Flippant-Hormone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.68K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

9,006

Trades

22,523

lifetime

Volume

$118.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 11-02 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 217 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$2,677

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 329 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	92	$278	1,722	+1,722	Up	-$278	08-23 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	21	$225	978	+978	Up	-$225	08-13 21:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-09 13:15 UTC	49	$214	1,079	+1,079	Up	-$214	08-09 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	26	$199	864	+864	Up	-$199	08-13 20:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 21:30 UTC	17	$189	1,209	+1,209	Up	-$189	08-21 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	10	$187	815	+815	Up	-$187	08-13 21:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 05:30 UTC	37	$182	662	+662	Up	-$182	08-12 05:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 08:00 UTC	15	$182	635	+635	Down	+$454	08-12 08:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 05:00 UTC	44	$178	817	+817	Down	-$178	08-23 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	11	$168	231	+231	Up	+$63	06-14 07:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 09:30 UTC	22	$166	753	+753	Up	-$166	08-11 09:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 13:00 UTC	16	$165	590	+590	Up	-$165	08-13 13:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 15:30 UTC	10	$165	522	+522	Up	-$165	08-14 15:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 03:30 UTC	28	$165	485	+485	Down	+$320	08-08 03:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-23 02:15 UTC	26	$163	566	+566	Down	-$163	08-23 02:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 06:45 UTC	29	$160	737	+737	Up	+$577	08-11 06:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 19:45 UTC	20	$156	470	+470	Up	-$156	08-22 19:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 23:00 UTC	35	$154	659	+659	Down	-$154	08-31 23:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 23:30 UTC	16	$153	456	+456	Up	+$303	08-22 23:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-12 12:15 UTC	22	$145	626	+626	Up	-$145	08-12 12:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 20:45 UTC	45	$142	621	+621	Down	-$142	08-16 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	54	$142	893	+893	Down	-$142	09-13 08:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-14 17:15 UTC	13	$141	440	+440	Up	-$141	08-14 17:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 04:00 UTC	32	$138	627	+627	Up	-$138	07-21 04:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 16:45 UTC	22	$130	406	+406	Down	+$276	08-22 16:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 18:00 UTC	9	$130	265	+265	Up	+$135	08-13 18:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 16:45 UTC	6	$129	202	+202	Up	+$73	08-13 16:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-17 08:30 UTC	12	$127	379	+379	Down	-$127	08-17 08:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 18:45 UTC	6	$127	359	+359	Up	+$232	08-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	16	$126	443	+443	Up	-$126	07-29 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	8¢	$2	0x1977e1…
11-02 20:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x5127da…
11-02 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0xecf5b5…
11-02 20:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x5c8dc7…
11-02 19:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x64d67a…
11-02 19:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x08ceda…
11-02 19:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xee7d06…
11-02 17:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xb31735…
11-02 17:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xd489cf…
11-02 13:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xa69b31…
11-02 13:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4fdbc7…
11-02 13:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x0fe4d3…
11-02 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xfb3d46…
11-02 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xf467ae…
11-02 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe13063…
11-02 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xce0f07…
11-02 13:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x5573e7…
11-02 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x93ddd3…
11-02 13:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x1caa22…
11-02 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x2da605…
11-02 13:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xafb903…
11-02 13:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xfdf822…
11-02 13:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x165ffe…
11-02 11:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x57b739…
11-02 10:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x6746e0…
11-02 10:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa7a394…
11-02 08:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xdeeff3…
11-02 08:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xb244be…
11-02 08:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x49556c…
11-02 08:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xee3a24…
11-02 07:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xe3468c…
11-02 06:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x76dd70…
11-02 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	16¢	$7	0x96a52a…
11-02 02:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xb4e09a…
11-02 02:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xebd070…
11-02 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3503a9…
11-02 01:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	16¢	$8	0x0685b6…
11-02 00:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x2be581…
11-02 00:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xcab8d5…
11-02 00:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x267bd2…
11-01 20:19:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xffc426…
11-01 20:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0x992db6…
11-01 19:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xeda37b…
11-01 18:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x19601f…
11-01 16:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x4a2bfd…
11-01 16:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a89fd…
11-01 03:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xe83b92…
11-01 01:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xe96b80…
11-01 00:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe7ba5a…
10-31 22:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xcaa64d…
10-31 22:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xce446a…
10-31 22:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc2b549…
10-31 22:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$4	0xd2982f…
10-31 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x8055d1…
10-31 17:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xba947d…
10-31 17:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xa4e1b8…
10-31 17:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xf32ca3…
10-31 16:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	16¢	$5	0x222a6b…
10-31 15:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xb1295d…
10-31 11:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x9703d1…
10-31 11:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x32e4d5…
10-31 11:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xc1d1c5…
10-31 10:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x366bcc…
10-31 08:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe0a588…
10-31 08:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	16¢	$4	0x140bd4…
10-31 04:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x66680c…
10-31 00:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd3a5be…
10-31 00:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	33	16¢	$5	0x9a17ba…
10-30 23:33:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x0ce7db…
10-30 23:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	16¢	$5	0x010128…
10-30 22:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x37c4f2…
10-30 21:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0xb6a1cd…
10-30 21:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x94de1e…
10-30 21:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x153cca…
10-30 21:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x139281…
10-30 18:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x3ca09f…
10-30 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf08b28…
10-30 18:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf30dfb…
10-30 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xac9b67…
10-30 18:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x556b1c…
10-30 18:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x692dda…
10-30 15:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xb9d062…
10-30 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xe31fe5…
10-30 14:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x47a03b…
10-30 10:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2125df…
10-30 10:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xf0a8f1…
10-30 10:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x235b3b…
10-30 10:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x7b6325…
10-30 09:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	11¢	$0	0x1d64a6…
10-30 09:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x5c1b47…
10-30 09:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0x6fbd12…
10-30 09:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2b3ae6…
10-30 09:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x4f545f…
10-30 06:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	16¢	$3	0x23895a…
10-30 06:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfb67ea…
10-30 06:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x87be20…
10-30 03:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xd3d4b2…
10-30 03:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x00a2a2…
10-30 02:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x4bb031…
10-30 02:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x393b0a…