Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$857

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

351

Trades

433

lifetime

Volume

$33.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-10-11

last 10-16 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 60% -$684

Other

7% 55% -$173

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 202 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+7	$4	76¢	$5	+$2	10-12 22:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,340	1,340	+0	Down	+$185	10-14 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	12	$1.6K	1,291	1,291	+0	Down	+$978	10-11 21:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	3	$1.3K	921	921	+0	Down	+$306	10-14 07:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	4	$1.2K	3,520	0	+3,520	Down	-$1,200	10-14 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	4	$1.2K	3,244	0	+3,244	Up	-$985	10-14 12:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	4	$1.1K	4,260	0	+4,260	Down	-$1,126	10-14 12:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:35 UTC	3	$861	1,773	0	+1,773	Up	+$912	10-14 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	2	$700	1,509	0	+1,509	Up	+$809	10-14 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:10 UTC	2	$689	556	556	+0	Down	+$389	10-14 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	2	$515	1,289	0	+1,289	Up	+$775	10-14 17:15
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 13?	1	$454	597	0	+597	No	+$143	10-12 13:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	2	$450	1,217	0	+1,217	Up	-$450	10-14 12:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	2	$401	271	271	+0	Up	+$102	10-14 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:50 UTC	2	$375	749	0	+749	Up	+$374	10-14 07:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC	2	$275	748	0	+748	Up	+$369	10-14 07:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	1	$252	1,252	0	+1,252	Down	-$252	10-15 06:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:40 UTC	1	$200	891	0	+891	Down	-$200	10-14 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	1	$200	308	0	+308	Down	-$200	10-14 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$200	507	0	+507	Up	-$200	10-11 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$200	501	0	+501	Down	-$200	10-11 20:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:00 UTC	10	$187	117	117	+0	Down	+$37	10-13 21:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:50 UTC	2	$184	113	113	+0	Down	+$34	10-14 00:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 20:55 UTC	2	$180	117	117	+0	Up	+$30	10-13 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:05 UTC	2	$178	104	104	+0	Down	+$28	10-14 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	1	$165	199	0	+199	No	+$34	10-12 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$161	94	94	+0	Down	+$11	10-12 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	2	$151	258	0	+258	Down	-$151	10-14 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	1	$150	211	0	+211	Down	+$61	10-14 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	1	$150	230	0	+230	Down	+$80	10-14 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:55 UTC	1	$150	254	0	+254	Down	-$150	10-14 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 07:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	432	28¢	$121	0x132f15…
10-15 06:47:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1,252	20¢	$252	0x83a2ae…
10-15 06:42:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	269	29¢	$78	0xf64195…
10-14 17:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	132	36¢	$47	0x707c6c…
10-14 17:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,642	34¢	$553	0x4f6fe4…
10-14 17:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	618	35¢	$217	0x2120dc…
10-14 17:25:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,129	34¢	$383	0x083a7f…
10-14 17:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:20 UTC	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x3c5d7c…
10-14 17:15:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	113	41¢	$46	0x7a9992…
10-14 17:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1,176	40¢	$468	0xe78030…
10-14 17:13:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	556	97¢	$539	0xae00f0…
10-14 17:10:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	556	27¢	$150	0xd7945b…
10-14 17:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x94df3a…
10-14 17:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 14?	No	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0x1ff481…
10-14 12:22:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,146	11¢	$126	0x41b707…
10-14 12:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,460	31¢	$456	0xaea9f0…
10-14 12:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1,346	33¢	$440	0xa881ed…
10-14 12:20:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	307	34¢	$104	0x8a9362…
10-14 12:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	1,282	85¢	$1,086	0xaa8c9d…
10-14 12:18:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	58	84¢	$49	0x5af0d1…
10-14 12:17:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1,087	74¢	$800	0xfefa48…
10-14 12:15:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	253	59¢	$150	0xc4dff4…
10-14 12:11:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x25a176…
10-14 12:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	215	70¢	$150	0x859331…
10-14 12:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2,503	38¢	$954	0x7bbfa7…
10-14 12:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	109	42¢	$46	0xa8d1af…
10-14 12:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	968	31¢	$300	0x57d3ef…
10-14 12:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	250	60¢	$150	0x3b2419…
10-14 12:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	271	93¢	$252	0xe77bde…
10-14 12:00:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	271	55¢	$149	0x83906e…
