Spiffy-Shortage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

1,221

Trades

2,745

lifetime

Volume

$179.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 10-27 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

50% 35% -$1,424

Crypto

41% 43% +$1,711

Sports

9% 42% -$279

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 279 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Warriors vs. Nuggets	11	$1.8K	1,732	1,732	+0	Warriors	-$118	10-27 03:37
Will Maccabi Haifa FC win on 2026-10-12?	6	$1.6K	1,577	1,577	+0	Yes	+$216	10-12 19:00
Exact Score: Any Other Score?	2	$1.2K	1,067	1,067	+0	Yes	+$906	07-18 21:49
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?	2	$1.0K	831	831	+0	Yes	+$291	05-27 20:27
bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	5	$1.0K	1,369	1,369	+0	Up	+$164	10-01 13:48
Mavericks vs. Heat	7	$1.0K	1,592	1,592	+0	Mavericks	+$201	10-27 01:48
Spread: Maccabi Haifa FC (-1.5)	7	$961	1,065	1,065	+0	Maccabi Haifa FC	+$161	10-12 19:01
Spread: Real Valladolid CF (-1.5)	3	$954	769	769	+0	Real Valladolid CF	+$554	10-12 13:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?	8	$952	2,209	2,209	+0	No	+$478	06-26 01:03
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 2?	4	$915	967	967	+0	Down	+$115	06-01 21:30
Le Mans vs. Nanterre	3	$911	1,062	886	+177	Nanterre	-$89	05-27 17:24
Will Brazil win on 2026-05-31?	2	$900	501	501	+0	Yes	+$100	06-01 00:25
Spread: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (-1.5)	2	$898	815	815	+0	Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC	+$602	10-26 18:50
Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	6	$883	753	753	+0	open	—	10-27 20:53
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Real Madrid	6	$864	627	627	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$64	05-24 19:45
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky	3	$821	853	853	+0	Toronto Tempo	+$221	05-28 00:58
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?	4	$820	584	584	+0	No	+$20	05-17 14:27
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics	4	$814	922	675	+247	Washington Mystics	+$14	06-03 00:32
bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	4	$803	894	894	+0	Down	+$3	10-14 04:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?	2	$795	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$195	06-02 13:01
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	2	$789	621	621	+0	Yes	+$453	06-18 01:05
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5)	4	$776	1,103	1,103	+0	CR Flamengo	+$276	10-18 23:07
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?	3	$773	686	543	+143	No	+$173	05-13 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?	5	$769	749	749	+0	Down	+$169	09-01 08:29
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	3	$766	789	789	+0	Knicks	+$166	05-26 01:17
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)	2	$763	647	647	+0	Club Atlético de Madrid	+$427	08-29 20:28
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 4pt5	2	$762	1,522	1,522	+0	Over	+$549	07-06 01:51
Will Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC win on 2026-05-15?	4	$761	529	529	+0	Yes	+$169	05-15 14:39
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)	3	$740	1,782	1,050	+732	Getafe CF	+$246	10-19 20:18
Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	6	$740	1,014	0	+1,014	open	—	10-27 21:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6b21ab…
10-27 21:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x36954b…
10-27 21:45:30	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	81	74¢	$60	0x66c9ef…
10-27 21:40:59	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0xcc6ce3…
10-27 21:30:00	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	137	58¢	$80	0xcdef57…
10-27 20:53:42	Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	419	65¢	$272	0xe7cd4f…
10-27 14:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x0d8d0d…
10-27 14:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	264	24¢	$63	0x9b4108…
10-27 14:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x9b6c36…
10-27 14:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0x2d4419…
10-27 14:45:51	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	381	79¢	$300	0x529b14…
10-27 09:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0x5277b1…
10-27 09:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x9bb39c…
10-27 09:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x1268dd…
10-27 09:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	223	38¢	$85	0xe812c8…
10-27 09:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x0d79ec…
10-27 09:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x3edf23…
10-27 09:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x2d4bcc…
10-27 03:37:18	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	907	36¢	$327	0x04eefe…
10-27 03:27:35	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	354	48¢	$170	0x7d08c9…
10-27 03:27:02	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x7b1487…
10-27 03:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	252	10¢	$25	0x12678a…
10-27 03:19:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	345	58¢	$200	0xf1cba5…
10-27 03:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x50bdb6…
10-27 03:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x25afd4…
10-27 03:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xf4e1bf…
10-27 03:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb37cdb…
10-27 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	69	66¢	$46	0xb9b8ac…
10-27 03:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xaf96df…
10-27 03:09:45	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	495	56¢	$277	0x6525b6…
