20	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x919260…
02-18 08:51:32	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	160	57¢	$91	0x45bfb2…
02-18 08:47:24	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x0f6b8c…
02-18 08:28:22	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x0054c3…
02-18 08:27:00	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x237213…
02-18 08:26:58	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0xf53c2f…
02-18 08:19:48	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	80	76¢	$61	0x03023c…
02-18 08:18:52	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xed5a7e…
02-18 08:11:58	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x66ddb8…
02-18 08:11:22	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xb73e21…
02-18 08:10:48	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x87d3e4…
02-18 08:10:26	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x9088e0…
02-18 08:08:22	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0b69fe…
02-18 07:03:42	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xfaad8e…
02-18 04:16:04	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x302536…
02-18 04:15:50	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xd8fa66…
02-18 04:15:16	will trump talk to volodymyr zelenskyy in february	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x26f2be…
02-18 04:13:08	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xb1417b…
02-18 04:12:48	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3406ed…