10-14 11:55:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	202	74¢	$150	0xc1497f…
10-14 11:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x7b89f5…
10-14 11:47:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf4e9d0…
10-14 11:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	262	57¢	$150	0xc9e8ce…
10-14 11:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:10 UTC	Down	BUY	226	66¢	$149	0xa03b1e…
10-14 11:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	198	75¢	$150	0x353034…
10-14 10:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	216	69¢	$149	0x40a440…
10-14 10:50:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	236	63¢	$149	0xef3052…
10-14 10:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	202	74¢	$150	0xcf925e…
10-14 10:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	241	62¢	$149	0xa6a226…
10-14 10:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	224	67¢	$150	0x3baeea…
10-14 10:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	184	81¢	$150	0xfaff57…
10-14 10:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:25 UTC	Up	BUY	253	59¢	$149	0x5fe98d…
10-14 10:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	192	78¢	$150	0xe08122…
10-14 10:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	258	58¢	$149	0x2c0923…
10-14 10:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	250	60¢	$149	0xec5b7c…
10-14 09:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	254	59¢	$150	0x02a1da…
10-14 09:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	194	77¢	$150	0x43ec0a…
10-14 09:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	211	71¢	$150	0x0f6517…
10-14 09:39:11	Will Carlos Prates be the UFC Welterweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,046	10¢	$100	0xb0f6e9…
10-14 09:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	225	67¢	$150	0x58dba0…
10-14 09:30:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	230	65¢	$150	0x1534ad…
10-14 09:25:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0xbf01cd…
10-14 09:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	249	60¢	$149	0x073c23…
10-14 09:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0x2884c5…
10-14 09:05:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	281	53¢	$149	0xb98d9e…
10-14 08:55:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	223	67¢	$150	0x892411…
10-14 08:49:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb5fb84…
10-14 08:45:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	233	64¢	$150	0xd96948…
10-14 08:40:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	185	63¢	$116	0x1a4cb3…
10-14 08:35:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	227	66¢	$150	0x7e7014…
10-14 08:30:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	267	56¢	$150	0x8c3a98…
10-14 08:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	509	39¢	$200	0xbfc742…
10-14 08:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xf37c08…
10-14 08:24:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	308	65¢	$200	0x9b68d7…
10-14 08:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0x7a9027…
10-14 08:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	208	72¢	$150	0xe534e8…
10-14 07:55:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0x3b3339…
10-14 07:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	647	46¢	$300	0x2e2322…
10-14 07:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	102	73¢	$75	0x6519ff…
10-14 07:45:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	644	31¢	$200	0xe9f168…
10-14 07:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x44d6d6…
10-14 07:43:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	891	22¢	$200	0x75a30c…
10-14 07:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	638	49¢	$310	0x50a5ef…
10-14 07:36:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1,027	46¢	$476	0x1cd43f…
10-14 07:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	108	69¢	$75	0x914910…
10-14 07:33:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	SELL	921	85¢	$781	0xed5f37…
10-14 07:31:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	796	50¢	$400	0x924585…
10-14 07:30:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0xd16c63…
10-14 07:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	129	58¢	$75	0xc1a5b3…
10-14 07:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	117	64¢	$75	0xe9b7b2…
10-14 07:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	105	71¢	$75	0x48baec…
10-14 07:05:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:05 UTC	Up	BUY	118	63¢	$75	0x23a34b…
10-14 07:00:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	114	66¢	$75	0x854fe8…
10-14 06:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x89dfd3…
10-14 06:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0x4c0111…
10-14 06:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	148	51¢	$75	0xf2b8fa…
10-14 06:10:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	121	62¢	$75	0x583647…
10-14 06:00:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xbe2ed4…
10-14 05:45:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0xf3cf39…
10-14 05:40:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xc49e7e…
10-14 05:35:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	46	63¢	$29	0xbffd7e…
10-14 05:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	108	70¢	$75	0x4d2e88…
10-14 05:25:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	121	62¢	$75	0x8da8a0…
10-14 05:20:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0xf1b778…
10-14 05:15:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	80	67¢	$53	0xbf8bc4…
10-14 05:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	113	66¢	$75	0x638716…
10-14 04:50:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	101	74¢	$75	0x593235…
10-14 04:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:45 UTC	Up	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0xcf4ac8…
10-14 04:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	104	72¢	$75	0x581161…