Internal-Downgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$240

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.8%

Resolved

137

Trades

4,395

lifetime

Volume

$35.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-16 02:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% $-240

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 404 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on march 20	26	$695	382	331	+51	open	—	03-20 04:29
eth updown 15m 1774197000	3	$139	316	278	+38	open	—	03-22 16:44
btc updown 15m 1774239300	2	$136	174	92	+82	open	—	03-23 04:22
btc updown 15m 1774246500	3	$135	138	87	+52	open	—	03-23 06:29
bitcoin above 76k on march 17	22	$114	119	0	+119	open	—	03-17 11:53
eth updown 15m 1774206900	2	$105	119	61	+58	open	—	03-22 19:30
eth updown 15m 1774179000	2	$104	353	177	+177	open	—	03-22 11:40
btc updown 15m 1774179000	2	$104	160	80	+80	open	—	03-22 11:41
sol updown 15m 1774198800	2	$100	139	70	+69	open	—	03-22 17:14
eth updown 15m 1774138500	3	$98	290	253	+37	open	—	03-22 00:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	7	$95	176	0	+176	Down	$-22	05-06 21:54
eth updown 15m 1774102500	2	$95	357	175	+182	open	—	03-21 14:19
will bitcoin reach 72k on march 20	4	$93	47	47	+0	open	—	03-21 03:56
sol updown 15m 1774200600	2	$90	92	46	+46	open	—	03-22 17:42
sol updown 15m 1774197000	2	$90	111	56	+55	open	—	03-22 16:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	5	$87	148	0	+148	open	—	04-27 10:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	8	$84	152	0	+152	open	—	05-02 04:06
sol updown 15m 1774179000	3	$83	112	98	+14	open	—	03-22 11:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	5	$81	143	0	+143	open	—	04-27 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$81	139	0	+139	open	—	04-27 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	6	$80	163	0	+163	open	—	04-29 20:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	6	$79	164	0	+164	open	—	05-01 05:33
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	6	$78	147	0	+147	open	—	04-26 18:20
btc updown 15m 1774210500	2	$78	85	64	+21	open	—	03-22 20:27
eth updown 15m 1774208700	2	$77	378	282	+96	open	—	03-22 19:56
btc updown 15m 1774134900	2	$76	115	57	+57	open	—	03-21 23:28
eth updown 15m 1774122300	3	$76	193	169	+24	open	—	03-21 19:56
btc updown 15m 1774201500	2	$75	193	133	+60	open	—	03-22 17:56
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	8	$74	142	0	+142	open	—	04-26 18:04
btc updown 15m 1774208700	2	$71	616	463	+154	open	—	03-22 19:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:33:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x932da1…
05-16 02:33:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x47412a…
05-16 01:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x82f84f…
05-16 01:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	38	63¢	$24	0x67d2f8…
05-16 01:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xe4241b…
05-16 01:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x73a3a7…
05-16 01:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x300be7…
05-16 01:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x72d017…
05-16 00:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xde1f7b…
05-16 00:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x68e811…
05-16 00:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4590c4…
05-16 00:38:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xe11f96…
05-16 00:38:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x2cf664…
05-16 00:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x4db790…
05-16 00:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0d1e06…
05-16 00:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x2185ec…
05-16 00:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x0c2292…
05-15 23:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xdfcfc4…
05-15 23:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x8aa664…
05-15 23:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0xdfcfbb…
05-15 23:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x9ea0fd…
05-15 23:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0xd0f7ac…
05-15 23:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xede3dd…
05-15 23:02:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x37833e…
05-15 22:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x3f94b7…
05-15 22:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0xde3d54…
05-15 22:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x8349d1…
05-15 22:21:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x6e49f0…
05-15 22:19:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xd8a121…
05-15 22:19:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x65cb09…
05-15 22:19:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xae1e48…
05-15 21:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0x005b94…
05-15 21:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc88a55…
05-15 21:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x37768d…
05-15 21:18:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x662e69…
05-15 21:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x88d3f5…
05-15 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xa151a0…
05-15 20:48:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	50¢	$16	0x96a322…
05-15 20:48:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x38474b…
05-15 20:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xf72bb2…
05-15 20:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x0aaffd…
05-15 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x1656b5…
05-15 20:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x09df8f…
05-15 20:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa62bc1…
05-15 20:10:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	66¢	$22	0xaeefcc…
05-15 20:07:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x734c8f…
05-15 19:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x8afc7a…
05-15 19:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x532e94…
05-15 19:21:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x29ae86…
05-15 19:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xb9376b…
05-15 19:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x243cc6…
05-15 19:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x146eae…
05-15 19:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	49¢	$11	0x76974f…
05-15 18:37:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa8f946…
05-15 18:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xca8807…
05-15 18:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x991cf0…
05-15 17:53:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc2b680…
05-15 17:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	54¢	$22	0x642a92…
05-15 17:47:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x27f373…
05-15 17:47:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0xcfcbec…
05-15 17:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	36	66¢	$24	0x3dd6ae…
05-15 17:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x6902bc…
05-15 17:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8ac1e0…
05-15 17:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xf2a67c…
05-15 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xd94270…
05-15 17:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x68ae70…
05-15 17:16:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7c8e12…
05-15 17:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x64c0d5…
05-15 17:16:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x7d7f89…
05-15 16:19:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	63¢	$22	0x9c8d30…
05-15 16:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x80de00…
05-15 16:16:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x1ef561…
05-15 16:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xc4e4c6…
05-15 16:05:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3a100b…
05-15 15:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xc096cd…
05-15 15:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x244d84…
05-15 15:01:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0xf8bf56…
05-15 14:35:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x2e68d7…
05-15 14:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	46¢	$16	0x9a3121…
05-15 14:32:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xfcc0f7…
05-15 14:32:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x2cdda4…
05-15 14:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xd024fd…
05-15 14:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x855ea8…
05-15 14:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x0539dc…
05-15 14:07:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xb371b7…
05-15 14:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x4ea994…
05-15 13:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	35	65¢	$23	0x621f60…
05-15 13:18:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	52¢	$4	0x11ed73…
05-15 13:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x5dd5d4…
05-15 13:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xe76c1e…
05-15 13:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x07d370…
05-15 07:20:13	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd75af3…
05-15 07:01:16	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x0ed55d…
05-15 06:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x2a8ac1…
05-15 05:51:24	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x5a1711…
05-15 05:20:07	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0x90c60f…
05-15 05:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xb7beb1…
05-15 04:46:53	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x777424…
05-15 04:46:20	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x894ed8…
05-15 04:37:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1c2642…