Second-Hand-Intentionality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$147

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

Trades

204

lifetime

Volume

$8.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-04 00:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

63% 56% -$185

Politics

25% 75% +$76

Sports

8% 33% -$55

Crypto

2% 67% +$17

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-04).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	19	$1.4K	1,180	1,080	+100	Yes	+$303	02-11 11:11
cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	9	$1.1K	700	700	+0	Vitality	+$6	02-14 15:11
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$687	354	354	+0	Yes	-$13	02-06 02:48
us x iran meeting by february 6 2026	3	$498	250	250	+0	Yes	+$1	02-07 02:23
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	3	$374	600	600	+0	Yes	+$88	02-12 02:29
will the bad bunny apple music super bowl halftime show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1	19	$364	271	305	-34	Yes	-$5	02-10 01:14
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	10	$306	700	700	+0	No	-$196	02-11 23:34
cs2 aur1 fut 2026 02 14	4	$233	400	0	+400	FUT Esports	-$233	02-14 05:59
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	11	$233	332	202	+130	No	-$72	02-10 17:54
will the super bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds 745	7	$224	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	02-08 22:40
rojas guilty in texas illegal abortion case	5	$216	115	115	+0	No	+$7	02-10 16:00
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$200	270	0	+270	No	+$70	01-12 23:46
cs2 mglz pain 2026 02 14	3	$195	238	238	+0	TheMongolz	-$5	02-14 14:33
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?	2	$183	200	0	+200	No	+$17	02-06 03:46
mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	1	$176	200	0	+200	Canada	+$24	02-13 00:14
cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	1	$175	500	0	+500	MOUZ	-$175	02-14 09:25
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	21	$170	248	241	+7	Yes	+$28	02-11 06:45
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$166	83	83	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 08:07
will trump say iran 7 times during meeting with netanyahu 165	7	$137	126	126	+0	No	+$1	02-10 15:29
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	3	$134	80	80	+0	No	+$25	01-15 06:58
will trump say peace 8 times during meeting with netanyahu 167	3	$116	115	115	+0	No	-$3	02-10 15:29
internet access restored in iran by friday	9	$110	183	111	+72	No	-$28	01-16 22:29
cs2 furia b8 2026 02 14	1	$100	118	0	+118	FURIA	+$18	02-14 11:36
cs2 fal2 3dmax 2026 02 14	1	$80	100	0	+100	Team Falcons	+$20	02-14 04:51
will send help be the highest grossing movie this weekend	4	$79	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	02-07 03:29
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	2	$69	50	50	+0	No	+$29	01-07 02:24
cs2 navi ast10 2026 02 14	1	$67	100	0	+100	Natus Vincere	+$33	02-14 04:53
will bad bunny win 3 grammys	1	$64	65	0	+65	Yes	+$1	02-02 06:20
will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 28	1	$60	79	0	+79	No	-$60	02-10 04:45
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	01-11 23:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 00:25:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 00:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4bee8e…
05-04 21:24:50	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x6c1b77…
02-16 02:52:45	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	No	BUY	253	1¢	$3	0x308f26…
02-14 15:11:39	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x5502b5…
02-14 15:11:35	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0xceb1e0…
02-14 15:11:33	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x5d381d…
02-14 15:11:33	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	250	82¢	$205	0x14e7ed…
02-14 14:40:13	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xdc1d91…
02-14 14:37:07	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	310	81¢	$251	0x1f8fe7…
02-14 14:36:59	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0x7fd51c…
02-14 14:33:13	cs2 mglz pain 2026 02 14	paiN	SELL	75	40¢	$30	0x308a2a…
02-14 14:33:09	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14 map handicap away 1pt5	Vitality	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xf746d4…
02-14 14:32:49	cs2 mglz pain 2026 02 14	paiN	SELL	164	40¢	$65	0xa0ae05…
02-14 14:17:31	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	BUY	600	81¢	$486	0x5bf3e0…
02-14 11:36:41	cs2 furia b8 2026 02 14	FURIA	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9f6236…
02-14 11:36:29	cs2 mglz pain 2026 02 14	paiN	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x7a6e8b…
02-14 09:25:51	cs2 mouz prv 2026 02 14	PARIVISION	BUY	500	35¢	$175	0x999e8b…
02-14 05:59:39	cs2 aur1 fut 2026 02 14	Aurora Gaming	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0x1007c4…
02-14 04:54:29	cs2 aur1 fut 2026 02 14	Aurora Gaming	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x106b4e…
02-14 04:53:33	cs2 aur1 fut 2026 02 14	Aurora Gaming	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xea0600…
02-14 04:53:11	cs2 navi ast10 2026 02 14	Natus Vincere	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x87673c…
02-14 04:52:53	cs2 aur1 fut 2026 02 14	Aurora Gaming	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xaf411d…
02-14 04:51:21	cs2 fal2 3dmax 2026 02 14	Team Falcons	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xc5835a…
02-14 04:48:13	cs2 vit g2 2026 02 14	Vitality	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x169268…
02-14 04:24:09	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x9f8766…
02-13 00:14:21	mwoh can swi 2026 02 13	Canada	BUY	200	88¢	$176	0xbbd483…
02-12 11:48:43	Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?	Yes	SELL	300	6¢	$18	0xf61df4…
02-12 11:44:43	Will 100 Thieves qualify to a S-tier tournament by June 1 ?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0x4f4103…
02-12 02:29:23	will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	600	38¢	$231	0x72aec9…