10-27 02:43:24	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x6c6b7c…
10-27 02:42:53	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xa9a7c4…
10-27 02:42:50	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x0d58e8…
10-27 02:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	74	8¢	$6	0x9c92c9…
10-27 02:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x7f3782…
10-27 02:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	47	16¢	$8	0x7983b8…
10-27 02:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xd3a727…
10-27 02:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	96	45¢	$44	0x8c6562…
10-27 02:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x77c9ca…
10-27 02:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	184	28¢	$52	0x975919…
10-27 02:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	184	14¢	$25	0xdee7b6…
10-27 02:31:09	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	SELL	331	75¢	$248	0xaa2b1e…
10-27 02:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc227e1…
10-27 02:16:51	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x2c84a2…
10-27 02:16:27	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xf265f9…
10-27 01:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x521e74…
10-27 01:51:14	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	422	24¢	$100	0x6fff27…
10-27 01:48:38	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	SELL	303	76¢	$230	0x1b2bd4…
10-27 01:31:41	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0xb30c26…
10-27 01:18:32	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x2b3636…
10-27 01:18:14	Will Shas win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xc2e82c…
10-27 01:15:59	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	SELL	400	15¢	$60	0x9ffdac…
10-27 01:05:23	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x50572e…
10-27 00:45:15	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	SELL	889	35¢	$311	0xab55be…
10-27 00:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xa43f66…
10-27 00:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	278	50¢	$138	0xb54844…
10-27 00:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x30ee38…
10-27 00:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x1ba916…
10-27 00:14:06	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x772f9e…
10-27 00:04:30	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xa66826…
10-26 22:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0xe8c519…
10-26 22:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	35¢	$15	0xc541d8…
10-26 22:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	250	46¢	$115	0x6bcfed…
10-26 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0x93eb3d…
10-26 21:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	114	8¢	$9	0x4de0cc…
10-26 21:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xb1f3df…
10-26 21:08:02	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	SELL	417	5¢	$20	0x6688df…
10-26 20:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x3d5827…
10-26 20:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x93fb0b…
10-26 20:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x9cf48d…
10-26 20:29:56	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	1,298	8¢	$100	0xb0c5ce…
10-26 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xfc6111…
10-26 20:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xe0d030…
10-26 20:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	85¢	$12	0x3e4a9f…
10-26 20:20:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x212f45…
10-26 20:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0xbda1fa…
10-26 20:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x784dec…
10-26 19:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x6280f1…
10-26 19:54:27	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x0c5baa…
10-26 19:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	74	45¢	$33	0x307172…
10-26 19:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x619cb3…
10-26 19:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbd9662…
10-26 19:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	236	30¢	$71	0xb79803…
10-26 19:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x42c17c…
10-26 19:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x06f682…
10-26 19:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1878b4…
10-26 19:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	74	50¢	$37	0xf03e51…
10-26 19:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x007d6b…
10-26 19:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0xd23188…
10-26 19:22:42	Will Together win 8-10 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	261	10¢	$25	0x8a4d8f…
10-26 19:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x19e5f8…
10-26 19:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	156	56¢	$88	0xf1b395…
10-26 19:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xf2c822…
10-26 18:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0xd42401…
10-26 18:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xa98063…
10-26 18:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x30db56…
10-26 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0x1aea68…
10-26 18:50:53	Spread: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (-1.5)	Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC	SELL	815	92¢	$750	0xa87626…
10-26 17:00:15	Spread: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (-1.5)	Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC	BUY	815	18¢	$148	0xb671c4…
10-26 16:58:27	Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	171	58¢	$100	0x34ad58…