Concerned-Grip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.7%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$107

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-11 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

50% 0% -$3

Crypto

39% 90% +$1

Politics

9% 0% $0

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$598	300	300	+0	No	$0	01-22 05:39
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$522	262	262	+0	No	$0	05-25 12:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$466	234	234	+0	No	$0	03-27 06:17
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	2	$268	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-28 08:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	07-11 08:51
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	07-05 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	04-30 06:34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	06-28 02:41
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	04-22 15:26
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$260	131	131	+0	open	—	06-15 14:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$259	130	130	+0	No	$0	03-31 08:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$258	130	130	+0	No	$0	04-10 12:58
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 13:18
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-24 10:56
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 06:28
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 80 99	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-29 12:21
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-08 16:41
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 14:46
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 08:40
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-06 05:55
elon musk of tweets january 2026 840 879	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-09 10:06
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-22 08:01
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-18 09:14
will the next dutch government be another combination	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-10 09:45
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-15 09:48
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 560 579	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-15 09:56
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-28 06:57
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-06 10:18
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-06 12:38
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-20 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 08:52:41	will bitcoin dip to 58k on july 11	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xc1123e…
07-11 08:51:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xe8f331…
07-11 08:51:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x89b9a0…
07-05 06:54:46	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x61d2f8…
07-05 06:54:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xcdbe0f…
07-05 06:54:01	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xf24e8a…
06-28 02:46:16	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x42978b…
06-28 02:41:28	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x0279ef…
06-28 02:41:08	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xb3feba…
06-15 14:21:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 15?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xb719c0…
06-15 14:17:31	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	131	99¢	$130	0x906324…
06-15 14:16:57	Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	131	99¢	$130	0xfdadf6…
05-25 12:38:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xebd61e…
05-25 12:37:29	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xe80b86…
05-25 12:37:22	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x8ffb1f…
05-20 10:54:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x0ac257…
05-20 10:52:07	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0xb06789…
05-20 10:51:37	Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x876088…
04-30 06:37:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x46d942…
04-30 06:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$130	0x6b6374…
04-30 06:34:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x58cf29…
04-27 11:03:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xd1baf4…
04-24 12:12:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on April 24?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x59fab4…
04-22 15:27:00	will bitcoin reach 85k on april 22	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xc983cd…
04-22 15:26:32	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	130	100¢	$130	0xcb62f9…
04-22 15:26:24	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x85cb4b…
04-10 12:58:41	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x1a6755…
04-10 12:58:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x183fc2…
04-10 12:57:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0x3bda94…
03-31 08:33:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x1bb4c0…
03-31 08:32:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	130	99¢	$129	0x8ffbc4…
03-31 08:31:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x2d9ba9…
03-28 08:51:41	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x9dd0cc…
03-28 08:51:29	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0xb32eb5…
03-28 08:49:47	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x5c11e1…
03-28 08:49:29	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x3a2670…
03-27 06:18:19	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 27	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x8c1d5a…
03-27 06:17:27	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x12d6a4…
03-27 06:17:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x4ab05f…
03-25 06:23:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 25	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa9d023…
03-25 06:22:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb8992f…
03-25 06:22:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x881178…
03-22 08:01:39	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4a3172…
03-22 08:01:15	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd4d458…
03-22 08:01:03	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 560 579	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdab048…
03-18 09:14:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf409b8…
03-18 09:14:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x41b5d1…
03-18 09:14:05	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x57febf…
03-16 13:19:13	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 78000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc81426…
03-16 13:18:43	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9fb407…
03-16 13:18:29	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe83110…
03-15 09:57:09	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b6518…
03-15 09:56:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 560 579	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x857b6e…
03-15 09:55:55	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 560 579	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4ff2e0…
03-12 06:28:39	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1f7eac…
03-12 06:28:19	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbbb44b…
03-12 06:28:07	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9600d5…
03-08 16:45:25	will bitcoin reach 76k march 2 8	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x99ec8a…
03-08 16:41:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbd51a7…
03-08 16:41:11	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 440 459	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x20d0f5…
03-06 05:56:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc08492…
03-06 05:55:59	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x19b689…
03-06 05:55:45	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xedd82c…
03-02 09:24:13	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6aea73…
03-02 09:21:35	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x95dd1d…
03-02 09:21:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0f1e2b…
02-10 09:46:21	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeaff78…
02-10 09:45:41	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xd01266…
02-10 09:45:29	will the next dutch government be another combination	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11ff36…
02-06 12:38:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 6	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc8b5a5…
02-06 12:38:01	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x83e855…
02-06 12:37:49	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf6af46…
02-02 14:46:44	bitcoin above 84k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfdf16e…
02-02 14:46:14	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x09f3d1…
02-02 14:46:02	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 700 719	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11c7f4…
01-31 08:41:22	bitcoin above 88k on january 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1681eb…
01-31 08:40:42	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8ec4a3…
01-31 08:40:28	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc3fedd…
01-29 12:33:46	bitcoin above 84k on january 29	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x286fe8…
01-29 12:21:10	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 80 99	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8fa3f2…
01-29 12:20:58	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 80 99	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb3ee6d…
01-28 06:59:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01d447…
01-28 06:57:49	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8a6baa…
01-28 06:50:49	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf32dbb…
01-24 10:57:14	bitcoin above 94k on january 24	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd0a4ba…
01-24 10:56:32	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x63d3ef…
01-24 10:56:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbbe689…
01-22 05:40:22	bitcoin above 96k on january 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1c4652…
01-22 05:39:48	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x23cb43…
01-22 05:39:28	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xabf8ce…
01-20 07:14:32	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$4	0x687ee8…
01-20 07:13:44	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f83eb…
01-20 07:13:04	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf0d67e…
01-20 07:12:48	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1e6c1d…
01-15 10:04:16	bitcoin above 92k on january 15	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x83a67e…
01-15 09:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x497aa4…
01-15 09:59:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x267e02…
01-15 09:48:52	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb72316…
01-15 09:48:24	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1160 1199	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3b40d4…
01-15 09:41:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x3fdecd…