Impossible-Nick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-21 02:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 38% $-14

Other

5% 100% +$2

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	2	$86	94	94	+0	open	—	05-02 18:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$57	73	73	+0	open	—	05-02 18:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$49	76	0	+76	open	—	05-03 23:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	05-03 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$40	80	0	+80	open	—	05-02 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$40	47	0	+47	open	—	05-02 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 01:05
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Riders	3	$28	71	69	+2	open	—	04-26 18:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$24	25	23	+2	open	—	04-27 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	05-02 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-03 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$19	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$18	26	26	+0	open	—	05-19 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	05-01 01:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	5	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-06 19:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$14	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-06 00:15
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	04-29 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$14	8	8	+0	open	—	05-20 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 01:10
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	3	$12	19	17	+3	open	—	05-19 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-02 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-04 02:09
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	2	$12	13	13	+0	Mumbai Indians	+$2	05-04 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-30 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	04-27 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	05-02 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 02:59:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa19c9e…
05-21 02:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xf11ee8…
05-21 02:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0091eb…
05-21 02:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x402599…
05-21 02:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x740261…
05-20 23:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	7¢	$0	0xf22610…
05-20 23:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xffe57e…
05-20 23:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x83f4f6…
05-20 23:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5785fa…
05-20 23:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd1cebd…
05-20 23:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xdba09e…
05-20 23:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8b0e0a…
05-20 23:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x4e2ea4…
05-20 23:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xab5b6f…
05-20 22:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0x10bba1…
05-20 22:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x76ca9d…
05-20 22:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x713397…
05-20 22:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7aaf2a…
05-20 22:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x8001f1…
05-20 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x5e9256…
05-20 22:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0xc0bdbc…
05-20 22:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xdea51d…
05-20 22:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2b73d9…
05-19 15:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x5f2726…
05-19 15:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x2f6d20…
05-19 15:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x07bfc4…
05-19 14:46:08	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfc332f…
05-19 14:45:15	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	17	33¢	$5	0x40b375…
05-19 14:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x206149…
05-19 14:21:38	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0xe30b98…
05-19 00:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xd8be69…
05-19 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x6261f2…
05-19 00:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb5374c…
05-19 00:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa96fec…
05-19 00:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xeb692f…
05-19 00:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x743bf0…
05-19 00:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3026ce…
05-18 23:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xab45c2…
05-18 23:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x457b18…
05-18 23:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x813385…
05-18 23:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xd8f4b6…
05-18 23:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x19f8b2…
05-18 23:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8e23eb…
05-18 23:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xeb1e6d…
05-18 23:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x03dd71…
05-18 23:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf1f9e7…
05-18 23:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xbc603c…
05-18 22:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf25f29…
05-17 22:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6244f1…
05-17 22:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f04d8…
05-17 21:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd7ce06…
05-07 12:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3f95b8…
05-07 12:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x9e9a0d…
05-07 12:40:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3a8eff…
05-07 12:39:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xb916d1…
05-07 00:34:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x536bfe…
05-07 00:31:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb32455…
05-06 22:58:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0xe5b819…
05-06 22:55:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8346a1…
05-06 21:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x16f2ee…
05-06 21:45:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x665b98…
05-06 20:55:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf7e8e3…
05-06 20:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6afeef…
05-06 19:40:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x43c412…
05-06 19:40:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x0eaa5d…
05-06 19:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9d29f3…
05-06 19:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xeb11bb…
05-06 02:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1faf70…
05-06 01:27:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x6cdc46…
05-06 01:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x92e5b1…
05-06 01:21:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xed8859…
05-06 00:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x09a5f1…
05-06 00:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x1e2b9e…
05-06 00:09:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0x099f08…
05-06 00:06:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x3daf27…
05-05 23:30:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x255b76…
05-04 21:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0xd35db0…
05-04 21:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x81abc9…
05-04 21:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x47a7dc…
05-04 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1f4d19…
05-04 21:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd29c1a…
05-04 20:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1d55e4…
05-04 15:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x27ad70…
05-04 15:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xdbc985…
05-04 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5e8b2e…
05-04 15:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x24bc2a…
05-04 15:14:52	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x4332da…
05-04 15:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x2c89ca…
05-04 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xda9ede…
05-04 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1f37b7…
05-04 14:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x81a953…
05-04 13:58:24	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Lucknow Super Giants	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2840d8…
05-04 11:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0x3d6f60…
05-04 11:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1811fc…
05-04 05:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x76f81f…
05-04 05:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x33604f…
05-04 05:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x54c035…
05-04 05:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbda14a…
05-04 05:31:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe66306…
05-04 05:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x3e0871…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	201	$132.6K	5,585	05-21 03:00
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	196	$52.3K	15,509	05-21 02:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	195	$57.3K	17,386	05-21 02:59
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	195	$53.9K	9,209	05-21 02:59
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	193	$102.5K	8,083	05-21 02:55
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	193	$59.5K	10,377	05-21 02:59
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	191	$19.9K	4,715	05-21 02:54
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	190	$309.4K	13,741	05-21 02:59