Excitable-Keep — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.3%

Resolved

Trades

571

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 07-03 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 57% +$31

Other

7% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-25

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773436800	2	$285	203	200	+3	open	—	03-13 21:22
btc updown 5m 1773431100	3	$273	187	127	+60	open	—	03-13 19:50
btc updown 5m 1773436200	2	$245	124	124	+0	open	—	03-13 21:15
btc updown 5m 1775478000	2	$245	157	153	+4	open	—	04-06 12:24
btc updown 5m 1773435600	2	$224	125	124	+1	open	—	03-13 21:05
btc updown 5m 1773426000	2	$222	113	113	+0	open	—	03-13 18:25
btc updown 5m 1775490300	2	$195	130	126	+4	open	—	04-06 15:50
btc updown 5m 1776063000	2	$187	145	138	+7	open	—	04-13 06:55
btc updown 5m 1773423600	2	$183	103	102	+1	open	—	03-13 17:45
btc updown 5m 1775472000	2	$179	109	107	+2	open	—	04-06 10:44
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 22c	4	$172	348	336	+12	open	—	04-04 07:38
btc updown 5m 1773437100	2	$171	90	90	+0	open	—	03-13 21:28
btc updown 5m 1773418500	2	$166	86	85	+0	open	—	03-13 16:18
btc updown 5m 1775471100	2	$160	82	82	+0	open	—	04-06 10:30
btc updown 5m 1773360900	2	$159	82	82	+0	open	—	03-13 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775468400	2	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	04-06 09:45
btc updown 5m 1773439500	2	$157	109	107	+2	open	—	03-13 22:10
btc updown 5m 1775467800	2	$154	79	79	+0	open	—	04-06 09:35
btc updown 5m 1773409500	2	$150	82	82	+0	open	—	03-13 13:50
btc updown 5m 1773428100	2	$146	114	112	+2	open	—	03-13 18:59
btc updown 5m 1773441900	2	$144	74	74	+0	open	—	03-13 22:50
btc updown 5m 1775467500	2	$144	76	75	+1	open	—	04-06 09:30
btc updown 5m 1773437400	2	$140	92	91	+1	open	—	03-13 21:35
btc updown 5m 1775467200	2	$137	69	68	+0	open	—	04-06 09:25
btc updown 5m 1773433200	2	$136	88	87	+1	open	—	03-13 20:25
btc updown 5m 1776371100	2	$132	90	89	+2	open	—	04-16 20:28
btc updown 5m 1775489700	2	$131	72	71	+1	open	—	04-06 15:40
btc updown 5m 1773440400	2	$124	69	68	+0	open	—	03-13 22:25
btc updown 5m 1773404700	2	$124	63	63	+0	open	—	03-13 12:30
highest temperature in shanghai on april 4 2026 21c	2	$121	123	120	+3	open	—	04-04 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 13:28:05	btc updown 5m 1783085100	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xdeb37d…
07-03 13:27:47	btc updown 5m 1783085100	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x1c7431…
07-03 00:25:52	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0x4d37b1…
07-03 00:21:37	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0xf381df…
07-01 17:24:23	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread away 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe48c30…
06-12 14:33:37	btc updown 5m 1781274900	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0a06f9…
06-12 14:33:18	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8e5377…
06-12 03:19:33	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	45	28¢	$13	0xb39bb0…
06-11 19:39:43	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x4d10be…
06-11 19:33:06	btc updown 5m 1781206500	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0fa213…
06-11 17:57:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x363eb0…
06-11 16:45:42	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x46852f…
06-09 03:17:48	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x865961…
06-09 03:10:43	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x989e9a…
06-09 02:58:27	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 27pt5	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xff127d…
06-08 15:01:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points jalen brunson 25pt5	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x933b81…
06-08 15:01:42	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 27pt5	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x75469c…
06-08 15:01:34	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 26pt5	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x1d2503…
06-05 12:50:51	btc updown 5m 1780663800	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf22403…
06-05 11:51:27	btc updown 5m 1780660200	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xfdc4b1…
06-05 11:07:57	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xaa0a42…
06-01 15:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x10375c…
06-01 14:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x6bb8fa…
06-01 14:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x825f49…
06-01 10:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa392d7…
06-01 10:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x70e925…
06-01 10:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x11b67b…
06-01 10:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0x7ac4d6…
06-01 10:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x6be566…
06-01 10:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf944ce…
06-01 10:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8bd53b…
06-01 10:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xc7096c…
06-01 10:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x952056…
06-01 10:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x9ff816…
06-01 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf8ce89…
06-01 09:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x274a24…
06-01 09:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0x6e17a9…
06-01 09:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8fa2ee…
06-01 09:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2cbf96…
06-01 09:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1938d0…
06-01 09:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	91¢	$8	0xc3a6a5…
06-01 09:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1c8f58…
06-01 09:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x741921…
06-01 08:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa61f49…
06-01 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x93ca0d…
06-01 08:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	23	93¢	$22	0x78873a…
06-01 08:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x91f112…
06-01 08:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0xdb6748…
06-01 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x737515…
06-01 08:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	60¢	$21	0x49067d…
06-01 08:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xa2cd30…
06-01 08:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xea382d…
06-01 07:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4b51b1…
06-01 07:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xebf0aa…
06-01 07:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb70bff…
06-01 06:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc65741…
06-01 06:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x50ab5f…
06-01 06:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x92c68e…
06-01 05:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xb08291…
06-01 05:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xb0c1f6…
06-01 05:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x1c8db8…
06-01 05:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x4146a8…
06-01 05:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xd267a0…
06-01 05:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6e1059…
06-01 05:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbc9c4a…
06-01 05:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	26	6¢	$2	0x00bcb2…
06-01 05:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x3aa1a8…
05-31 20:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x623312…
05-31 20:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x597e9d…
05-25 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$10	0x16eb75…
05-25 21:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xddb6ab…
05-25 17:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9503f6…
05-24 23:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x6f9ed5…
05-24 23:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xbf40c4…
05-24 23:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x677519…
05-24 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe1f582…
05-24 22:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x0fc6e1…
05-24 22:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xda8870…
05-24 19:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	29	68¢	$19	0xd60cc0…
05-24 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x92e440…
05-24 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7dcf26…
05-24 13:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x239ef9…
05-18 09:31:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc317e1…
05-18 09:22:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x7f6a18…
05-18 09:19:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	95¢	$15	0x7d74cc…
05-18 09:15:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7636e7…
05-18 09:03:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0xffcbfa…
05-18 09:01:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0a0182…
05-18 08:55:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2ad8fc…
05-18 08:52:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$15	0x73464b…
05-18 08:50:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8541ce…
05-18 08:49:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1f020d…
05-18 08:05:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	40¢	$15	0x48f0d0…
05-18 08:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xf5b5be…
05-18 07:50:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8dc652…
05-18 07:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x069e04…
05-18 07:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xfb6533…
05-18 07:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x6a44f8…
05-18 07:30:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0b5f35…
05-18 07:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9bd0dc…