02-12 00:06:21	will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x246514…
02-11 23:49:57	will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$101	0xfee7a2…
02-11 23:34:19	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xc4d799…
02-11 23:34:19	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x8e8b9c…
02-11 23:34:19	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x440e7d…
02-11 23:34:19	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	60	21¢	$12	0x20f757…
02-11 23:34:19	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x0779ce…
02-11 23:16:43	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xf7bad6…
02-11 23:06:51	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	550	2¢	$13	0x57e313…
02-11 22:34:15	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x28fb22…
02-11 22:12:01	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xcb4b56…
02-11 22:07:37	will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	No	BUY	500	45¢	$225	0x3cf8d3…
02-11 16:23:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x017412…
02-11 12:37:15	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd3c08c…
02-11 11:11:23	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	675	83¢	$560	0x65f4ae…
02-11 06:46:21	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0xc1fb02…
02-11 06:45:43	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf4bdb9…
02-11 06:45:33	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x247177…
02-11 06:43:39	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xb29a01…
02-11 06:42:27	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x3d48d9…
02-11 06:42:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x6ad384…
02-11 06:41:35	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	SELL	41	40¢	$16	0xfdf443…
02-11 06:07:29	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xf12692…
02-11 05:16:07	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	41	39¢	$16	0xea0c5c…
02-11 04:47:33	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	42	54¢	$23	0x892fbd…
02-11 04:47:13	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	75	58¢	$44	0x3baef2…
02-11 04:32:53	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0xca4ed3…
02-11 04:32:17	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	130	54¢	$70	0xda1970…
02-11 04:25:41	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xc2f9da…
02-11 04:18:11	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	250	51¢	$128	0xdf738e…
02-11 04:01:47	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa725e5…
02-11 04:01:17	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0xd77f4f…
02-11 03:58:25	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x9daacd…
02-11 03:52:53	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xed6a0e…
02-11 03:25:15	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x494a09…
02-11 03:18:25	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xc9a65b…
02-11 03:14:23	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x5e4f15…
02-11 03:12:11	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	205	46¢	$94	0x15268f…
02-11 03:03:35	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x73eb20…
02-11 02:46:13	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xaef303…
02-11 02:43:17	will agi incs market cap be less than 2pt75b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xf6d910…
02-11 02:29:41	will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$4	0x19cb35…
02-11 01:09:45	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0xd048b5…
02-10 21:39:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xbd0721…
02-10 21:38:35	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc519cb…
02-10 21:32:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xa2b3b0…
02-10 21:18:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xea46c6…
02-10 18:12:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x4d3615…
02-10 18:12:51	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x695d9b…
02-10 18:05:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x068873…
02-10 17:54:39	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	Yes	SELL	5	28¢	$2	0x8407cd…
02-10 17:51:17	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x7e0099…
02-10 17:45:35	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xbca3c8…
02-10 17:43:53	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	Yes	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0x1a1bb5…
02-10 17:35:53	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x48c1ba…
02-10 17:24:57	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0xf55352…
02-10 17:23:13	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	SELL	1	35¢	$1	0x8fb87a…
02-10 17:00:11	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x6a89ff…
02-10 16:48:19	will trump say gaza 5 times during meeting with netanyahu	No	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x5b9a6e…
02-10 16:00:39	rojas guilty in texas illegal abortion case	No	SELL	108	97¢	$105	0x3aadf9…
02-10 15:48:57	will trumps meeting with netanyahu not air 536 717 855	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x10fc2f…
02-10 15:29:59	will trump say peace 8 times during meeting with netanyahu 167	Yes	SELL	115	49¢	$56	0xea59f5…
02-10 15:29:43	will trump say iran 7 times during meeting with netanyahu 165	Yes	SELL	126	55¢	$69	0x006022…
02-10 15:13:25	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa8410d…
02-10 15:13:25	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x89ae18…
02-10 15:13:23	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 11	Yes	BUY	54	35¢	$19	0xa08a6e…
02-10 15:04:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	SELL	60	48¢	$29	0x5840d1…
02-10 14:47:47	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7fb8db…
02-10 13:27:11	will trump say iran 7 times during meeting with netanyahu 165	Yes	BUY	51	54¢	$27	0x90e4b6…
02-10 11:43:05	rojas guilty in texas illegal abortion case	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x20af57…
02-10 11:12:07	rojas guilty in texas illegal abortion case	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xec2429…